Duke
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +27.2 1
Results Rating +29.2 2
Consistency 0.17 279
Pace 65.2 268
Improvement +3.8 53

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 4 A A+ B- B A
Defense A+ 1 A+ A+ B A B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 19 A- 68% 15 +8.8 4
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 360 A+ 51% 4 -4.0 350
Three Pointers 46% 66 B 37% 55 +4.9 34
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.2 4 A- +7.1 16
1st FG Attempt A 1.22 5
Second Chance A 40.0% 6 A 1.24 7 A+ 0.50 4
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 152
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 42
Turnovers B- 15.1% 83
Freethrows B+ 0.35 41 C+ 73% 167 B 0.26 46
Total Offense A +13.3 4

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 59% 34 B+ 7.4% 25
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 196 A 0.3% 3
Three Pointers B 90% 50 B+ 0.1% 14
Total A- 66% 20 A- 3.5% 13


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 345 A 47% 10 -8.2 6
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 56 B+ 33% 23 +0.4 223
Three Pointers 45% 66 A 28% 6 -1.8 104
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.1 32 A+ -8.5 4
1st FG Attempt A+ 0.83 4
Second Chance A 21.8% 4 A+ 0.78 3 A+ 0.17 3
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.3% 23
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 188
Turnovers B 19.5% 37
Freethrows A 0.21 4 B+ 69% 38 A 0.14 4
Total Defense A+ +13.9 1

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 18 B- 14.0% 66
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 132 C 5.1% 146
Three Pointers B- 81% 90 A 2.2% 17
Total B 50% 62 C+ 6.5% 105

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.9 45 19.7 365
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 77 0.11 24
Consistency 0.12 133 0.12 138
Improvement +2.6 62 +1.2 120

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 3 1 1
Results Rating Rank 3 2 1
Conference Record 16 - 2 17 - 1 17 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Final 4 Champion

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 35% 36% 21%
#1 Seed 97% 97% 92%
Top 2 Seed 100% 100% 100%
Top 4 Seed 100% 100% 100%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 1.0 1.0 1.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round100% 100% 100%
Sweet Sixteen89% 89% 87%
Elite Eight72% 73% 66%
Final Four55% 56% 49%
Championship Game37% 37% 31%
National Champion23% 23% 17%
Next Game: North Carolina (Home) - 91.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a9 - 29 - 2
Quad 1b7 - 016 - 2
Quad 26 - 022 - 2
Quad 32 - 024 - 2
Quad 47 - 031 - 2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 31 Texas W 75 - 60 87% +5  75% 1 - 0 A+ +30 B +6 B- C+ C A+ +24 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 232 Western Carolina W 95 - 54 100% +23  94% 2 - 0 A+ +34 B +6 D+ A+ B A+ +25 A+ A+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 341 @Army W 114 - 59 100% +23  97% 3 - 0 A+ +46 A+ +23 A+ A+ B- A+ +17 A A- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 201 Indiana St. W 100 - 62 99% +19  83% 4 - 0 A+ +33 A +14 A- A+ C- A+ +15 A A+ A
