Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.8 #345
Expected Predictive Rating -14.1 #342
Pace 72.0 #95
Improvement +1.7 #93

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #336 D F D+ F D+
Defense #327 D- C- C+ F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #240 1.17 #157 -1.0 #217
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #114 0.71 #237 +0.7 #148
Three Pointers 40% #203 0.85 #327 -3.7 #301
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #293 -4.0 #292
Freethrows 15.4 #282 63% #355 9.8 #331
Second Chance 24.0% #333 0.81 #358 0.20 #358
Turnovers 18.1% #272
Total Offense -6.8 #336

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #10 1.20 #233 -6.1 #351
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #323 0.68 #93 +2.5 #29
Three Pointers 37% #276 1.19 #350 -1.4 #241
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #329 -5.1 #329
Freethrows 20.3 #316 77% #349 15.7 #35
Second Chance 32.8% #264 1.05 #202 0.34 #241
Turnovers 17.5% #127
Total Defense -5.0 #327

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #261 2.7% #357
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.8% #290 7.2% #307
Possession Length 17.3 #170 16.3 #45
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #179 0.25 #353
Improvement +1.6 #81 +0.1 #184

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.2% 6.5% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.8% 43.5% 18.5%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 0.9% 4.3%
First Four2.5% 3.8% 1.7%
First Round1.2% 1.9% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 48 - 128 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 89 @South Florida L 67 - 102 3%  -15  0 - 1 -25 -11 F B F -10 F C+ A-
 Sat, Nov 8 162 Kennesaw St. L 72 - 92 21%  -9  0 - 2 -23 -12 F D- C+ -9 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 50 @Central Florida L 60 - 97 2%  -22  0 - 3 -23 -11 C- F F -10 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 17 24 @Georgia L 57 - 87 1%  -20  0 - 4 -11 -13 C F F +4 A+ F A
 Tue, Dec 2 328 @Jacksonville L 82 - 85 OT 34%  +0  0 - 5 -10 +3 A+ F F -13 D- D F
 Wed, Dec 17 328 Jacksonville W 72 - 65 57%  +9  1 - 5 -6 -1 C F B -5 F A+ C+
 Fri, Dec 19 172 @Tarleton St. L 54 - 78 11%  -14  1 - 6 -22 -23 F F F +3 B F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 44 @TCU L 56 - 80 2%  -5  1 - 7 -9 -4 C+ F A+ -7 C C+ C
 Sun, Dec 28 114 @Georgia Tech L 65 - 89 5%  -17  1 - 8 -17 -6 D+ F B- -10 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 278 @Bethune-Cookman L 83 - 87 22%  -4  1 - 9 0 - 1 -8 +5 C C C -13 F C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 256 Southern L 76 - 79 37% 
 Mon, Jan 12 246 Grambling St. L 70 - 74 35% 
 Sat, Jan 17 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 79 - 83 34% 
 Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 76 - 67 81% 
 Sat, Jan 24 346 Alcorn St. W 79 - 76 62% 
 Mon, Jan 26 342 Jackson St. W 78 - 75 60% 
 Sat, Jan 31 303 @Alabama A&M L 68 - 75 27% 
 Mon, Feb 2 301 @Alabama St. L 73 - 80 26% 
 Sat, Feb 7 335 Texas Southern W 77 - 75 58% 
 Mon, Feb 9 306 Prairie View L 79 - 80 49% 
 Sat, Feb 14 342 @Jackson St. L 75 - 78 39% 
 Mon, Feb 16 346 @Alcorn St. L 76 - 79 41% 
 Thu, Feb 19 303 Alabama A&M L 71 - 72 47% 
 Thu, Feb 19 301 Alabama St. L 76 - 77 47% 
 Thu, Feb 26 256 @Southern L 73 - 82 20% 
 Thu, Feb 26 246 @Grambling St. L 67 - 77 18% 
 Thu, Mar 5 278 Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 78 43% 
Totals 8 - 19 7 - 10 -12 -7 D F D+ -5 D- C- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.3 1.0 0.1 5.2 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 2.6 0.2 6.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.7 0.7 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.4 2.4 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.2 0.4 10.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 4.1 6.5 1.6 0.0 13.1 9th
10th 0.3 1.6 5.0 7.0 3.0 0.1 17.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.4 4.1 6.6 6.3 2.6 0.3 21.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.6 8.4 12.0 14.5 15.5 14.6 11.3 8.0 4.8 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 93.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-5 58.7% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 27.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.1 0.3
13-5 1.0% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 0.2 0.8
12-6 2.3% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.3 2.0
11-7 4.8% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.4 4.3
10-8 8.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.5 7.5
9-9 11.3% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 10.8
8-10 14.6% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 14.1
7-11 15.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 15.3
6-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 12.0% 12.0
4-14 8.4% 8.4
3-15 4.6% 4.6
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 97.4 0.0%