Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.9 #321
Expected Predictive Rating -12.9 #334
Pace 71.2 #122
Improvement +0.3 #162

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #242 C C- F B C
Defense #353 D F D- C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #304 1.08 #272 -4.1 #313
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #242 0.67 #282 -2.5 #302
Three Pointers 49% #40 1.08 #95 +5.7 #25
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #188 -0.9 #198
Freethrows 19.0 #93 75% #108 14.3 #85
Second Chance 28.9% #238 1.03 #205 0.30 #227
Turnovers 19.4% #326
Total Offense -2.5 #242

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #246 1.33 #342 -1.9 #247
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #283 0.82 #276 +0.5 #162
Three Pointers 47% #43 1.01 #183 -2.8 #297
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #301 -4.3 #305
Freethrows 16.3 #133 77% #337 12.5 #173
Second Chance 38.2% #357 1.08 #230 0.41 #342
Turnovers 14.2% #315
Total Defense -7.4 #353

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.1% #182 0.6% #218
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.7% #183 7.3% #310
Possession Length 17.1 #156 16.8 #106
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #116 0.20 #277
Improvement -1.3 #266 +1.6 #79

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 4.0% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 23.2% 12.7% 27.3%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Away) - 28.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 14
Quad 45 - 96 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 251 @Loyola Chicago L 88 - 91 23%  -2  0 - 1 -5 +11 B- A F -16 D- C+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 60 @Northwestern L 63 - 110 3%  -24  0 - 2 -35 -9 C+ C- F -24 F F F
 Sat, Nov 15 138 Kent St. L 95 - 102 15%  -2  0 - 3 -6 +13 A A+ F -19 C F F
 Sun, Nov 16 234 Radford W 87 - 82 28%  -9  1 - 3 +1 -2 B F D +2 A D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 188 Valparaiso L 75 - 90 32%  -12  1 - 4 -20 +2 C+ D- A+ -22 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 22 138 @Kent St. L 71 - 91 10%  -14  1 - 5 -16 -9 D- F F -5 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 51 @Missouri L 59 - 86 3%  -19  1 - 6 -13 -10 D+ F F -3 C F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 174 @Northern Kentucky L 80 - 95 14%  -8  1 - 7 0 - 1 -13 +6 B+ A- F -19 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 281 Detroit Mercy L 59 - 71 49%  -4  1 - 8 0 - 2 -22 -14 F C- F -9 C- B F
 Wed, Dec 17 113 @UAB L 77 - 101 7%  -7  1 - 9 -17 +3 A+ F F -19 F D+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 226 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71 - 81 37%  +0  1 - 10 0 - 3 -17 -1 F C A+ -16 D F F
 Mon, Dec 29 355 IU Indianapolis W 99 - 86 73%  +10  2 - 10 1 - 3 -3 +9 B F B- -13 B- F F
 Sun, Jan 4 243 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 74 22%  +4  2 - 11 1 - 4 -5 +0 F A+ D- -5 C C- D-
 Fri, Jan 9 124 @Oakland L 72 - 97 9%  -14  2 - 12 1 - 5 -20 -7 F C+ D+ -11 A- F B+
 Sun, Jan 11 281 @Detroit Mercy L 76 - 82 28% 
 Thu, Jan 15 249 Green Bay L 74 - 76 43% 
 Sat, Jan 17 210 Youngstown St. L 74 - 78 34% 
 Wed, Jan 21 148 @Wright St. L 70 - 83 10% 
 Fri, Jan 30 249 @Green Bay L 71 - 79 22% 
 Sun, Feb 1 226 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76 - 85 19% 
 Wed, Feb 4 124 Oakland L 81 - 90 20% 
 Sat, Feb 7 355 @IU Indianapolis W 89 - 88 52% 
 Thu, Feb 12 206 Robert Morris L 74 - 78 34% 
 Sun, Feb 15 148 Wright St. L 73 - 80 25% 
 Wed, Feb 18 210 @Youngstown St. L 71 - 81 17% 
 Sun, Feb 22 243 Purdue Fort Wayne L 78 - 80 42% 
 Wed, Feb 25 174 Northern Kentucky L 76 - 82 30% 
 Sat, Feb 28 206 @Robert Morris L 71 - 81 17% 
Totals 6 - 22 5 - 15 -10 -2 C C- F -7 D F D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.4 5.4 1.7 0.1 15.2 9th
10th 0.3 3.4 10.5 16.9 17.0 9.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 60.5 10th
11th 1.9 4.2 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 12.9 11th
Total 2.2 7.6 14.5 19.4 20.0 15.4 10.4 5.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.4% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-10 1.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
9-11 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.9
8-12 5.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.9
7-13 10.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.4
6-14 15.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.4
5-15 20.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.9
4-16 19.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.3
3-17 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
2-18 7.6% 7.6
1-19 2.2% 2.2
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%