IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-6.1	#269
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.6	#253

Pace	71.4	#110
Improvement	-2.0	#275

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#261	C-	D	C-	C-	C-
Defense	#268	C-	D	D+	D+	D-

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	42%	#96	1.15	#182	+1.8	#115
2 Pt. Jumpers	25%	#91	0.71	#251	+1.1	#113
Three Pointers	33%	#329	1.00	#210	-4.3	#317
1st FG Attempt			0.99	#222	-1.5	#224
Freethrows	17.6	#195	69%	#277	12.2	#211
Second Chance	27.1%	#283	0.97	#273	0.26	#293
Turnovers					17.1%	#223
Total Offense					-3.1	#261

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	44%	#48	1.11	#111	-2.0	#248
2 Pt. Jumpers	17%	#290	0.85	#314	+0.6	#152
Three Pointers	39%	#235	1.07	#256	-0.2	#187
1st FG Attempt			1.05	#232	-1.6	#233
Freethrows	19.3	#271	73%	#219	14.0	#274
Second Chance	32.8%	#273	1.14	#297	0.37	#307
Turnovers					14.9%	#274
Total Defense					-3.0	#268

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	-0.7%	#231	1.7%	#327
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-2.3%	#214	1.4%	#206
Possession Length	17.6	#203	16.9	#110
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.22	#57	0.18	#216
Improvement	-2.5	#312	+0.4	#159

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.4%	19.7%	14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	35.4%	40.9%	18.4%
.500 or above in Conference	90.9%	94.5%	79.9%
Conference Champion	27.0%	32.1%	11.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	12.7%	13.0%	11.7%
First Round	12.5%	13.7%	8.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 75.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 4	0 - 4
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 1	1 - 9
Quad 4	14 - 8	15 - 17

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	27 @Auburn	L	90 - 95 OT	2%	-1	0 - 1		+13	+13	A+	F	B	+1	A+	C-	C
Thu, Nov 6	40 @Miami (FL)	L	61 - 101	3%	-20	0 - 2		-25	-6	F	B	A	-18	F	A	F
Sat, Nov 15	73 @Dayton	L	82 - 91	7%	-6	0 - 3		+2	+19	C	A+	A+	-17	F	F	A-
Wed, Nov 19	196 @Ohio	W	76 - 73	26%	+4	1 - 3		+4	+6	A+	F	A+	-2	B-	B	F
Mon, Nov 24	292 Jacksonville	L	64 - 69	56%	+2	1 - 4		-13	-6	F	F	B-	-7	D-	C-	F
Tue, Nov 25	242 Stony Brook	L	54 - 61	44%	+2	1 - 5		-11	-15	F	F	D-	+3	A-	C-	A+
Sat, Nov 29	37 @Indiana	L	56 - 100	3%	-26	1 - 6		-28	-11	F	D	B	-16	F	B-	F
Fri, Dec 5	359 South Carolina St.	W	80 - 59	87%	+12	2 - 6		+3	+4	A+	F	A+	-0	A+	C	C
Sun, Dec 14	50 @Missouri	L	60 - 82	4%	-15	2 - 7		-8	-5	F	B+	F	-4	C	F	A+
Wed, Dec 17	28 @Saint Louis	L	53 - 112	2%	-31	2 - 8		-41	-16	F	D	D-	-20	F	F	C+
Mon, Dec 22	2 @Arizona	L	71 - 107	1%	-15	2 - 9		-10	+3	A+	D-	F	-9	F	C-	A+
Mon, Dec 29	61 @Oklahoma St.	L	77 - 103	6%	-13	2 - 10		-14	-1	A-	F	F	-10	A-	F	F
Sat, Jan 3	313 Florida A&M	W	87 - 83	72%	+4	3 - 10	1 - 0	-8	+7	B	D-	A-	-16	F	F	F
Sat, Jan 10	287 Grambling St.	W	74 - 65	66%	+8	4 - 10	2 - 0	-1	-7	F	C	D-	+5	C+	A+	B+
Mon, Jan 12	246 Southern	L	73 - 77	56%	+4	4 - 11	2 - 1	-12	-4	C	F	F	-8	A	F	F
Sat, Jan 17	365 @Mississippi Valley	W	79 - 63	91%	+12	5 - 11	3 - 1	-5	+4	A+	A+	F	-8	C+	F	F
Mon, Jan 19	334 @Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	87 - 82 OT	57%	-2	6 - 11	4 - 1	-3	+0	F	A+	F	-4	D	C-	A-
Sat, Jan 24	325 Jackson St.	W	83 - 76	76%
Mon, Jan 26	347 Alcorn St.	W	81 - 72	80%
Sat, Jan 31	311 @Alabama St.	L	77 - 78	48%
Mon, Feb 2	301 @Alabama A&M	L	72 - 73	46%
Sat, Feb 7	317 Prairie View	W	82 - 75	73%
Mon, Feb 9	335 Texas Southern	W	81 - 73	77%
Sat, Feb 14	347 @Alcorn St.	W	78 - 75	62%
Mon, Feb 16	325 @Jackson St.	W	80 - 79	54%
Thu, Feb 19	311 Alabama St.	W	80 - 74	69%
Sat, Feb 21	301 Alabama A&M	W	75 - 70	68%
Thu, Feb 26	287 @Grambling St.	L	72 - 74	43%
Sat, Feb 28	246 @Southern	L	74 - 78	34%
Thu, Mar 5	313 @Florida A&M	W	75 - 74	50%
Totals						14 - 16	11 - 6	-6	-3	C-	D	C-	-3	C-	D	D+