 Tue, Nov 18 20 Kansas W 78 - 66 82% +3  65% 5 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +18 A+ A+ A- A+ +12 A+ C+ D
 Fri, Nov 21 334 Niagara W 100 - 42 100% +30  99% 6 - 0 A+ +43 A+ +26 A+ A+ B- A+ +22 A+ C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 182 Howard W 93 - 56 99% +29  99% 7 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +18 A+ B+ A- A+ +14 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Nov 27 17 Arkansas W 80 - 71 79% +1  42% 8 - 0 A+ +28 A- +10 C+ A+ C+ A+ +18 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 3 Florida W 67 - 66 67% +5  87% 9 - 0 A+ +24 B+ +8 A+ B+ D+ A+ +15 A+ A A
 Sat, Dec 6 9 @Michigan St. W 66 - 60 65% +0  48% 10 - 0 A+ +29 A- +10 B B- A A+ +20 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 197 Lipscomb W 97 - 73 99% +5  63% 11 - 0 A +19 B- +5 B- A+ F A +10 B+ A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 12 Texas Tech L 81 - 82 78% +4  66% 11 - 1 A +18 A +13 A+ B- B- B+ +5 C- A C+
 Wed, Dec 31 148 Georgia Tech W 85 - 79 99% +0  41% 12 - 1 1 - 0 C+ +4 B+ +8 A- C+ C D+ -4 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 75 @Florida St. W 91 - 87 93% +0  43% 13 - 1 2 - 0 A- +15 A+ +20 A+ A+ D D -6 F F A
 Tue, Jan 6 13 @Louisville W 84 - 73 71% -2  33% 14 - 1 3 - 0 A+ +33 A +13 A+ F B- A+ +19 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 41 SMU W 82 - 75 94% +4  78% 15 - 1 4 - 0 A- +17 B+ +8 A+ C- C- A +9 D A A+
 Wed, Jan 14 73 @California W 71 - 56 92% +3  57% 16 - 1 5 - 0 A+ +26 B+ +8 C+ A B- A+ +19 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 60 @Stanford W 80 - 50 91% +15  99% 17 - 1 6 - 0 A+ +42 A+ +19 A A+ B+ A+ +27 A+ B A+
 Sat, Jan 24 69 Wake Forest W 90 - 69 97% +9  65% 18 - 1 7 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +23 A A+ A+ B+ +5 C+ A+ C
 Mon, Jan 26 13 Louisville W 83 - 52 86% +12  96% 19 - 1 8 - 0 A+ +47 A+ +21 A+ A+ C- A+ +28 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 56 @Virginia Tech W 72 - 58 90% +9  96% 20 - 1 9 - 0 A+ +27 A+ +18 A+ A+ A A+ +12 C+ A+ B
 Tue, Feb 3 137 Boston College W 67 - 49 99% +14  98% 21 - 1 10 - 0 A- +16 B- +4 B+ C+ C+ A+ +15 B A+ A
 Sat, Feb 7 27 @North Carolina L 68 - 71 80% +6  94% 21 - 2 10 - 1 A- +15 B +7 C A+ B A- +8 B A+ D+
 Tue, Feb 10 95 @Pittsburgh W 70 - 54 95% +5  78% 22 - 2 11 - 1 A+ +25 B+ +9 A+ A+ F+ A+ +18 A- A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 40 Clemson W 67 - 54 93% +9  91% 23 - 2 12 - 1 A+ +24 B+ +8 A+ F+ B A+ +17 A+ A C
 Mon, Feb 16 77 Syracuse W 101 - 64 97% +16  87% 24 - 2 13 - 1 A+ +42 A+ +36 A+ A+ A+ A +9 A C B-
 Sat, Feb 21 2 Michigan W 68 - 63 51% +2  61% 25 - 2 A+ +32 A+ +15 A A+ C+ A+ +17 A+ A+ F+
 Tue, Feb 24 89 @Notre Dame W 100 - 56 94% +27  99% 26 - 2 14 - 1 A+ +53 A+ +25 A A B+ A+ +27 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Feb 28 21 Virginia W 77 - 51 88% +14  96% 27 - 2 15 - 1 A+ +40 A+ +21 A+ A+ A- A+ +24 A+ A+ C
 Mon, Mar 2 36 @North Carolina St. W 93 - 64 83% +15  85% 28 - 2 16 - 1 A+ +46 A+ +32 A+ A+ A+ A+ +17 A+ B D-
 Sat, Mar 7 27 North Carolina W 81 - 66 92%
