Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +15.6 25
Results Rating +15.0 31
Consistency 0.17 282
Pace 76.2 22
Improvement -4.3 330

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 40 A+ C+ C C A
Defense B+ 28 A- A- C- C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 18 B 64% 59 +7.1 10
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 363 B- 42% 62 -5.3 363
Three Pointers 48% 44 A+ 42% 1 +9.4 5
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.4 2 A +8.2 6
1st FG Attempt A+ 1.25 1
Second Chance C+ 32.1% 122 C+ 1.05 149 C+ 0.34 114
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 224
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 105
Turnovers C 16.4% 162
Freethrows C 0.30 193 C+ 73% 160 C 0.22 172
Total Offense B+ +8.3 40

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 181 C+ 9.7% 111
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 159 F+ 9.1% 349
Three Pointers B 89% 63 C+ 0.7% 141
Total B 63% 46 C+ 5.4% 169


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 275 A 48% 13 -5.2 36
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 90 C+ 37% 127 +0.7 243
Three Pointers 41% 169 B+ 30% 32 -2.3 86
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 88 A- -6.3 14
1st FG Attempt A- 0.88 18
Second Chance B+ 25.3% 28 A- 0.87 13 A- 0.22 14
Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 173
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 308
Turnovers C- 15.9% 231
Freethrows C 0.31 203 C- 73% 237 C- 0.23 220
Total Defense B+ +7.3 28

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 116 C 11.0% 173
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 192 D+ 3.5% 255
Three Pointers B- 81% 97 B- 1.4% 70
Total C+ 52% 116 C 5.3% 193

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.7 5 18.3 311
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.28 7 0.16 135
Consistency 0.15 342 0.14 283
Improvement -1.3 257 -3.0 314

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 33 26 22
Results Rating Rank 40 33 22
Conference Record 15 - 3 16 - 2 16 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 9 7
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 4% 5% 1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 93% 95% 87%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 85% 89% 73%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four10% 9% 15%
First Round90% 92% 82%
Second Round49% 51% 42%
Sweet Sixteen12% 12% 10%
Elite Eight5% 5% 3%
Final Four1% 2% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 79.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 1
Quad 25 - 28 - 3
Quad 310 - 117 - 4
Quad 411 - 029 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 224 Southeast Missouri St. W 92 - 67 97% +10  75% 1 - 0 A +18 B +7 B+ C+ D A +9 A A+ F
 Thu, Nov 6 348 Chicago St. W 108 - 86 99% +13  90% 2 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 A F B- C- -3 C- B- B-
