California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#158
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#196
Pace63.5#316
Improvement+1.9#81

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#109
First Shot+2.4#102
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#184
Layup/Dunks+7.1#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#281
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement+1.0#109

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#248
First Shot-1.5#222
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#261
Layups/Dunks-1.0#207
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#254
Freethrows+2.3#42
Improvement+0.9#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 13.2% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 69.2% 72.8% 48.8%
.500 or above in Conference 72.1% 73.4% 64.5%
Conference Champion 14.5% 15.2% 10.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 3.7% 5.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round12.5% 13.1% 9.1%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 85.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 412 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 300   Incarnate Word W 83-78 84%     1 - 0 -5.5 +5.6 -10.9
  Nov 09, 2024 194   Kennesaw St. W 88-84 67%     2 - 0 -0.6 +7.6 -8.4
  Nov 12, 2024 177   UC Riverside L 69-70 65%     2 - 1 -4.9 -1.9 -3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 336   LIU Brooklyn W 90-77 90%     3 - 1 -1.0 +16.7 -17.2
  Nov 20, 2024 180   Northern Colorado L 68-79 65%     3 - 2 -15.0 -11.6 -3.0
  Nov 23, 2024 254   Eastern Washington W 79-68 78%     4 - 2 +2.9 +3.8 -0.3
  Nov 26, 2024 41   SMU L 77-79 14%     4 - 3 +9.5 +14.7 -5.4
  Nov 27, 2024 273   Fresno St. W 86-81 2OT 72%     5 - 3 -1.2 -2.7 +0.7
  Dec 01, 2024 81   @ Central Florida L 59-74 17%     5 - 4 -4.8 -7.8 +2.9
  Dec 11, 2024 38   @ San Diego St. L 75-81 9%     5 - 5 +8.8 +22.2 -14.2
  Dec 16, 2024 129   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-75 32%     5 - 6 -6.2 -6.6 +0.6
  Dec 21, 2024 273   @ Fresno St. W 86-69 62%     6 - 6 +13.8 +18.5 -3.9
  Dec 28, 2024 309   Jackson St. W 75-64 85%    
  Dec 30, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 04, 2025 143   Seattle W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 145   @ Utah Valley L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 16, 2025 285   @ Tarleton St. W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 18, 2025 212   @ Abilene Christian L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 145   Utah Valley W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 228   @ Southern Utah W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 212   Abilene Christian W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 06, 2025 228   Southern Utah W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 08, 2025 107   Grand Canyon L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 13, 2025 164   @ Texas Arlington L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 287   Utah Tech W 77-67 81%    
  Feb 22, 2025 107   @ Grand Canyon L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 27, 2025 143   @ Seattle L 69-73 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 287   @ Utah Tech W 74-70 63%    
  Mar 06, 2025 285   Tarleton St. W 72-62 81%    
  Mar 08, 2025 164   Texas Arlington W 78-75 62%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.6 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 14.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.4 6.5 3.2 0.7 0.1 16.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 6.0 7.1 2.4 0.2 16.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.5 6.8 1.9 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.5 6.2 1.7 0.1 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.0 1.5 0.1 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.6 1.1 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 0.7 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.7 8.0 11.6 14.4 15.6 15.1 11.9 8.0 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
14-2 97.1% 1.9    1.7 0.2
13-3 84.9% 3.7    2.8 0.9 0.0
12-4 57.0% 4.6    2.3 1.9 0.4 0.0
11-5 24.6% 2.9    0.7 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.5% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 14.5% 14.5 8.2 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 57.1% 54.8% 2.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3%
15-1 0.6% 39.7% 39.7% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-2 1.9% 40.4% 40.4% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-3 4.4% 31.7% 31.7% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 3.0
12-4 8.0% 29.1% 29.1% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.7
11-5 11.9% 22.7% 22.7% 14.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.0 9.2
10-6 15.1% 15.7% 15.7% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 12.8
9-7 15.6% 8.7% 8.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 14.3
8-8 14.4% 5.3% 5.3% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 13.7
7-9 11.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.2
6-10 8.0% 2.6% 2.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 7.8
5-11 4.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.6
4-12 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-13 0.9% 0.9
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.3 3.3 0.6 87.4 0.0%