Totals 29 - 2 17 - 1 +27 A +13 C A- A A+ +14 B C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A- A+ B A- 46% 14% 46% A A A A A+ B- B+ C+ B A+ A B+ A A+ 30% 25% 45% B+ A+ A A+ A+ B A B+ A
1.28 68% 51% 37% +7 +2 1.22 40% 1.2 .50 15% .35 73% .26 0.89 47% 33% 28% -9 -1 0.83 22% 0.8 .17 19% .21 69% .24
Nov
4		 Texas B C+ F A C+ 46% 13% 41% A B- A F C+ C A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ 40% 29% 31% A- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D- C+ D
1.13 57% 0% 42% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.7 .24 15% .53 73% .39 0.90 33% 23% 36% -13 -1 0.73 41% 0.8 .32 24% .45 74% .34
Nov
8		 Western Carolina B B- A+ F D- 42% 6% 53% A D+ B A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 34% 31% 36% A A+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.24 64% 67% 29% 0 +2 1.06 33% 1.5 .48 13% .50 76% .38 0.71 45% 28% 19% -16 -2 0.68 28% 0.5 .15 18% .18 55% .10
Nov
11		 Army A+ A+ F A- A+ 36% 5% 59% A- A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A 17% 10% 73% A- A A- B+ A- A- A+ C A+
1.48 90% 0% 40% +15 +2 1.36 43% 1.3 .57 13% .43 83% .36 0.77 70% 17% 23% -12 0 0.78 22% 0.8 .18 22% .12 71% .08
Nov
14		 Indiana St. A A- A- C B 53% 4% 44% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- A- D- B A+ A- A+ B A+ 43% 6% 51% D+ A C+ A+ A+ A C A B-
1.31 66% 50% 33% +4 +3 1.16 48% 1.4 .70 16% .33 67% .22 0.81 52% 0% 30% -8 +2 0.91 24% 0.5 .12 24% .26 60% .15
Nov
18		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ F A 43% 8% 49% A+ A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ D+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% B A+ A+ F C+ D A- A- A
1.18 68% 50% 24% -2 +2 1.02 37% 1.2 .43 12% .45 65% .29 1.00 78% 29% 19% -5 -1 0.91 22% 1.6 .36 12% .24 71% .17
Nov
21		 Niagara A+ B A+ A+ A+ 31% 6% 63% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 15% 56% B A+ B- C+ C+ A+ F A+ D+
1.54 67% 67% 53% +23 +1 1.50 46% 1.5 .67 14% .43 79% .34 0.65 42% 17% 22% -18 0 0.66 19% 0.9 .17 26% .31 60% .19
Nov
23		 Howard A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 52% 2% 46% A A+ C A B+ A- B F+ C A+ A+ A- B+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B A+ A+ B- A+ D- D+ B- C-
1.32 85% 100% 30% +13 +3 1.34 33% 1.3 .44 16% .37 64% .23 0.79 26% 30% 30% -16 0 0.69 19% 1.0 .19 17% .36 71% .26
Nov
27		 Arkansas A- D A+ F+ C 42% 19% 40% B- C+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ C- A A+ B- B B- A+ 28% 22% 50% A- A+ A- A+ A+ A A+ F+ A+
1.14 50% 56% 26% -5 0 0.94 39% 2.1 .81 17% .36 67% .24 1.01 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 17% .19 82% .15
Dec
2		 Florida B+ A- A+ D A- 46% 8% 46% A+ A+ A C+ B+ D+ B- F+ C A+ A+ F+ B A+ 43% 12% 45% C+ A+ D A+ A A A+ D+ A+
1.03 61% 50% 30% 0 +2 1.06 31% 0.7 .23 18% .30 63% .19 1.01 41% 50% 30% -8 +1 0.88 48% 0.8 .36 20% .23 75% .17
Dec
6		 Michigan St. A- A+ F D B 23% 19% 57% C B B+ C+ B- A A+ D- A+ A+ A A+ B A+ 36% 29% 35% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B A+
1.03 73% 22% 30% -3 -1 0.94 25% 0.8 .20 12% .41 65% .27 0.93 50% 6% 32% -13 -1 0.73 28% 0.8 .21 8% .24 71% .17
Dec
