College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#175
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#212
Pace67.3#247
Improvement+0.9#124

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#155
First Shot-0.8#198
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#126
Layup/Dunks-1.3#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#221
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#196
Freethrows+2.0#74
Improvement-1.4#291

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#220
First Shot-3.1#279
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#84
Layups/Dunks+2.6#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#350
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#328
Freethrows+2.4#56
Improvement+2.2#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 8.4% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 45.6% 67.5% 42.1%
.500 or above in Conference 61.0% 71.3% 59.4%
Conference Champion 6.4% 9.9% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 2.2% 4.5%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round5.4% 8.3% 5.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 85 - 13
Quad 410 - 315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 94 @Liberty L 75-90 18%     0 - 1 -6.4 +13.5 -21.7
  Sat, Nov 8 122 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 35%     0 - 2 -14.4 +6.6 -21.6
  Fri, Nov 14 349 South Carolina St. W 88-61 90%     1 - 2 +11.5 +12.5 +0.1
  Mon, Nov 17 124 Drake L 62-71 47%     1 - 3 -9.6 -9.7 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 21 167 Massachusetts W 69-65 48%     2 - 3 +3.2 +0.2 +3.1
  Sun, Nov 23 73 Yale L 63-74 20%     2 - 4 -3.3 -5.9 +1.8
  Mon, Nov 24 265 Evansville W 78-59 66%     3 - 4 +13.4 +4.1 +9.3
  Sun, Nov 30 90 Belmont L 73-96 34%     3 - 5 -20.1 +1.4 -21.3
  Wed, Dec 10 79 @South Florida L 72-84 14%    
  Sun, Dec 14 181 Charlotte W 72-69 62%    
  Wed, Dec 17 363 The Citadel W 81-64 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 192 @Northern Kentucky L 73-75 41%    
  Mon, Dec 29 267 Drexel W 73-66 75%    
  Wed, Dec 31 184 @Elon L 75-78 40%    
  Mon, Jan 5 119 William & Mary L 79-80 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 208 Hampton W 74-69 68%    
  Thu, Jan 15 125 @Towson L 65-72 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 221 @Stony Brook L 71-72 48%    
  Thu, Jan 22 217 Campbell W 78-73 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 184 Elon W 78-75 62%    
  Thu, Jan 29 139 @Hofstra L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 228 @Northeastern L 72-73 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 299 N.C. A&T W 78-69 80%    
  Mon, Feb 9 109 UNC Wilmington L 70-72 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 139 Hofstra W 71-70 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 217 @Campbell L 75-76 47%    
  Thu, Feb 19 299 @N.C. A&T W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 207 Monmouth W 75-70 65%    
  Thu, Feb 26 208 @Hampton L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 109 @UNC Wilmington L 67-75 24%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 6.0 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.5 1.1 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.0 1.7 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.1 2.1 0.2 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.4 7.3 10.3 12.7 13.9 13.8 11.8 9.0 6.1 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.2% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 84.1% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-4 54.2% 2.0    1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.8% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.4 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 40.3% 40.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 23.3% 23.3% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-3 1.8% 23.9% 23.9% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.6% 16.8% 16.8% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.0
13-5 6.1% 14.2% 14.2% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.2
12-6 9.0% 11.1% 11.1% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 8.0
11-7 11.8% 8.0% 8.0% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 10.9
10-8 13.8% 4.6% 4.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 13.2
9-9 13.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.5
8-10 12.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 12.5
7-11 10.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.2
6-12 7.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.3
5-13 4.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.5 94.5 0.0%