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0	Total
1st											0.0	1.1	6.4	9.9	6.8	2.4	0.5			27.0	1st
2nd											0.6	7.2	9.6	3.8	0.6	0.0				21.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	3.8	9.1	2.5	0.2	0.0					15.6	3rd
4th										0.8	7.3	3.0	0.1							11.2	4th
5th									0.1	3.5	4.3	0.2								8.1	5th
6th									0.5	4.4	0.6									5.5	6th
7th								0.1	2.0	2.0	0.0									4.2	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	2.2	0.3										3.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	1.0	0.8	0.0										2.0	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	0.6	0.1											1.2	10th
11th					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1												0.5	11th
12th																					12th

Total					0.0	0.1	0.8	2.4	5.8	11.0	16.7	20.5	18.6	13.9	7.4	2.4	0.5				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.5	0.5
15-3	99.4%	2.4	2.3	0.1
14-4	91.8%	6.8	5.6	1.1	0.0
13-5	71.3%	9.9	5.5	3.7	0.7	0.0
12-6	34.1%	6.4	1.3	3.0	1.7	0.3	0.0
11-7	5.2%	1.1	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0		0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	27.0%	27.0	15.2	8.1	2.8	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.5%	37.1%	37.1%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.3
15-3	2.4%	39.0%	39.0%		15.4														0.1	0.5	0.4	1.5
14-4	7.4%	30.2%	30.2%		15.7														0.0	0.6	1.7	5.1
13-5	13.9%	25.4%	25.4%		15.9															0.3	3.2	10.4
12-6	18.6%	21.0%	21.0%		16.0															0.2	3.7	14.7
11-7	20.5%	17.6%	17.6%		16.0															0.0	3.6	16.9
10-8	16.7%	14.5%	14.5%		16.0																2.4	14.2
9-9	11.0%	11.6%	11.6%		16.0																1.3	9.7
8-10	5.8%	5.3%	5.3%		16.0																0.3	5.5
7-11	2.4%	0.6%	0.6%		16.0																0.0	2.4
6-12	0.8%																					0.8
5-13	0.1%																					0.1
4-14	0.0%																					0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18

Total	100%	18.4%	18.4%	0.0%	15.9																	81.6	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.2%	100.0%	14.2												3.0	12.1	48.5	33.3	3.0