16		 Lipscomb B- C+ A+ F+ C- 50% 6% 44% A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F A A- A+ A B+ A C+ B+ 50% 14% 36% D+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F F F
1.18 63% 67% 29% +1 +3 1.09 53% 1.3 .68 27% .36 77% .28 0.89 52% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.95 8% 0.0 .00 19% .30 90% .27
Dec
20		 Texas Tech A A A+ A+ A+ 40% 7% 53% A+ A+ D A+ B- B- A+ F A+ B+ D- F C- C- 39% 24% 37% C C- A+ D+ A C+ C- A C+
1.15 67% 67% 42% +11 +2 1.29 21% 1.3 .28 16% .49 59% .29 1.16 70% 58% 37% +11 0 1.24 23% 1.1 .27 16% .29 65% .19
Dec
31		 Georgia Tech B+ C+ A+ C A- 30% 17% 52% C+ A- A+ F C+ C A+ D A+ D+ F C- F F 29% 35% 35% A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A- F C+
1.18 57% 63% 33% +3 0 1.09 48% 0.7 .34 17% .58 69% .40 1.10 80% 39% 56% +18 -3 1.33 19% 0.0 .00 24% .24 85% .20
Jan
3		 Florida St. A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 7% 57% A A+ A A A+ D A+ A+ A+ D B- F F F 32% 16% 52% B+ F B- F F A B- B B
1.30 59% 67% 42% +9 +2 1.24 40% 1.1 .44 22% .46 92% .42 1.25 56% 50% 46% +11 0 1.24 30% 1.8 .53 19% .28 69% .19
Jan
6		 Louisville A A+ A+ B- A+ 41% 20% 39% A- A+ C- F F B- A+ D A+ A+ A+ D B- A+ 25% 15% 60% A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+
1.13 71% 60% 35% +10 0 1.24 23% 0.5 .11 16% .45 68% .30 0.98 43% 50% 33% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.9 .22 19% .20 75% .15
Jan
10		 SMU B+ B+ F A+ A+ 32% 14% 55% B+ A+ D+ C+ C- C- A+ A- A+ A C+ F F F 31% 40% 29% A+ D B- A+ A A+ A+ F A-
1.18 64% 17% 46% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 19% .48 78% .37 1.08 60% 58% 50% +15 -3 1.27 35% 0.8 .26 30% .19 89% .16
Jan
14		 California B+ B+ A+ F C 39% 4% 57% A C+ A+ B- A B- C+ F D- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 24% 33% 43% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B C+ C+ C+
1.10 63% 100% 21% -6 +2 0.94 40% 1.1 .43 15% .31 47% .15 0.87 33% 56% 24% -7 -3 0.84 18% 0.3 .06 17% .32 76% .24
Jan
17		 Stanford A+ B F A B+ 60% 16% 23% A+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 40% 11% 49% B- A+ C A- B A+ A+ A+ A+
1.27 62% 29% 40% +3 +2 1.12 41% 1.5 .63 16% .53 71% .38 0.79 44% 40% 23% -14 +1 0.78 35% 0.8 .30 29% .22 60% .13
Jan
24		 Wake Forest A+ A F B- A- 50% 7% 43% A A A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ C+ A+ F C+ 24% 14% 62% B- C+ A+ C A+ C A F B+
1.39 70% 0% 35% +4 +3 1.15 50% 1.1 .56 14% .43 88% .38 1.07 58% 0% 42% +2 0 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 14% .23 85% .20
Jan
26		 Louisville A+ B- A+ C+ A 54% 4% 42% A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C- A- C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 28% 6% 66% B A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A- A A
1.28 59% 100% 33% +3 +3 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 19% .34 72% .25 0.80 38% 0% 32% -10 +1 0.85 22% 0.6 .12 19% .25 69% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Virginia Tech A+ A+ A+ F A+ 46% 17% 37% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A F C F A+ F A+ B- C 25% 27% 48% A C+ C- A+ A+ B A+ F A+
