Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#218
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#209
Pace68.1#207
Improvement+3.8#20

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#254
First Shot-4.7#308
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#84
Layup/Dunks-2.1#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#346
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement+4.5#3

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#167
First Shot+1.0#137
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#267
Layups/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#199
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-0.7#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 9.1% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 55.1% 67.4% 41.9%
.500 or above in Conference 74.6% 85.0% 63.4%
Conference Champion 8.1% 12.1% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 0.9%
First Round7.1% 8.8% 5.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 10
Quad 412 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 19   @ Michigan L 53-101 4%     0 - 1 -30.1 -14.6 -12.4
  Nov 09, 2024 84   @ Kansas St. L 64-77 12%     0 - 2 -3.2 -3.3 +0.0
  Nov 12, 2024 224   @ Valparaiso W 75-67 40%     1 - 2 +7.5 +2.5 +5.2
  Nov 16, 2024 305   Eastern Michigan W 71-63 78%     2 - 2 -2.9 -3.8 +1.4
  Nov 19, 2024 111   @ Minnesota L 47-58 19%     2 - 3 -4.7 -17.3 +11.8
  Nov 23, 2024 116   Kent St. L 52-68 39%     2 - 4 -16.1 -13.7 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2024 352   NJIT W 56-53 88%     3 - 4 -12.6 -17.4 +5.0
  Nov 29, 2024 276   Morehead St. L 69-71 73%     3 - 5 -11.4 -6.9 -4.5
  Dec 05, 2024 132   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-79 23%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -7.4 +0.2 -8.6
  Dec 07, 2024 329   @ Green Bay W 83-61 64%     4 - 6 1 - 1 +15.4 +6.3 +9.4
  Dec 19, 2024 183   Oakland W 92-75 55%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +12.8 +23.4 -9.2
  Dec 29, 2024 168   Wright St. W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 04, 2025 351   IU Indianapolis W 76-64 88%    
  Jan 08, 2025 256   @ Robert Morris L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 187   @ Youngstown St. L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 15, 2025 205   Northern Kentucky W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 19, 2025 351   @ IU Indianapolis W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 22, 2025 321   Detroit Mercy W 74-65 80%    
  Jan 25, 2025 329   Green Bay W 80-70 81%    
  Jan 30, 2025 160   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 205   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 132   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 12, 2025 256   Robert Morris W 72-67 68%    
  Feb 16, 2025 187   Youngstown St. W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 21, 2025 321   @ Detroit Mercy W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 23, 2025 183   @ Oakland L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 168   @ Wright St. L 71-77 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 160   Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-76 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.5 2.4 0.6 0.1 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.8 3.3 0.3 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.5 3.8 0.5 0.0 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.3 7.2 10.9 13.8 15.1 14.7 12.4 9.0 5.5 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 91.3% 1.0    0.8 0.1 0.0
16-4 77.1% 2.1    1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 49.8% 2.7    1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 18.7% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 35.0% 35.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 24.8% 24.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.1% 28.0% 28.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.7% 21.9% 21.9% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.1
15-5 5.5% 17.2% 17.2% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.6
14-6 9.0% 15.2% 15.2% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 7.6
13-7 12.4% 10.5% 10.5% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 11.1
12-8 14.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 13.5
11-9 15.1% 5.5% 5.5% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 14.3
10-10 13.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 13.4
9-11 10.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.7
8-12 7.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.1
7-13 4.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-14 2.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.0
5-15 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 2.1 92.6 0.0%