 Mon, Nov 10 269 Lindenwood W 109 - 66 98% +22  98% 3 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +17 A+ A+ F A +11 C- B- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 62 Grand Canyon W 78 - 64 81% +11  93% 4 - 0 A +20 B- +4 A+ C F A+ +15 A+ A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 258 Purdue Fort Wayne W 91 - 60 98% +19  97% 5 - 0 A +23 A- +11 A+ C F+ A+ +11 A+ C C
 Thu, Nov 27 44 Santa Clara W 71 - 70 62% -3  11% 6 - 0 B+ +13 C- -1 B- D- A A+ +15 A+ A B-
 Fri, Nov 28 60 Stanford L 77 - 78 73% +6  77% 6 - 1 B +8 C+ +3 F+ A A- B+ +5 A A- C-
 Tue, Dec 2 158 @Loyola Marymount W 91 - 70 87% +12  94% 7 - 1 A+ +24 A- +11 A A+ F A+ +12 A B C
 Sun, Dec 7 259 Central Michigan W 107 - 65 98% +23  96% 8 - 1 A+ +33 A+ +28 A+ A+ A+ B+ +6 C+ A- C+
 Sat, Dec 13 122 San Francisco W 85 - 75 92% +1  50% 9 - 1 B +10 B+ +8 A D+ C+ B- +2 B+ B+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 237 Bethune-Cookman W 112 - 53 97% +31  94% 10 - 1 A+ +52 A+ +24 A+ A+ D+ A+ +22 A+ A- C
 Sun, Dec 21 352 New Hampshire W 93 - 79 99% +3  65% 11 - 1 C- -3 B +7 B- C- A- F -10 F A F
 Wed, Dec 31 112 Saint Joseph's W 102 - 79 92% +12  86% 12 - 1 1 - 0 A+ +23 A+ +38 A+ C A F -13 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 7 50 @Virginia Commonwealth W 71 - 62 56% +6  97% 13 - 1 2 - 0 A +23 D -5 C- F B- A+ +28 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 209 @La Salle W 84 - 72 92% +12  99% 14 - 1 3 - 0 B+ +12 A +13 A+ D+ F+ C -1 B B+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 161 Fordham W 78 - 56 95% +12  89% 15 - 1 4 - 0 A +19 A+ +15 A+ B+ A+ B+ +7 A A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 135 Richmond W 88 - 63 94% +19  97% 16 - 1 5 - 0 A+ +24 A +12 A D+ A A+ +12 A+ D+ C
 Tue, Jan 20 127 @Duquesne W 81 - 77 83% +5  80% 17 - 1 6 - 0 B +9 C+ +2 B B+ D- A- +7 A+ D- C+
 Fri, Jan 23 138 @St. Bonaventure W 97 - 62 86% +25  98% 18 - 1 7 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +20 A+ B- B+ A+ +19 A+ A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 27 78 George Washington W 79 - 76 85% -5  11% 19 - 1 8 - 0 B- +8 D+ -3 C+ C C- A +10 A A+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 76 Dayton W 102 - 71 85% +18  99% 20 - 1 9 - 0 A+ +36 A+ +27 A+ A+ A- A- +7 B- A B+
 Tue, Feb 3 113 @Davidson W 91 - 82 81% -1  39% 21 - 1 10 - 0 A- +15 A+ +20 A- A+ A- D+ -5 A- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 209 La Salle W 82 - 58 97% +7  82% 22 - 1 11 - 0 A +18 B- +4 A+ F B- A+ +14 A A+ B-
 Fri, Feb 13 279 @Loyola Chicago W 86 - 59 95% +12  96% 23 - 1 12 - 0 A+ +24 B +6 A+ C F A+ +16 B+ A+ F+
 Tue, Feb 17 130 @Rhode Island L 76 - 81 84% -4  5% 23 - 2 12 - 1 C -0 C +1 B- D D- C -1 D- A+ C-
 Fri, Feb 20 50 Virginia Commonwealth W 88 - 75 76% -4  24% 24 - 2 13 - 1 A +21 B +7 A+ B- F+ A+ +13 A+ C- A
 Tue, Feb 24 76 @Dayton L 62 - 77 68% -14  1% 24 - 3 13 - 2 C- -4 D -5 C- F C C+ +1 B D+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 127 Duquesne W 91 - 76 93% +1  50% 25 - 3 14 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +22 A+ B B D- -6 C+ D D
 Wed, Mar 4 279 Loyola Chicago W 79 - 65 98% +8  85% 26 - 3 15 - 2 C+ +5 A +14 A+ F C+ D- -6 F A+ C+
