Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#277
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#306
Pace70.3#146
Improvement-1.1#258

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#307
First Shot-4.5#308
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#209
Layup/Dunks+0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#332
Freethrows+1.6#91
Improvement-0.3#206

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#214
First Shot-3.9#301
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#33
Layups/Dunks-2.0#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows-1.5#286
Improvement-0.8#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 13.5 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.4% 4.1% 2.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 21.8% 19.6% 25.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 61.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 20 - 60 - 12
Quad 32 - 52 - 17
Quad 47 - 59 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 189   San Jose St. W 80-67 31%     1 - 0 +11.7 +2.1 +9.1
  Nov 11, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 66-76 21%     1 - 1 -7.8 -3.7 -4.4
  Nov 14, 2024 285   Northern Arizona L 57-60 63%     1 - 2 -12.8 -19.1 +6.1
  Nov 18, 2024 29   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -3.2 +2.1 -3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 55   @ Missouri L 56-91 5%     1 - 4 -22.2 -9.3 -15.0
  Nov 27, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 90%     2 - 4 -8.3 -2.3 -5.9
  Nov 30, 2024 275   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 61%     3 - 4 -0.2 -5.9 +6.5
  Dec 02, 2024 75   @ Colorado L 66-75 7%     3 - 5 +1.5 -1.5 +3.1
  Dec 07, 2024 153   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 18%     3 - 6 -7.8 -5.2 -3.7
  Dec 14, 2024 108   @ UNLV L 65-72 11%     3 - 7 +0.0 -1.6 +1.3
  Dec 18, 2024 260   Portland St. L 75-81 58%     3 - 8 -14.4 -7.4 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2024 279   Idaho W 72-69 61%    
  Dec 28, 2024 43   @ St. Mary's L 56-76 3%    
  Dec 30, 2024 319   @ San Diego L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 02, 2025 59   San Francisco L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 04, 2025 237   Pepperdine W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 09, 2025 77   @ Washington St. L 66-82 6%    
  Jan 11, 2025 65   Oregon St. L 61-73 13%    
  Jan 16, 2025 325   @ Portland W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 22, 2025 165   Loyola Marymount L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 237   @ Pepperdine L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 77   Washington St. L 69-79 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 72   @ Santa Clara L 65-82 6%    
  Feb 06, 2025 319   San Diego W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 64-87 2%    
  Feb 12, 2025 165   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-73 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 65   @ Oregon St. L 58-76 5%    
  Feb 20, 2025 59   @ San Francisco L 59-78 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 325   Portland W 75-69 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 72   Santa Clara L 68-79 16%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 2.1 8.6 9.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 23.9 8th
9th 0.1 3.5 11.6 9.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 27.0 9th
10th 0.2 3.5 9.5 5.6 0.8 0.0 19.6 10th
11th 0.7 3.2 5.4 2.4 0.3 12.0 11th
Total 0.7 3.4 9.0 15.5 19.6 19.2 14.8 9.5 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.8% 0.8% 14.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.8% 0.8
9-9 2.3% 2.3
8-10 5.0% 5.0
7-11 9.5% 9.5
6-12 14.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.8
5-13 19.2% 19.2
4-14 19.6% 19.6
3-15 15.5% 15.5
2-16 9.0% 9.0
1-17 3.4% 3.4
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%