VMI
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#344
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#258
Pace78.7#20
Improvement+0.0#173

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#348
First Shot-7.0#342
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#205
Layup/Dunks-5.9#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#290
Freethrows+1.1#130
Improvement+0.2#138

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#330
First Shot-3.2#281
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#290
Layups/Dunks-1.0#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#280
Freethrows-0.2#201
Improvement-0.2#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 1.5% 6.0% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 3.0% 7.0% 2.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 61.3% 49.1% 62.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 5.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 46 - 107 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 336   @ Bellarmine W 76-71 32%     1 - 0 -2.6 -0.8 -1.8
  Nov 15, 2024 334   Tennessee Tech L 71-72 42%     1 - 1 -11.4 -8.6 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 310   Charleston Southern W 80-69 35%     2 - 1 +2.6 +0.6 +1.6
  Nov 18, 2024 23   @ Pittsburgh L 48-93 1%     2 - 2 -28.4 -15.7 -13.6
  Nov 22, 2024 131   @ Davidson L 65-82 5%    
  Nov 26, 2024 335   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-75 32%    
  Nov 29, 2024 143   @ George Washington L 72-88 6%    
  Dec 07, 2024 297   Queens L 79-81 42%    
  Dec 21, 2024 201   @ Richmond L 66-79 11%    
  Jan 01, 2025 188   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-83 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 252   Mercer L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 09, 2025 127   @ Samford L 75-93 6%    
  Jan 11, 2025 169   @ Chattanooga L 69-84 9%    
  Jan 15, 2025 258   Western Carolina L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 18, 2025 317   @ The Citadel L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 22, 2025 133   Furman L 72-83 16%    
  Jan 25, 2025 171   UNC Greensboro L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 29, 2025 206   @ Wofford L 67-80 12%    
  Feb 01, 2025 258   @ Western Carolina L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 05, 2025 188   East Tennessee St. L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 317   The Citadel L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 171   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-80 10%    
  Feb 15, 2025 252   @ Mercer L 70-81 18%    
  Feb 19, 2025 206   Wofford L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 133   @ Furman L 69-86 7%    
  Feb 27, 2025 127   Samford L 78-90 16%    
  Mar 01, 2025 169   Chattanooga L 72-81 22%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.6 0.8 0.1 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.5 3.9 1.3 0.1 12.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 6.6 8.4 5.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 24.9 9th
10th 5.5 12.4 14.6 11.0 4.7 1.2 0.1 49.4 10th
Total 5.5 12.7 17.2 17.9 15.3 11.7 8.4 5.4 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 31.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 0.8% 3.1% 3.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.8
9-9 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.5
8-10 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
7-11 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
6-12 8.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.3
5-13 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.7
4-14 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.3
3-15 17.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.9
2-16 17.2% 17.2
1-17 12.7% 12.7
0-18 5.5% 5.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%