Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.6 227
Expected Predictive Rating -2.4 209
Pace 71.4 109
Improvement +2.1 99

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #269 C- D+ C- C- C
Defense C #166 C+ D D+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 49 57% 187 +2.7 93
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 100 33% 316 +0.3 163
Three Pointers 32% 340 32% 245 -5.3 330
1st FG Attempt 0.97 243 -2.2 242
Second Chance 27.4% 267 0.98 244 0.27 269
Turnovers 17.8% 236
Freethrows 0.31 157 68% 313 0.21 203
Total Offense -3.6 269

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 44 54% 74 -1.3 223
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 302 39% 218 +1.3 90
Three Pointers 39% 239 32% 113 +1.7 113
1st FG Attempt 0.99 125 +1.7 125
Second Chance 32.3% 255 1.13 315 0.36 307
Turnovers 15.2% 286
Freethrows 0.32 221 73% 211 0.23 229
Total Defense +0.1 166

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.1 205 +0.9 327
Shot Type Accuracy -2.1 248 -2.5 80
Possession Length 17.4 188 16.8 99
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 39 0.17 182
Improvement -3.1 #324 +5.2 #9

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33% 34% 29%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 91% 95% 79%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 91% 95% 81%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four14% 13% 17%
First Round26% 28% 21%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Away) - 73.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 31 - 01 - 8
Quad 417 - 618 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 28 @Auburn L 90 - 95 OT 3% -1  25% 0 - 1 B+ +13 B+ +9 A D- B+ B +5 A C- C
 Thu, Nov 6 41 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 101 5% -20  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F+ -9 F B B+ F -14 F A- F
 Sat, Nov 15 97 @Dayton L 82 - 91 14% -6  14% 0 - 3 C -1 A+ +14 C A+ A+ F -15 F F B-
 Wed, Nov 19 199 @Ohio W 76 - 73 35% +4  81% 1 - 3 C+ +3 C+ +3 A F A C+ +1 B- B F
 Mon, Nov 24 308 Jacksonville L 64 - 69 70% +2  61% 1 - 4 D- -14 F+ -9 F F B- D+ -5 D- C- F+
 Tue, Nov 25 213 Stony Brook L 54 - 61 47% +2  54% 1 - 5 D -10 F -16 F F+ D B +5 A- C- A-
 Sat, Nov 29 29 @Indiana L 56 - 100 3% -26  1% 1 - 6 F -26 F -13 F D B- F -12 F B- F+
 Fri, Dec 5 358 South Carolina St. W 80 - 59 91% +12  91% 2 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +2 A- F A+ C+ +2 A+ C- C
 Sun, Dec 14 48 @Missouri L 60 - 82 6% -15  0% 2 - 7 D+ -8 D- -8 D- A- F C -1 C- F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 22 @Saint Louis L 53 - 112 3% -31  0% 2 - 8 F -39 F -18 F C- D F -16 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 2 @Arizona L 71 - 107 1% -15  0% 2 - 9 D -8 C+ +2 A+ D F D -6 F D+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 59 @Oklahoma St. L 77 - 103 8% -13  8% 2 - 10 D- -14 D+ -3 A- F+ F D- -8 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 328 Florida A&M W 87 - 83 83% +4  85% 3 - 10 1 - 0 D -10 B- +5 B- D+ A F -15 D F F