1.25 76% 63% 24% +7 +1 1.17 44% 1.3 .59 14% .14 71% .10 1.01 91% 25% 33% +4 -2 1.07 34% 0.5 .19 17% .13 83% .11
Feb
3		 Boston College B- A+ F F B- 55% 9% 36% A+ B+ D A+ C+ C+ A B A A+ B- D- A+ B 33% 24% 43% C B A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
1.09 71% 0% 25% -1 +3 1.05 23% 1.1 .26 15% .38 70% .27 0.80 53% 45% 25% -6 -1 0.89 20% 0.6 .11 20% .18 44% .08
Feb
7		 North Carolina B D+ F+ D+ D+ 49% 21% 30% A C B+ A+ A+ B F A+ D- A- B- F+ D- C- 23% 43% 34% A+ B A+ B A+ D+ A+ F B+
1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.7 .53 13% .11 83% .09 1.11 58% 48% 39% +7 -4 1.08 13% 1.0 .13 11% .25 79% .19
Feb
10		 Pittsburgh B+ A+ B B- A+ 34% 16% 50% C A+ B+ A+ A+ F+ F F F A+ F A+ A A- 24% 16% 59% B+ A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.14 87% 43% 36% +12 0 1.27 33% 1.3 .42 21% .17 63% .10 0.88 75% 25% 28% -4 0 0.94 19% 0.7 .14 20% .16 38% .06
Feb
14		 Clemson B+ A+ F A A+ 30% 17% 53% B- A+ B+ F F+ B C+ C- C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 35% 25% 40% A A+ B+ A+ A C A+ F A+
1.08 71% 25% 40% +7 0 1.15 28% 0.3 .09 16% .29 73% .21 0.87 41% 42% 26% -10 -1 0.81 24% 0.8 .19 15% .19 80% .15
Feb
16		 Syracuse A+ B F A+ A+ 60% 4% 36% A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B F C+ A A A+ C- A+ 39% 18% 43% C A C C C B- A+ A+ A+
1.57 60% 0% 56% +11 +4 1.32 41% 2.0 .81 6% .33 65% .22 1.00 50% 22% 36% -4 0 0.94 32% 1.1 .34 17% .15 25% .04
Feb
21		 Michigan A+ C+ A F+ A- 42% 24% 33% A- A A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F+ B C+ B
1.10 53% 45% 27% -4 0 0.93 39% 1.4 .55 18% .33 71% .24 1.02 47% 50% 22% -10 0 0.82 22% 1.4 .31 11% .33 72% .24
Feb
24		 Notre Dame A+ B A+ B+ A- 33% 12% 55% B+ A A+ C A B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 17% 30% 53% A+ A+ A+ F A+ A C- A+ B
1.40 63% 50% 37% +5 +1 1.14 39% 1.0 .39 13% .61 89% .54 0.78 88% 21% 24% -8 -3 0.81 13% 1.4 .18 21% .34 58% .19
Feb
28		 Virginia A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 50% 8% 42% A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 19% 11% 70% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C B+ F C-
1.26 50% 50% 45% +4 +2 1.15 26% 1.6 .41 13% .26 93% .25 0.84 44% 20% 21% -18 0 0.66 23% 0.9 .21 15% .25 92% .23
Mar
2		 North Carolina St. A+ A+ B- A+ 49% 0% 51% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C+ A+ D+ A+ B D- B- A+ A-
1.44 75% 36% +10 +3 1.29 43% 1.4 .60 11% .47 67% .31 0.99 50% 25% 27% -10 +1 0.83 33% 1.0 .33 9% .29 65% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 8.1 91.9 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 8.1 91.9 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 91.9    91.9
16-2 100.0% 8.1    8.1
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 91.9% 100.0% 71.6% 28.4% 1.0 89.3 2.6 100.0%
16-2 8.1% 100.0% 66.5% 33.5% 1.1 7.5 0.7 0.0 100.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 71.2% 28.8% 1.0 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 65.8% 100.0% 1.0 98.4 1.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.6% 100.0% 1.1 94.7 5.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.7% 100.0% 1.1 92.6 7.4
Lose Out 0.6% 100.0% 1.2 86.4 11.9 1.7