Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#332
Expected Predictive Rating-18.2#358
Pace75.3#51
Improvement+1.8#35

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#281
First Shot-4.3#294
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#147
Layup/Dunks-0.3#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.5#359
Freethrows+0.9#145
Improvement+0.1#163

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#348
First Shot-4.9#318
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#269
Layups/Dunks-3.5#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
Freethrows-2.7#311
Improvement+1.7#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 7.5% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.9% 23.1% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 52.7% 60.4% 47.8%
Conference Champion 5.5% 7.6% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 4.8% 8.2%
First Four5.2% 6.7% 4.2%
First Round2.8% 3.9% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Away) - 38.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 41 - 7
Quad 49 - 1010 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 359   Mercyhurst L 73-78 76%     0 - 1 -22.3 -6.0 -16.4
  Nov 09, 2024 179   @ Longwood L 66-84 13%     0 - 2 -15.9 -5.7 -9.6
  Nov 16, 2024 360   NJIT W 81-69 77%     1 - 2 -5.6 +0.8 -6.5
  Nov 20, 2024 285   @ N.C. A&T L 83-86 26%     1 - 3 -6.3 -1.5 -4.4
  Nov 22, 2024 331   @ Buffalo L 78-81 38%    
  Nov 24, 2024 129   Towson L 66-75 20%    
  Nov 27, 2024 311   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 82-86 34%    
  Dec 07, 2024 262   @ Bowling Green L 74-82 24%    
  Dec 10, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 67-92 1%    
  Dec 15, 2024 257   Campbell L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 22, 2024 12   @ Iowa St. L 60-89 0.4%   
  Dec 29, 2024 90   @ Minnesota L 60-79 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 314   South Carolina St. W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 06, 2025 264   NC Central L 75-77 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 231   @ Howard L 73-82 20%    
  Jan 13, 2025 197   Norfolk St. L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 77-65 87%    
  Feb 01, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 03, 2025 346   @ Delaware St. L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   @ South Carolina St. L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 17, 2025 264   @ NC Central L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 231   Howard L 76-79 38%    
  Feb 24, 2025 197   @ Norfolk St. L 69-80 16%    
  Mar 01, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 03, 2025 346   Delaware St. W 78-72 68%    
  Mar 06, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 74-68 71%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.7 1.4 0.1 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.0 5.5 1.3 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 8.9 6.3 1.1 0.0 19.8 4th
5th 0.6 4.4 9.1 5.4 0.6 0.0 20.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.5 7.2 3.3 0.4 16.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.2 1.4 0.1 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4 8th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.4 5.3 9.5 13.3 15.9 16.5 13.8 10.5 6.4 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 90.8% 1.4    1.0 0.3 0.0
11-3 59.6% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.2
10-4 21.0% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
9-5 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 24.0% 24.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 31.7% 31.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
12-2 1.5% 30.5% 30.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1
11-3 3.5% 19.8% 19.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7 2.8
10-4 6.4% 15.8% 15.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0 5.4
9-5 10.5% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1 9.4
8-6 13.8% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.9 13.0
7-7 16.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.6 15.9
6-8 15.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 15.5
5-9 13.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.1
4-10 9.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.4
3-11 5.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.3
2-12 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-13 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.5 94.4 0.0%