 Sat, Jan 10 285 Grambling St. W 74 - 65 73% +8  85% 4 - 10 2 - 0 C -1 D- -7 D- B- F+ B +6 C A+ B+
 Mon, Jan 12 264 Southern L 73 - 77 69% +4  83% 4 - 11 2 - 1 D- -13 F+ -9 C F D- D+ -4 A F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79 - 63 94% +7  96% 5 - 11 3 - 1 D+ -5 C -0 A A+ F D+ -4 B- F F
 Mon, Jan 19 313 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 87 - 82 OT 60% -2  37% 6 - 11 4 - 1 C -1 C- -2 F+ A- F C +0 D C B+
 Sat, Jan 24 343 Jackson St. W 85 - 48 86% +16  89% 7 - 11 5 - 1 A +22 D+ -3 F+ A C+ A+ +23 A+ C+ D+
 Mon, Jan 26 351 Alcorn St. W 82 - 73 88% +11  95% 8 - 11 6 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -3 B- F C+ D+ -4 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 316 @Alabama St. W 69 - 54 61% +1  37% 9 - 11 7 - 1 B +8 D- -7 C- C F A+ +16 B+ A- A
 Mon, Feb 2 305 @Alabama A&M W 80 - 62 57% +14  95% 10 - 11 8 - 1 B+ +13 C -0 B F C A +12 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 336 Prairie View W 82 - 76 84% +0  45% 11 - 11 9 - 1 D -8 D- -7 F B- B+ C- -2 B+ D- F
 Mon, Feb 9 309 Texas Southern W 79 - 69 OT 79% -2  29% 12 - 11 10 - 1 C- -2 D- -6 F B D+ B- +4 A+ C- D
 Sat, Feb 14 351 @Alcorn St. W 78 - 71 73%
 Mon, Feb 16 343 @Jackson St. W 80 - 75 69%
 Thu, Feb 19 316 Alabama St. W 78 - 69 80%
 Sat, Feb 21 305 Alabama A&M W 75 - 67 76%
 Thu, Feb 26 285 @Grambling St. W 69 - 68 52%
 Sat, Feb 28 264 @Southern L 75 - 76 48%
 Thu, Mar 5 328 @Florida A&M W 74 - 70 65%
Totals 17 - 13 14 - 3 -4 D+ -4 C- D+ C- C +0 C+ D D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C D C- D+ 44% 24% 32% C C- D+ C- D+ C- C+ D C- C B- C- C+ B- 44% 17% 39% D C+ C- D D D+ C- C C-
1.03 57% 33% 32% -2 0 0.97 27% 1.0 .27 18% .31 68% .21 1.09 54% 39% 32% -2 +1 0.99 32% 1.1 .36 15% .32 73% .23
Nov
3		 Auburn B+ A- F A+ A+ 44% 21% 35% B- A D D- D- B+ F A+ F B A- F A A+ 54% 7% 39% F A C D+ C- C F B F
1.13 64% 23% 50% +8 0 1.19 24% 0.9 .21 16% .14 89% .12 1.19 52% 50% 29% -6 +3 0.96 40% 1.1 .44 14% .55 71% .39
Nov
6		 Miami (FL) F+ F F F F 34% 25% 42% C F B+ C B B+ B+ C+ B+ F F+ C+ F F 61% 14% 25% F+ F B+ B+ A- F C+ C+ C+
0.84 44% 23% 18% -18 -1 0.64 31% 1.1 .33 17% .32 68% .22 1.40 72% 38% 47% +13 +3 1.34 33% 0.9 .30 8% .33 68% .23
Nov
15		 Dayton A+ B+ C+ D C+ 36% 34% 30% D- C A- A+ A+ A+ D- F F+ F A- F F F 44% 12% 44% C- F F B- F B- F F+ F
1.19 63% 39% 31% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 15% .26 60% .15 1.33 50% 60% 61% +17 +1 1.39 39% 1.1 .43 19% .57 81% .47
Nov
19		 Ohio C+ D A+ A+ A+ 48% 23% 29% C A F F F A F F F C+ D+ F A+ B 51% 22% 27% F+ B- D+ A B F F B- F
1.13 52% 58% 53% +10 0 1.23 16% 0.8 .13 12% .24 57% .13 1.08 62% 55% 14% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.8 .23 10% .46 68% .31
Nov
24		 Jacksonville F+ A C- F F+ 36% 28% 36% D- F D F F B- B+ F D- D+ D- A+ C+ D 53% 13% 34% F D- C- C C- F+ F A+ F+
