Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.6#357
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#212
Pace69.9#152
Improvement+0.4#161

Offense
Total Offense-9.5#361
First Shot-7.0#347
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks-4.7#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#139
Freethrows-1.2#257
Improvement-1.5#289

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#300
First Shot-6.7#355
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#26
Layups/Dunks-2.1#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#318
Freethrows-1.5#290
Improvement+1.9#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.4% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.1% 8.1% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 24.2% 33.9% 22.2%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 5.2% 8.8%
First Four1.4% 2.2% 1.3%
First Round0.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Away) - 17.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 48 - 118 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 66   @ TCU L 59-105 2%     0 - 1 -35.0 -4.1 -31.4
  Nov 07, 2024 41   @ SMU L 73-102 1%     0 - 2 -14.5 -2.1 -9.4
  Nov 11, 2024 13   @ Maryland L 53-84 1%     0 - 3 -12.0 -10.4 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2024 7   @ Florida L 60-84 0.4%    0 - 4 -1.8 -2.3 +0.2
  Nov 29, 2024 37   @ Clemson L 58-86 1%     0 - 5 -13.0 -3.8 -10.8
  Dec 03, 2024 268   Presbyterian W 66-63 32%     1 - 5 -5.8 -13.7 +7.8
  Dec 17, 2024 65   @ Utah L 59-89 2%     1 - 6 -18.9 -8.8 -9.8
  Dec 20, 2024 42   @ BYU L 57-103 1%     1 - 7 -31.6 -14.9 -13.0
  Dec 29, 2024 285   @ Tarleton St. L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 04, 2025 263   Bethune-Cookman L 67-72 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 240   @ Southern L 63-75 13%    
  Jan 13, 2025 310   @ Grambling St. L 63-71 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 20, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 71-59 86%    
  Jan 25, 2025 337   @ Alcorn St. L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 27, 2025 309   @ Jackson St. L 64-72 22%    
  Feb 01, 2025 360   Alabama A&M W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 03, 2025 291   Alabama St. L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   @ Texas Southern L 66-75 21%    
  Feb 10, 2025 340   @ Prairie View L 75-80 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 309   Jackson St. L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 17, 2025 337   Alcorn St. W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 291   @ Alabama St. L 68-78 20%    
  Feb 24, 2025 360   @ Alabama A&M L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 310   Grambling St. L 66-68 42%    
  Mar 03, 2025 240   Southern L 66-72 29%    
  Mar 08, 2025 263   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-75 16%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 2.7 0.9 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.9 1.7 0.1 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.4 4.9 0.8 0.0 13.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.8 5.9 1.4 0.0 16.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 4.0 7.4 5.7 1.7 0.1 19.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.4 3.9 5.5 3.3 0.8 0.1 15.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.9 6.0 10.3 13.4 15.1 14.5 12.6 9.8 6.5 4.0 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 87.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 61.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 31.8% 31.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 14.5% 14.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 0.1 0.3
13-5 1.1% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
12-6 2.2% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.2 2.0
11-7 4.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.2 3.8
10-8 6.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.3 6.2
9-9 9.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 9.5
8-10 12.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.4
7-11 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.4
6-12 15.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.1
5-13 13.4% 13.4
4-14 10.3% 10.3
3-15 6.0% 6.0
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%