Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#174
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#214
Pace72.4#112
Improvement+0.9#120

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#133
First Shot+0.0#175
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#101
Layup/Dunks+1.8#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#211
Freethrows-1.1#240
Improvement-1.2#278

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#253
First Shot-4.3#315
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#75
Layups/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#82
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows-3.9#343
Improvement+2.1#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 20.7% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 77.8% 87.2% 69.7%
.500 or above in Conference 88.3% 91.3% 85.6%
Conference Champion 23.3% 27.4% 19.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four1.4% 0.9% 1.9%
First Round17.5% 20.3% 15.1%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Home) - 46.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 414 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 15 @Illinois L 70-113 3%     0 - 1 -22.0 +1.9 -21.1
  Tue, Nov 11 232 Georgia Southern L 94-95 72%     0 - 2 -8.1 +13.3 -21.3
  Sat, Nov 15 222 Chattanooga W 91-73 71%     1 - 2 +11.2 +14.3 -2.8
  Wed, Nov 19 231 @Samford W 77-62 50%     2 - 2 +13.9 +3.9 +10.3
  Mon, Nov 24 301 Oral Roberts W 93-88 82%     3 - 2 -5.7 +8.2 -14.2
  Tue, Nov 25 213 Rice W 78-63 OT 69%     4 - 2 +8.7 -7.4 +14.3
  Wed, Nov 26 152 Kennesaw St. L 100-102 OT 57%     4 - 3 -4.9 +5.0 -9.5
  Wed, Dec 3 189 @Florida International L 83-89 41%     4 - 4 -4.9 +4.9 -9.3
  Sun, Dec 7 122 Florida Atlantic L 78-79 47%    
  Sun, Dec 14 84 @New Mexico L 76-87 16%    
  Sat, Dec 20 62 @Central Florida L 76-89 12%    
  Thu, Jan 1 279 @Central Arkansas W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 200 @North Alabama L 75-77 44%    
  Thu, Jan 8 180 Austin Peay W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 161 Lipscomb W 79-77 58%    
  Thu, Jan 15 196 Queens W 84-80 64%    
  Sat, Jan 17 318 West Georgia W 82-71 83%    
  Thu, Jan 22 180 @Austin Peay L 74-77 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 161 @Lipscomb L 76-80 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 200 North Alabama W 78-74 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 291 @Jacksonville W 75-72 61%    
  Thu, Feb 5 269 @Eastern Kentucky W 82-81 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 292 @Bellarmine W 80-77 61%    
  Wed, Feb 11 344 North Florida W 91-78 88%    
  Sat, Feb 14 347 Stetson W 83-69 89%    
  Thu, Feb 19 291 Jacksonville W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 279 Central Arkansas W 80-72 76%    
  Thu, Feb 26 344 @North Florida W 88-81 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 347 @Stetson W 80-72 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.2 6.3 6.5 4.4 1.8 0.4 23.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.3 7.1 4.7 1.2 0.1 18.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.2 5.6 8.2 11.1 13.9 15.0 14.2 11.6 7.7 4.5 1.8 0.4 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.8    1.7 0.0
16-2 97.4% 4.4    3.9 0.4
15-3 84.5% 6.5    4.7 1.7 0.1
14-4 53.8% 6.3    3.0 2.6 0.6 0.1
13-5 22.9% 3.2    0.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.3% 23.3 14.7 6.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 57.4% 57.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.8% 43.9% 43.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.0
16-2 4.5% 41.9% 41.9% 13.8 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.6
15-3 7.7% 35.1% 35.1% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.1 5.0
14-4 11.6% 26.6% 26.6% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.3 8.5
13-5 14.2% 22.1% 22.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.4 11.1
12-6 15.0% 16.2% 16.2% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.7 12.6
11-7 13.9% 13.4% 13.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 12.0
10-8 11.1% 10.2% 10.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.0
9-9 8.2% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 0.4 7.7
8-10 5.6% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.2 5.4
7-11 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 3.1
6-12 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
5-13 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.0 6.7 4.0 81.9 0.0%