0.99 72% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.7 .16 14% .43 50% .22 1.07 64% 17% 31% -1 +2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .45 56% .25
Nov
25		 Stony Brook F F+ C- F F 42% 35% 23% F+ F A+ F F+ D A+ F A+ B B- B+ B B+ 26% 19% 55% B+ A- F A- C- A- F+ A D+
0.86 50% 33% 20% -10 -2 0.79 45% 0.4 .17 17% .50 62% .31 0.97 50% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.89 38% 0.7 .28 22% .33 63% .20
Nov
29		 Indiana F F F F F 30% 42% 28% F F D D+ D B- B A- A- F F D+ F F 45% 7% 48% D+ F D+ A- B- F+ B D- C+
0.79 40% 24% 21% -17 -3 0.62 21% 1.0 .21 15% .35 81% .28 1.41 76% 50% 41% +14 +2 1.34 33% 0.9 .30 10% .30 84% .25
Dec
5		 South Carolina St. C+ A- F A+ A 47% 17% 36% C- A- F F F A+ F A+ F C+ A- A+ A- A+ 30% 24% 46% F A+ F A+ C- C D D- D-
1.21 72% 22% 47% +11 +1 1.26 26% 0.3 .06 11% .20 92% .19 0.90 43% 9% 29% -15 -1 0.70 43% 0.7 .32 21% .37 68% .25
Dec
14		 Missouri D- F C A+ F 54% 20% 27% A D- F A+ A- F A+ B- A+ C B- F C+ C 49% 14% 37% D C- D- F F A- A+ B A+
0.89 32% 38% 45% -10 +1 0.85 18% 2.0 .36 24% .41 76% .31 1.22 58% 71% 33% +5 +2 1.14 42% 1.9 .81 22% .21 64% .13
Dec
17		 Saint Louis F D- F F F 40% 29% 31% C- F D C+ C- D B D B- F D+ F F F 48% 3% 48% D+ F C- F F C+ D A C-
0.68 45% 19% 12% -21 -1 0.58 21% 0.9 .19 18% .36 70% .25 1.45 64% 50% 57% +20 +3 1.48 34% 1.7 .59 17% .36 65% .23
Dec
22		 Arizona C+ C+ A A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% A- A+ F B+ D F A- C- B+ D C- F F F 51% 20% 29% F+ F D- C+ D+ A- F C F
0.90 53% 45% 45% +7 -1 1.15 13% 1.0 .13 28% .32 67% .21 1.35 65% 60% 53% +17 +1 1.37 45% 0.9 .42 19% .55 74% .41
Dec
29		 Oklahoma St. D+ B+ A+ B A 26% 26% 47% F A- D- F F+ F A B- A D- A+ F D A 67% 9% 24% F A- D- F F F F F+ F
0.97 64% 50% 36% +6 -2 1.11 22% 0.9 .19 24% .36 73% .26 1.29 43% 60% 38% -6 +4 0.96 37% 1.4 .51 10% .59 81% .47
Jan
3		 Florida A&M B- A+ C+ F+ B 41% 24% 35% D B- F A D+ A A+ C- A+ F D+ C+ F F+ 35% 29% 35% B D B F F F F+ F F
1.21 80% 42% 29% +8 0 1.16 22% 1.2 .26 14% .55 76% .42 1.16 61% 33% 39% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.6 .39 15% .36 82% .30
Jan
10		 Grambling St. D- D+ F B- D 48% 24% 28% D+ D- C B+ B- F+ B D C+ B D- D A+ C 41% 20% 39% C C C- A+ A+ B+ D D D-
0.99 54% 25% 36% -4 0 0.94 33% 1.2 .38 23% .38 68% .26 0.87 65% 40% 21% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.2 .06 24% .39 77% .30
Jan
12		 Southern F+ B A D- C- 43% 17% 40% B C F+ F F D- C B+ B- D+ A+ A+ B- A+ 49% 21% 30% F A F+ F F D- F D- F
1.01 65% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.11 25% 0.5 .13 22% .37 81% .30 1.06 42% 18% 31% -13 +1 0.77 37% 1.2 .46 14% .48 73% .35
Jan
17		 Mississippi Valley C C A A+ A+ 33% 20% 48% D+ A C+ A+ A+ F D+ F F D+ A+ F+ A- A- 35% 27% 39% F B- A+ F F F F A+ D
1.19 62% 50% 53% +17 0 1.35 38% 1.6 .62 21% .36 63% .23 0.95 35% 46% 26% -10 -1 0.80 14% 3.5 .48 9% .38 61% .23
Jan