 Sat, Mar 7 105 @George Mason W 79 - 71 79%
Totals 27 - 3 16 - 2 +16 B+ +8 A A A B+ +7 A+ C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B B- A+ A 46% 13% 48% A A+ C+ C+ C+ C C C+ C B+ A C+ B+ A- 36% 23% 41% B- A- B+ A- A- C- C C- C-
1.20 64% 42% 42% +8 +2 1.25 32% 1.0 .34 16% .30 73% .22 0.98 48% 37% 30% -6 0 0.88 25% 0.9 .22 16% .31 73% .22
Nov
3		 Southeast Missouri St. B A+ F+ D B 49% 5% 46% A B+ A F C+ D F+ B+ D A B- B A B 25% 42% 32% A+ A A+ A+ A+ F D- C- D-
1.19 71% 33% 31% +4 +3 1.16 39% 0.9 .33 19% .34 81% .27 0.87 53% 32% 26% -7 -4 0.80 15% 0.7 .11 12% .38 69% .26
Nov
6		 Chicago St. B- A+ F A+ A 45% 4% 51% A- A F F F B- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F C C- 32% 38% 30% B- C- C B+ B- B- F D- F
1.26 76% 0% 43% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.6 .14 18% .47 91% .42 1.00 37% 48% 33% -3 -3 0.90 28% 0.8 .23 18% .50 80% .40
Nov
10		 Lindenwood A+ A+ F A+ A+ 58% 2% 40% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C A+ A D+ B- A- D+ 42% 27% 31% B C- B- C B- A+ F A+ D-
1.35 76% 0% 50% +19 +4 1.48 48% 1.7 .83 25% .51 71% .36 0.81 60% 31% 27% -5 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 30% .46 54% .25
Nov
15		 Grand Canyon B- B- F A+ A 46% 6% 48% A+ A+ B F+ C F C- A+ B- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 36% 20% 44% B- A+ B- A+ A+ C- D+ F F+
1.04 58% 0% 40% +2 +2 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 24% .30 82% .25 0.86 50% 9% 25% -15 0 0.73 30% 0.5 .14 16% .35 86% .30
Nov
21		 Purdue Fort Wayne A- A A+ A+ A+ 35% 6% 59% B- A+ A+ F C F+ B A+ A+ A+ A D- A+ A+ 28% 17% 56% B+ A+ B F+ C C C+ F C-
1.29 72% 67% 43% +15 +2 1.35 48% 0.7 .35 23% .31 94% .29 0.85 47% 44% 20% -14 0 0.74 19% 1.1 .21 16% .24 79% .19
Nov
27		 Santa Clara C- C A+ D C+ 45% 6% 49% A- B- C- F D- A C- F D- A+ A A+ A+ A+ 53% 8% 39% F A+ A- A- A B- F F F
1.00 59% 67% 29% -1 +2 1.04 29% 0.8 .23 16% .32 63% .20 0.99 48% 25% 25% -12 +3 0.84 31% 1.0 .31 17% .37 82% .31
Nov
28		 Stanford C+ F F F F 53% 10% 37% A+ F+ A- A A A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ 47% 7% 45% D+ A B+ A- A- C- D- B- D+
1.06 44% 20% 26% -13 +2 0.80 34% 1.2 .42 15% .46 93% .42 1.08 31% 0% 48% -6 +2 0.95 30% 0.8 .26 14% .38 71% .27
Dec
2		 Loyola Marymount A- A A+ D+ A- 52% 4% 45% A+ A A+ B A+ F D A- C- A+ B D- A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% F+ A B B- B C C C- C
1.18 66% 50% 32% +3 +3 1.14 49% 1.1 .54 23% .25 80% .20 0.91 55% 45% 23% -7 0 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 18% .27 71% .19
Dec
7		 Central Michigan A+ A- B+ A 55% 0% 45% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ C B- C+ B+ A+ F D C+ 30% 30% 40% B C+ B A A- C+ F C F
1.55 69% 38% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.5 .63 6% .34 73% .25 0.94 36% 50% 37% -1 -2 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 19% .41 70% .28
Dec
13		 San Francisco B+ A D D+ A- 52% 12% 37% A+ A A- F D+ C+ A+ C- A+ B- B- F A+ B 17% 19% 64% A B+ A C B+ D- C C C-
