Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.9 #103
Expected Predictive Rating +6.0 #85
Pace 70.0 #166
Improvement -1.6 #276

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #103 D+ B A+ B+ C
Defense #110 C+ C C+ C A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #96 1.10 #253 +0.6 #151
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #150 0.77 #153 +0.7 #146
Three Pointers 37% #279 0.90 #304 -4.4 #311
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #263 -3.0 #262
Freethrows 20.9 #31 72% #202 15.1 #43
Second Chance 31.8% #149 1.18 #49 0.37 #76
Turnovers 12.1% #4
Total Offense +3.0 #103

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #339 1.01 #33 +6.8 #15
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #34 0.79 #233 -2.9 #346
Three Pointers 42% #144 1.11 #301 -2.7 #292
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #143 +1.2 #143
Freethrows 16.6 #150 73% #187 12.0 #209
Second Chance 29.3% #125 1.12 #275 0.33 #197
Turnovers 17.5% #124
Total Defense +1.8 #110

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #178 -2.7% #21
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.2% #275 0.5% #189
Possession Length 16.4 #98 18.7 #344
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #32 0.17 #180
Improvement -0.8 #244 -0.8 #237

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.2% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 11.1
.500 or above 19.9% 30.6% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 3.8% 6.9% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.2% 20.3% 40.9%
First Four0.7% 1.3% 0.4%
First Round0.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Home) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 10
Quad 24 - 66 - 16
Quad 32 - 28 - 18
Quad 46 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 362 Morgan St. W 87 - 70 98%  +10  1 - 0 -2 -1 F C A+ -2 C- C- C+
 Fri, Nov 7 107 @Maryland W 70 - 60 40%  +10  2 - 0 +17 +3 F C+ A- +15 A+ C B
 Wed, Nov 12 359 Binghamton W 83 - 70 97%  +8  3 - 0 -5 +5 F B- A+ -9 C- B- D+
 Sat, Nov 15 39 Clemson W 79 - 74 31%  +1  4 - 0 +15 +13 A- C A+ +3 A C+ C
 Sat, Nov 22 316 Wagner W 92 - 75 94%  +11  5 - 0 +5 +7 C+ B- B- -3 C- A- A
 Thu, Nov 27 75 Dayton L 79 - 84 OT 39%  -7  5 - 1 +3 +6 B+ F A+ -3 C+ C B
 Fri, Nov 28 36 Miami (FL) L 65 - 78 20%  -14  5 - 2 +1 +4 F A+ A -4 F B A+
 Wed, Dec 3 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90 - 81 90%  +11  6 - 2 -0 +15 A+ A- A+ -15 D F F
 Sun, Dec 7 26 @North Carolina L 61 - 81 11%  -7  6 - 3 -2 -4 F C A+ +3 C A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 259 St. Peter's W 76 - 68 OT 89%  +7  7 - 3 -1 +1 C B+ C- -1 C A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 110 @Marquette W 78 - 69 40%  +2  8 - 3 1 - 0 +16 +17 C A+ A+ -0 B+ F D-
 Sat, Dec 20 97 Xavier L 77 - 80 60%  +2  8 - 4 1 - 1 -1 +1 D+ D A+ -2 C C+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97 - 67 99%  +22  9 - 4 +7 +12 B C- A+ -6 D- D D
 Wed, Dec 31 21 St. John's L 83 - 95 21%  -6  9 - 5 1 - 2 +1 +17 A+ C A+ -16 F F C+
 Tue, Jan 6 102 @DePaul L 50 - 56 38%  -2  9 - 6 1 - 3 +2 -13 F A+ C- +15 A+ B- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 53 Seton Hall L 68 - 70 42% 
 Tue, Jan 13 37 @Creighton L 69 - 80 14% 
 Sat, Jan 17 5 Connecticut L 65 - 79 10% 
 Wed, Jan 21 31 @Villanova L 65 - 77 12% 
 Sat, Jan 24 66 @Providence L 79 - 86 26% 
 Wed, Jan 28 102 DePaul W 73 - 70 61% 
 Sat, Jan 31 57 @Butler L 75 - 83 24% 
 Wed, Feb 4 37 Creighton L 72 - 77 31% 
 Sat, Feb 7 31 Villanova L 68 - 74 28% 
 Sat, Feb 14 5 @Connecticut L 62 - 82 4% 
 Wed, Feb 18 57 Butler L 78 - 80 44% 
 Sat, