North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.7 37
Results Rating +11.8 47
Consistency 0.21 361
Pace 71.9 86
Improvement -5.7 348

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 25 B+ B A B B
Defense B- 78 C+ B B+ C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 107 B- 62% 79 +3.4 66
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 287 C- 36% 235 -2.5 299
Three Pointers 44% 119 A- 39% 14 +5.1 32
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 63 B+ +4.7 41
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 32
Second Chance C 31.0% 162 A 1.24 10 B 0.38 44
Opponents' Steals A 6.7% 8
Other Turnovers B+ 5.8% 29
Turnovers A 12.5% 7
Freethrows B- 0.33 92 B 76% 42 B 0.25 58
Total Offense A- +9.8 25

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 157 B+ 8.0% 30
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 227 B+ 2.5% 26
Three Pointers B- 87% 106 B- 0.6% 114
Total B- 60% 84 B+ 3.9% 22


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 257 B- 54% 69 -2.7 86
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 309 B- 36% 92 -2.0 34
Three Pointers 47% 29 C 34% 176 +3.0 312
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 238 B- -1.9 103
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.99 121
Second Chance B 26.6% 55 B- 0.97 83 B 0.26 47
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.3% 19
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 130
Turnovers B+ 19.8% 30
Freethrows C 0.30 179 B+ 70% 33 C+ 0.21 136
Total Defense B- +3.8 78

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 25 B- 14.2% 58
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 124 B 7.6% 44
Three Pointers B+ 78% 36 C- 0.7% 196
Total B- 51% 94 B- 6.8% 83

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 30 18.5 326
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 81 0.17 191
Consistency 0.15 331 0.16 359
Improvement -1.0 241 -4.7 347



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 348 NC Central W 114 - 65 99% +28  99% 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +25 A+ A+ A+ B +5 C- B- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 123 UAB W 94 - 70 90% +11  85% 2 - 0 A+ +24 A +13 A+ A+ D A +9 A- C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 299 UNC Greensboro W 110 - 64 98% +15  90% 3 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +20 B A+ A+ A+ +12 A+ B A+
 Mon, Nov 17 47 Virginia Commonwealth W 85 - 79 67% +4  93% 4 - 0 A- +15 B+ +9 B- A+ F B+ +5 B B- B-
 Mon, Nov 24 52 Seton Hall L 74 - 85 59% -8  3% 4 - 1 C +0 B- +5 B D A+ D+ -4 D F+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 60 Boise St. W 81 - 70 65% +5  82% 5 - 1 A +21 B+ +9 A+ D- C+ A+ +11 B- A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 31 Texas L 97 - 102 46% -4  14% 5 - 2 B +10 A+ +23 A+ A+ A+ F -13 F C- F
 Wed, Dec 3 39 @Auburn L 73 - 83 39% -5  14% 5 - 3 B- +6 C +1 C+ F A B+ +6 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 233 UNC Asheville W 75 - 63 96% +3  66% 6 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 D+ A+ D B+ +6 A- B- A-
 Wed, Dec 10 122 Liberty W 85 - 45 90% +25  97% 7 - 3 A+ +40 B+ +8 A F A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 21 Kansas L 76 - 77 OT 48% -1  35% 7 - 4 B+ +13 B- +5 B C- A+ A- +8 B- A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 316 Texas Southern W 108 - 72 98% +24  98% 8 - 4 A +23 A+ +25 A A+ A+ C- -3 A- F C+
 Sun, Dec 21 62 Mississippi W 76 - 62 66% +15  93% 9 - 4 A +23 B +6 A+ B+ F A+ +17 B A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 71 Wake Forest W 70 - 57 78% +7  73% 10 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 D -6 C+ F D A+ +24 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 18 Virginia L 61 - 76 45% -13  0% 10 - 5 1 - 1 C -0 C- -2 D C+ C+ C+ +1 D+ D A+
 Tue, Jan 6 136 @Boston College W 79 - 71 80% +7  93% 11 - 5 2 - 1 B+ +13 A+ +22 A A+ A+ F+ -9 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 64 @Florida St. W 113 - 69 56% +24  99% 12 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +56 A+ +31 A+ A+ A+ A+ +21 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 17 143 Georgia Tech L 74 - 78 92% -1  39% 12 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -6 D -5 C- F+ A C -1 F B- A
 Tue, Jan 20 41 @Clemson W 80 - 76 OT 40% +3  65% 13 - 6 4 - 2 A +20 A +12 A- F+ A+ A- +8 B- C- A
 Sat, Jan 24 94 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 72 68% -1  32% 14 - 6 5 - 2 A- +18 A +12 B- C A+ B+ +6 A+ F A
 Tue, Jan 27 84 Syracuse W 88 - 68 82% +7  100% 15 - 6 6 - 2 A+ +24 A +14 A+ A- B+ A +10 A+ D- C
 Sat, Jan 31 71 @Wake Forest W 96 - 78 58% +11  93% 16 - 6 7 - 2 A+ +30 A+ +25 A+ B+ A+ B +4 B- B D+
 Tue, Feb 3 45 @SMU W 84 - 83 43% -1  37% 17 - 6 8 - 2 A- +16 A +13 A C+ A+ B +4 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 57 Virginia Tech W 82 - 73 74% +8  94% 18 - 6 9 - 2 A- +16 B +7 A D- B+ A +9 A+ F+ A+
 Mon, Feb 9 20 @Louisville L 77 - 118 25% -21  0% 18 - 7 9 - 3 F -20 C +1 D+ C- A+ F -16 F A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 32 Miami (FL) L 76 - 77 58% +1  54% 18 - 8 9 - 4 B +11 A- +11 A- A A- C -1 A+ F+ D+
 Tue, Feb 17 30 North Carolina W 82 - 58 57% +13  95% 19 - 8 10 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +19 B+ A+ A+ A+ +19 A+ A- A+
 Tue, Feb 24 18 @Virginia L 61 - 90 25% -12  0% 19 - 9 10 - 5 D+ -8 D -5 C- D- B C- -3 D D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 92 @Notre Dame L 90 - 96 OT 68% +4  86% 19 - 10 10 - 6 C+ +3 A+ +16 B A A+ F -13 F C+ C+
 Mon, Mar 2 3 Duke L 64 - 93 20% -15  10% 19 - 11 10 - 7 D+ -7 B +6 C A+ A+ F -15 D- F+ F
 Sat, Mar 7 61 Stanford L 84 - 85 75% -2  19% 19 - 12 10 - 8 B- +5 A +13 C+ A+ B- D- -7 D- C D-
 Wed, Mar 11 94 Pittsburgh W 98 - 88 77% +3  63% 20 - 12 A- +16 A+ +31 A+ A A+ F -15 F B+ C
 Thu, Mar 12 18 Virginia L 74 - 81 34% -2  36% 20 - 13 B +11 B+ +9 B- C+ B B- +2 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Mar 17 31 Texas L 66 - 68 46% -4  11% 20 - 14 B+ +13 D+ -3 D- C+ A A+ +16 A+ A B+
Totals 20 - 14 10 - 8 +14 A- +10 C- B+ B B- +4 A- B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B- C- A- B+ 41% 29% 44% B B+ C A B A B- B B B- B- B- C B- 36% 17% 47% C- C+ B B- B B+ C B+ C+
1.23 62% 36% 39% +5 +1 1.14 31% 1.2 .38 12% .33 76% .25 1.03 54% 36% 34% -2 0 0.99 27% 1.0 .26 20% .30 70% .23
Nov
3		 NC Central A+ A+ F A+ A+ 26% 9% 64% C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B D- C+ A- D+ 37% 21% 42% C C- A F B- A+ F A+ F
1.57 93% 20% 44% +17 +1 1.38 45% 1.4 .65 12% .47 70% .33 0.89 63% 33% 28% -3 0 0.95 21% 1.1 .24 25% .51 64% .33
Nov
7		 UAB A A+ A+ C+ A+ 38% 12% 50% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A B F A+ A 45% 19% 36% D A- F A C A+ A A+ A+
1.26 80% 50% 35% +10 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 19% .36 82% .30 0.94 54% 55% 14% -9 +1 0.84 39% 0.8 .32 19% .23 57% .13
Nov
12		 UNC Greensboro A+ B D A+ B 38% 15% 48% B- B D+ A+ A+ A+ A- A- A A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 21% 54% C+ A+ A D B A+ F A- F
1.48 65% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.23 26% 2.0 .53 5% .33 78% .26 0.86 40% 38% 24% -13 -1 0.74 19% 1.1 .21 22% .70 63% .45
Nov
17		 Virginia Commonwealth B+ F A+ B+ B 36% 22% 42% D+ B- A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ A+ C+ B 23% 7% 70% B- B B+ D+ B- B- A A A
1.15 44% 50% 37% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.1 .45 23% .58 82% .48 1.07 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.02 28% 1.2 .33 16% .29 67% .19
Nov
24		 Seton Hall B- F+ A+ C B 40% 13% 46% B- B D- C D A+ C+ B- C+ D+ D D- B D+ 45% 14% 41% D- D A+ F F+ B+ F+ F F
1.00 43% 71% 33% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.9 .21 18% .36 73% .26 1.15 64% 43% 30% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.9 .46 19% .40 83% .33
Nov
25		 Boise St. B+ B A A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B A+ C+ F D- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ B- 24% 9% 67% C+ B- B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F
1.16 63% 50% 45% +11 0 1.24 23% 0.6 .13 14% .38 78% .30 1.00 45% 50% 37% +1 +1 1.04 33% 0.5 .16 21% .58 66% .38
Nov
26		 Texas A+ A+ F A+ A+ 44% 25% 31% B- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A F D F F F 26% 11% 64% C F A+ F C- F F F F
1.35 71% 21% 47% +7 0 1.16 24% 1.8 .42 8% .42 71% .30 1.42 67% 60% 47% +17 0 1.36 23% 2.0 .46 10% .51 85% .43
Dec
3		 Auburn C B+ D D+ C 34% 16% 50% B- C+ D- F F A F+ A+ D+ B+ F A+ F F 40% 10% 50% D+ F A+ B A+ A+ D F F
1.04 63% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 21% 0.6 .13 13% .21 85% .18 1.18 75% 25% 55% +21 +1 1.48 26% 1.0 .26 28% .44 86% .38
Dec
6		 UNC Asheville C- A F+ F D 48% 12% 40% B D+ D+ A+ A+ D D- A+ C B+ A+ A- F B 13% 46% 42% A+ A- A- D- B- A- C+ F C-
1.11 71% 33% 20% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.7 .47 18% .27 80% .22 0.93 33% 32% 40% -2 -5 0.88 24% 1.1 .26 21% .32 76% .24
Dec
10		 Liberty B+ A F A A- 46% 13% 41% B+ A D F F A+ A F+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% D+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+
1.26 68% 29% 41% +8 +2 1.20 26% 0.9 .24 12% .32 68% .22 0.67 52% 21% -13 +3 0.82 15% 0.3 .05 25% .20 30% .06
Dec
13		 Kansas B- B D F B- 37% 15% 48% A- B C- C- C- A+ C B+ C+ A- C+ A D+ B 33% 18% 49% D+ B- A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.01 58% 30% 26% -7 +1 0.89 23% 0.8 .19 9% .22 73% .16 1.03 60% 27% 37% +1 0 1.03 23% 0.8 .19 11% .15 60% .09
Dec
17		 Texas Southern A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 11% 58% C- A A+ A- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- B- C A+ A 43% 15% 43% F A- F D F C+ D- D F+
1.52 56% 67% 45% +13 +1 1.28 49% 1.2 .60 10% .42 85% .36 1.01 52% 38% 22% -10 +1 0.83 35% 1.1 .40 18% .34 75% .26
Dec
21		 Mississippi B A+ F C+ A+ 29% 14% 57% B A+ D A+ B+ F F+ F F A+ F B- B+ B+ 19% 23% 57% D B A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+
1.09 87% 14% 34% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 23% .24 54% .13 0.89 78% 36% 30% 0 -2 0.98 19% 0.6 .11 21% .33 67% .22
Dec
31		 Wake Forest D A- F F C 46% 15% 38% B C+ C- F F D C A B A+ A+ F+ A A+ 37% 8% 55% D- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A A+
0.98 67% 25% 25% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.6 .17 21% .30 82% .25 0.80 42% 50% 29% -9 +2 0.86 25% 0.4 .10 22% .23 69% .16
Jan
3		 Virginia C- B F F D 32% 30% 39% C- D D A+ C+ C+ A+ B A+ C+ C+ F C- D 27% 9% 64% B- D+ B+ F D A+ C C+ C
0.95 57% 23% 24% -11 -2 0.77 21% 1.1 .24 16% .46 80% .37 1.18 58% 100% 36% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.4 .50 22% .30 73% .22
Jan
6		 Boston College A+ F B- A+ A 42% 20% 38% B- A A- A+ A+ A+ F F F F+ D- B+ F F 45% 16% 39% F F F B+ D A+ F F F
1.30 33% 40% 58% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.5 .51 7% .21 50% .11 1.17 65% 33% 53% +14 +1 1.32 40% 0.9 .36 26% .49 73% .36
Jan
10		 Florida St. A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 22% 29% 49% D- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A A A+ B A+ A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% D- A+ A+ F C- B+ F B F
1.46 77% 35% 55% +19 -2 1.36 37% 1.8 .67 12% .34 78% .26 0.89 54% 0% 22% -13 +2 0.80 15% 2.5 .38 17% .45 69% .31
Jan
17		 Georgia Tech D D- F B D+ 39% 11% 50% A C- F D F+ A A+ F B C B- F F F 43% 15% 43% F+ F A F B- A F A+ D
1.00 48% 0% 37% -6 +1 0.93 20% 1.0 .20 12% .38 64% .25 1.05 55% 57% 45% +9 +1 1.21 24% 1.4 .33 23% .49 50% .25
Jan
20		 Clemson A B+ F B B+ 40% 17% 42% B+ A- D- F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ C B 36% 9% 55% D+ B- B- D- C- A F+ A+ C
1.12 62% 22% 36% 0 +1 1.04 17% 0.7 .11 10% .39 88% .34 1.06 65% 25% 35% +2 +1 1.09 27% 1.1 .30 18% .41 63% .26
Jan
24		 Pittsburgh A B F B B- 42% 21% 37% C B- C- B C A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 20% 43% B- A+ F B F A F A+ C-
1.19 64% 27% 37% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 12% .45 81% .37 1.06 42% 20% 32% -11 0 0.80 53% 0.9 .49 21% .46 44% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Syracuse A A+ A+ D A+ 50% 12% 38% A A+ A+ D- A- B+ C+ A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 18% 36% D+ A+ C- F+ D- C B+ A+ A
1.26 69% 50% 30% +5 +2 1.15 45% 1.0 .45 16% .30 83% .25 0.97 46% 20% 25% -14 +1 0.77 33% 1.2 .40 16% .27 56% .15
Jan
31		 Wake Forest A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% B A+ D- A+ B+ A+ C B C+ B A- F C- B- 37% 22% 41% B B- A+ F B D+ F F F
1.38 43% 57% 56% +13 +1 1.29 24% 1.6 .38 12% .29 78% .23 1.12 50% 55% 35% +1 0 1.04 18% 1.8 .32 13% .40 88% .35
Feb
3		 SMU A D- D+ A+ A- 29% 11% 60% B+ A D- A+ C+ A+ B+ F C B B+ A F C- 48% 16% 36% F D+ A- A+ A+ C A A+ A+
1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19 1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12
Feb
7		 Virginia Tech B A- F A+ A+ 41% 18% 41% B A F A D- B+ A+ D+ A+ A A- D+ A+ A+ 50% 10% 40% F A+ C+ F F+ A+ B+ D- B-
1.13 67% 22% 43% +6 +1 1.16 18% 1.2 .21 15% .39 71% .28 1.01 52% 40% 25% -8 +2 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 21% .26 80% .21
Feb
9		 Louisville C A+ F F D+ 38% 30% 32% C+ D+ F A+ C- A+ C A+ B+ F D D- F F 44% 7% 49% D+ F A A+ A+ F+ F+ D- F
0.96 75% 21% 15% -8 -1 0.84 15% 1.5 .23 12% .27 89% .24 1.47 69% 50% 62% +26 +2 1.59 27% 0.3 .07 12% .38 81% .31
Feb
14		 Miami (FL) A- C+ A A- A- 35% 18% 47% B A- B+ A+ A A- B- A+ A- C B- B+ A+ A+ 61% 18% 22% D- A+ F C+ F+ D+ D+ A+ A-
1.17 59% 44% 39% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .36 15% .27 87% .24 1.19 58% 33% 18% -6 +2 0.94 49% 1.1 .54 14% .36 50% .18
Feb
17		 North Carolina A+ F A+ A+ B- 49% 18% 33% A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ A- C- B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 59% D+ A+ F+ A+ A- A+ D- D+ F+
1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18 0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29
Feb
24		 Virginia D D F D D- 39% 9% 53% A+ C- B+ F D- B C- B C C- D+ F D- D- 42% 13% 44% C D A+ F D+ B C- F F+
0.87 45% 0% 30% -11 +2 0.82 33% 0.4 .12 14% .25 80% .20 1.28 64% 57% 39% +8 +1 1.21 26% 1.9 .48 17% .31 89% .27
Feb
28		 Notre Dame A+ A A+ F+ B- 33% 11% 56% A- B B+ A+ A A+ B A A- F F B F F 29% 29% 41% A- F F+ A C+ C+ F F F
1.26 68% 67% 28% +2 +1 1.07 31% 1.3 .38 8% .34 82% .28 1.35 87% 33% 48% +15 -2 1.29 39% 0.8 .30 17% .47 79% .37
Mar
2		 Duke B D+ F F+ D+ 37% 15% 48% A- C A+ A A+ A+ A F+ B+ F F D+ D 49% 0% 51% F+ D- D+ F+ F+ F F A F+
0.99 50% 25% 27% -10 +1 0.83 33% 1.0 .33 9% .29 65% .19 1.44 75% 36% +10 +3 1.29 43% 1.4 .60 11% .47 67% .31
Mar
7		 Stanford A D- B- B- C 51% 11% 38% A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ A+ D- D A+ F D- 49% 7% 44% D D- F+ B+ C D- A+ C A+
1.22 48% 40% 35% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 17% .60 74% .44 1.24 63% 25% 42% +6 +3 1.20 41% 0.9 .35 12% .18 73% .13
Mar
11		 Pittsburgh A+ A+ F A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% C A+ D- A+ A A+ A+ A A+ F F F F F 25% 18% 57% B+ F A+ F+ B+ C F F F
1.49 76% 25% 57% +21 0 1.44 19% 2.0 .38 9% .45 85% .38 1.34 91% 50% 44% +19 -1 1.39 25% 1.2 .29 17% .46 80% .36
Mar
12		 Virginia B+ F C A+ B- 42% 23% 35% B+ B- B- C- C+ B A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F+ F D+ 38% 19% 43% B+ C- A+ B+ A+ C- A- D- B
1.08 25% 36% 53% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.8 .23 15% .41 88% .36 1.18 45% 50% 48% +6 0 1.15 28% 1.0 .28 15% .24 79% .19
Mar
17		 Texas D+ F+ D- D D- 47% 29% 24% C+ D- D+ A+ C+ A D+ B+ C A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 44% 22% 33% C+ A+ C A+ A B+ F B- F
0.98 46% 31% 31% -9 0 0.84 19% 1.3 .24 10% .30 78% .23 1.00 45% 40% 27% -9 0 0.84 37% 0.9 .32 18% .52 72% .38