Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#261
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#252
Pace69.4#173
Improvement-1.7#332

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#284
First Shot-4.7#301
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#129
Layup/Dunks-8.4#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#315
Freethrows+1.0#139
Improvement+0.3#133

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#218
First Shot-1.2#221
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#201
Layups/Dunks+8.5#7
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#344
Freethrows-3.9#340
Improvement-2.0#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 26.2% 16.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 44.3% 72.7% 42.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.2% 96.6% 89.8%
Conference Champion 24.2% 35.5% 23.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four10.5% 9.5% 10.6%
First Round12.4% 22.2% 11.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 413 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 69-78 4%     0 - 1 +5.7 -0.1 +6.1
  Nov 10, 2024 54   @ Georgia L 64-92 6%     0 - 2 -15.7 -4.9 -10.0
  Nov 12, 2024 105   @ Georgia Tech L 62-81 12%     0 - 3 -11.7 -10.9 +0.3
  Nov 17, 2024 127   @ Samford L 82-97 16%     0 - 4 -9.6 +3.3 -11.9
  Nov 24, 2024 64   @ New Mexico L 69-86 6%    
  Dec 01, 2024 165   Texas St. L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 07, 2024 117   @ Sam Houston St. L 67-79 14%    
  Dec 14, 2024 40   @ Nevada L 59-79 4%    
  Dec 17, 2024 42   @ Boise St. L 60-79 4%    
  Dec 21, 2024 214   @ Abilene Christian L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 04, 2025 266   Southern W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 06, 2025 234   Grambling St. W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 13, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 72-60 87%    
  Jan 18, 2025 349   Alcorn St. W 74-63 83%    
  Jan 20, 2025 319   Jackson St. W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 345   @ Alabama A&M W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 27, 2025 282   @ Alabama St. L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 348   Prairie View W 81-71 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 356   Florida A&M W 76-64 85%    
  Feb 10, 2025 287   Bethune-Cookman W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 234   @ Grambling St. L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 17, 2025 266   @ Southern L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 75-57 94%    
  Feb 24, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-70 89%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   @ Jackson St. W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 03, 2025 349   @ Alcorn St. W 71-66 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 348   @ Prairie View W 78-74 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.3 7.5 5.8 2.7 0.6 24.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.0 7.1 6.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 19.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.6 4.7 1.2 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 5.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.6 7.0 9.8 12.3 14.1 14.5 12.7 10.2 6.3 2.7 0.6 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 99.4% 2.7    2.6 0.1
16-2 92.8% 5.8    4.9 0.9 0.0
15-3 73.3% 7.5    4.9 2.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 41.8% 5.3    2.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
13-5 13.9% 2.0    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.2% 24.2 15.4 6.7 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 52.0% 52.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 2.7% 45.9% 45.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 1.5
16-2 6.3% 39.0% 39.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 3.8
15-3 10.2% 32.1% 32.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 6.9
14-4 12.7% 25.0% 25.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.9 9.5
13-5 14.5% 17.6% 17.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.5 12.0
12-6 14.1% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9 12.2
11-7 12.3% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2 11.1
10-8 9.8% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.7 9.0
9-9 7.0% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.4 6.6
8-10 4.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 4.5
7-11 2.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.7
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 13.9 82.6 0.0%