1.21 70% 33% 32% +4 +2 1.15 36% 0.7 .25 13% .41 72% .29 1.06 56% 70% 26% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 13% .34 71% .24
Dec
17		 Bethune-Cookman A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 3% 48% A A+ C+ A+ A+ D+ B F+ C+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% B+ A+ A B+ A- C D C- D
1.45 64% 50% 57% +20 +3 1.48 34% 1.7 .59 17% .36 65% .23 0.68 45% 19% 12% -21 -1 0.58 21% 0.9 .19 18% .36 70% .25
Dec
21		 New Hampshire B C- F A+ C+ 40% 11% 49% B B- B- F+ C- A- A+ C- A+ F B F F F 31% 20% 49% A- F A+ D- A F C- B+ C+
1.25 57% 17% 42% +3 +1 1.11 34% 0.9 .29 11% .47 74% .35 1.07 50% 50% 41% +5 -1 1.12 11% 1.0 .11 12% .28 61% .17
Dec
31		 Saint Joseph's A+ A+ F A+ A+ 39% 7% 54% A+ A+ C- C+ C A D+ F+ D F B A+ D- C+ 37% 21% 42% B+ B- D- F F F F C F
1.56 76% 25% 62% +29 +2 1.63 28% 1.0 .28 11% .19 64% .12 1.21 53% 18% 36% -5 0 0.92 36% 1.4 .49 9% .40 75% .30
Jan
7		 Virginia Commonwealth D D+ C+ F D 59% 8% 32% A+ C- F D- F B- D D+ D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ 50% 11% 39% D A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ F D+
0.92 51% 40% 26% -8 +3 0.93 15% 0.8 .13 16% .25 69% .17 0.81 39% 0% 27% -17 +2 0.71 20% 0.3 .07 16% .37 83% .31
Jan
10		 La Salle A A- A+ A+ A+ 56% 4% 40% A+ A+ B- F D+ F+ A+ B+ A+ C F D- A+ B- 36% 36% 29% A B C+ A B+ F F A- F
1.24 68% 50% 50% +16 +3 1.40 32% 0.9 .28 21% .41 73% .30 1.07 69% 44% 8% -6 -2 0.87 33% 0.8 .26 10% .64 67% .43
Jan
14		 Fordham A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% A A+ C A+ B+ A+ C- B C B+ A A- A A 35% 18% 47% C A C- A+ A+ F+ C F+ C-
1.28 75% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.24 28% 1.4 .38 10% .25 71% .18 0.92 47% 33% 26% -10 0 0.82 36% 0.4 .16 13% .25 77% .19
Jan
17		 Richmond A A+ A+ C- A 33% 15% 52% B+ A B F D+ A A A A+ A+ B A A+ A+ 17% 48% 35% A+ A+ B+ F D+ C D+ D- D
1.27 78% 50% 32% +7 0 1.17 35% 0.8 .29 13% .38 78% .30 0.91 56% 27% 26% -10 -5 0.72 21% 1.4 .30 14% .35 81% .29
Jan
20		 Duquesne C+ F+ B A+ C+ 55% 14% 31% A B C- A+ B+ D- A- F B- A- A- A+ A+ A+ 39% 14% 46% B A+ F+ C- D- C+ F D+ F
1.05 48% 43% 47% +1 +2 1.08 26% 1.4 .38 21% .41 64% .26 1.00 50% 25% 23% -13 +1 0.79 37% 1.1 .39 18% .49 74% .37
Jan
23		 St. Bonaventure A+ B- F A+ A+ 46% 2% 52% A+ A+ C B+ B- B+ F F F A+ B B- A+ A+ 32% 34% 34% A A+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F
1.38 62% 0% 59% +20 +3 1.48 29% 1.2 .35 14% .15 44% .07 0.88 53% 39% 22% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.5 .14 16% .40 67% .27
Jan
27		 George Washington D+ D C- B- C 46% 6% 48% A+ C+ C+ D+ C C- A F D+ A C F A+ A 43% 7% 50% C A A A+ A+ C+ D+ A- C+
1.04 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 50% .18 1.00 61% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 29% 0.8 .22 18% .34 67% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Dayton A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A- A D- B A- A F C B- 47% 18% 35% C+ B- A C+ A B+ A+ F A
1.40 55% 100% 59% +21 +2 1.49 26% 2.2 .57 18% .38 65% .25 0.98 50% 56% 33% -1 +1 1.02 20% 1.2 .23 21% .28 88% .24
Feb
