Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#291
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#291
Pace70.6#138
Improvement-0.5#247

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#293
First Shot-3.7#282
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#204
Layup/Dunks-1.3#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#290
Freethrows+1.2#128
Improvement-0.5#256

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#263
First Shot-3.9#296
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#112
Layups/Dunks-5.0#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#49
Freethrows-2.2#296
Improvement-0.1#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 13.0
.500 or above 1.8% 8.1% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 5.0% 11.3% 4.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.8% 20.1% 33.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 51 - 11
Quad 32 - 62 - 17
Quad 46 - 59 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 251   San Jose St. W 80-67 41%     1 - 0 +8.4 +1.8 +6.2
  Nov 11, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 66-76 20%     1 - 1 -7.8 -3.9 -4.2
  Nov 14, 2024 277   Northern Arizona L 57-60 58%     1 - 2 -11.9 -17.2 +5.2
  Nov 18, 2024 27   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -2.6 +2.9 -4.1
  Nov 22, 2024 61   @ Missouri L 63-82 4%    
  Nov 27, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-72 88%    
  Nov 30, 2024 270   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 02, 2024 70   @ Colorado L 62-80 5%    
  Dec 07, 2024 172   @ Illinois St. L 64-73 20%    
  Dec 14, 2024 97   @ UNLV L 64-79 9%    
  Dec 18, 2024 218   Portland St. L 78-79 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 287   Idaho W 74-71 60%    
  Dec 28, 2024 44   @ St. Mary's L 59-80 3%    
  Dec 30, 2024 298   @ San Diego L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 02, 2025 59   San Francisco L 66-79 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 238   Pepperdine L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 09, 2025 80   @ Washington St. L 66-83 7%    
  Jan 11, 2025 98   Oregon St. L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 16, 2025 289   @ Portland L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 22, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 238   @ Pepperdine L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 80   Washington St. L 69-80 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 99   @ Santa Clara L 68-83 10%    
  Feb 06, 2025 298   San Diego W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 66-92 1%    
  Feb 12, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 98   @ Oregon St. L 60-75 10%    
  Feb 20, 2025 59   @ San Francisco L 63-82 5%    
  Feb 22, 2025 289   Portland W 73-70 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 99   Santa Clara L 71-80 22%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.1 1.3 0.2 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.4 6.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 16.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 8.3 8.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 21.3 9th
10th 0.4 4.0 9.7 7.1 1.7 0.1 23.1 10th
11th 1.9 6.1 8.3 4.4 0.9 0.0 21.6 11th
Total 1.9 6.5 12.4 16.1 17.3 15.6 12.2 8.1 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5 3.6% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 3.6% 3.6% 13.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.5% 0.5
10-8 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 1.4
9-9 2.7% 2.7
8-10 4.9% 4.9
7-11 8.1% 8.1
6-12 12.2% 12.2
5-13 15.6% 15.6
4-14 17.3% 17.3
3-15 16.1% 16.1
2-16 12.4% 12.4
1-17 6.5% 6.5
0-18 1.9% 1.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%