19		 Arkansas Pine Bluff C- D F F F 61% 13% 26% A- F+ B+ B A- F A+ C A+ C C F C+ D 46% 24% 30% D D B- D- C B+ F B+ F
1.10 54% 17% 25% -9 +3 0.89 42% 1.3 .53 22% .66 73% .48 1.04 57% 50% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.1 .26 22% .48 70% .34
Jan
24		 Jackson St. D+ C- F C- F 48% 20% 32% C F+ C+ A+ A C+ B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% D- A+ B D+ C+ D+ A F B+
1.15 59% 18% 33% -4 +1 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 15% .35 82% .29 0.65 32% 17% 15% -26 0 0.49 22% 1.1 .24 18% .17 90% .15
Jan
26		 Alcorn St. D+ A- A+ F B- 55% 13% 32% B- B- F F F C+ A+ D A- D+ B A+ C+ A- 43% 25% 32% D+ B+ D- F F F B C+ B
1.16 73% 67% 27% +9 +2 1.23 26% 0.8 .19 17% .44 69% .31 1.04 50% 21% 33% -8 0 0.86 30% 1.6 .48 13% .20 67% .13
Jan
31		 Alabama St. D- C- D+ B- D+ 60% 14% 26% A- C- B D- C F A+ F B A+ D- A+ A B 33% 35% 31% A B+ A- A- A- A A- D B+
1.00 58% 33% 36% 0 +2 1.07 40% 1.0 .40 29% .49 63% .31 0.78 63% 24% 27% -7 -2 0.83 24% 0.7 .16 23% .21 73% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Alabama A&M C A F A B 49% 18% 33% B- B F F F C A+ F C A A+ A+ A+ A+ 59% 10% 31% F A+ C B C+ C- F D+ F
1.10 72% 22% 41% +8 +1 1.20 19% 0.7 .14 16% .46 54% .25 0.85 38% 0% 20% -22 +3 0.63 25% 0.9 .23 16% .46 75% .35
Feb
7		 Prairie View D- F+ F F F 58% 19% 23% B F B- B- B- B+ A+ C- A+ C- A- F A+ A 42% 24% 34% F B+ D+ F+ D- F D+ B- C-
1.08 48% 20% 17% -15 +2 0.75 40% 1.1 .44 16% .53 71% .37 1.00 46% 53% 14% -11 0 0.79 26% 1.2 .30 9% .38 73% .27
Feb
9		 Texas Southern D- F+ F A F 31% 35% 33% F F B+ C+ B D+ A+ F+ A+ B- A D A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% B- A+ C C- C- D F D- F
1.06 50% 17% 41% -6 -2 0.84 40% 1.2 .47 18% .57 66% .38 0.93 44% 43% 18% -13 -1 0.73 27% 1.1 .29 15% .46 76% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 6.9 21.4 32.2 22.7 7.8 91.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 3.6 1.7 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.4 2.9 10.9 23.0 32.2 22.7 7.8 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 7.8    7.8
15-3 100.0% 22.7    22.7
14-4 100.0% 32.2    30.1 2.1 0.0
13-5 92.7% 21.4    14.5 6.1 0.8 0.0
12-6 62.8% 6.9    1.7 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.0
11-7 16.0% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 91.4% 91.4 76.8 11.4 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 7.8% 39.5% 39.5% 14.7 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.4 4.7
15-3 22.7% 37.8% 37.8% 15.6 0.3 2.8 5.5 14.1
14-4 32.2% 34.5% 34.5% 15.9 0.0 1.6 9.5 21.1
13-5 23.0% 29.9% 29.9% 15.9 0.5 6.4 16.2
12-6 10.9% 24.9% 24.9% 16.0 0.1 2.6 8.2
11-7 2.9% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.5 2.3
10-8 0.4% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.1 0.4
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 33.0% 33.0% 0.0% 15.7 67.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.7% 100.0% 14.6 4.8 34.6 57.2 3.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%