3		 Davidson A+ B- D- A B+ 44% 12% 44% A A- A- A+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ D+ C+ A+ B A 34% 19% 47% C A- B+ F F F D F F
1.31 61% 33% 39% +4 +2 1.13 38% 1.5 .56 14% .44 73% .32 1.18 56% 30% 32% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.7 .44 10% .34 76% .26
Feb
7		 La Salle B- A F A+ A+ 32% 10% 58% B- A+ F B+ F B- A+ B A A+ A- B A+ A+ 51% 22% 27% D- A C+ A+ A+ B- B- C+ B-
1.16 69% 20% 45% +11 +1 1.26 14% 1.3 .18 16% .35 71% .25 0.82 46% 33% 20% -13 +1 0.78 33% 0.3 .11 20% .32 72% .23
Feb
13		 Loyola Chicago B D+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 5% 50% A+ A+ B- D+ C F F C- F A+ A F B+ B+ 21% 15% 64% A B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ A
1.18 52% 67% 50% +11 +2 1.29 31% 1.0 .31 19% .14 75% .10 0.81 45% 50% 29% -5 -1 0.91 15% 0.3 .05 15% .29 50% .15
Feb
17		 Rhode Island C F+ A+ A- C 54% 4% 42% A+ B- D+ D- D D- A+ A- A+ C A+ F F D- 36% 12% 52% C- D- A A+ A+ C- F F F
1.02 46% 50% 40% -2 +3 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 24% .46 77% .35 1.09 33% 67% 46% +4 +1 1.12 24% 0.4 .11 19% .45 85% .38
Feb
20		 Virginia Commonwealth B A- A+ A A+ 58% 7% 35% A+ A+ B+ D+ B- F+ C+ F D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ 43% 4% 53% F+ A+ D B- C- A F C- F
1.13 64% 50% 40% +7 +3 1.23 35% 0.9 .32 21% .31 53% .16 0.97 30% 0% 29% -18 +3 0.72 38% 1.1 .40 21% .52 75% .39
Feb
24		 Dayton D A- F F D+ 42% 19% 40% B+ C- D F F C C- A+ B- C+ C A+ C B 43% 19% 38% B B A+ F D+ D- D- C+ D
0.89 65% 22% 26% -5 0 0.94 24% 0.5 .12 22% .29 81% .24 1.11 60% 22% 33% -3 0 0.98 16% 2.4 .38 14% .47 75% .35
Feb
28		 Duquesne A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 36% 7% 58% A A+ D+ A+ B B A A+ A+ D- B+ F B- C+ 50% 12% 38% C- C+ D+ D+ D D F+ B- D
1.39 50% 67% 58% +20 +2 1.44 26% 1.3 .35 15% .43 88% .38 1.16 52% 67% 32% -1 +2 1.04 33% 1.1 .36 15% .41 70% .29
Mar
4		 Loyola Chicago A A A+ A+ A+ 58% 2% 40% A+ A+ D- F F C+ B+ F C+ D- A F F F 42% 8% 50% D+ F A A+ A+ C+ A+ D A+
1.33 68% 100% 53% +18 +4 1.47 23% 0.8 .18 12% .34 67% .23 1.09 45% 50% 50% +8 +2 1.21 22% 0.3 .07 20% .15 71% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 20.9 79.1 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 20.9 79.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 79.1    79.1
15-3 100.0% 20.9    10.0 10.8
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 89.2 10.8



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 79.1% 94.9% 54.6% 40.3% 8.9 0.0 0.7 3.1 8.3 15.2 20.3 22.0 5.5 4.1 88.7%
15-3 20.9% 87.4% 53.0% 34.4% 9.7 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.1 8.0 4.0 0.0 2.6 73.2%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.3% 54.2% 39.1% 9.0 6.7 85.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 43.2% 100.0% 8.4 0.1 1.6 6.7 16.9 25.9 28.1 18.2 2.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 13.8% 91.1% 9.4 0.1 0.8 4.0 13.7 25.7 35.2 11.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.2% 86.8% 9.6 0.9 1.9 9.8 21.0 41.3 11.9
Lose Out 3.0% 65.8% 10.3 0.7 6.8 30.5 27.8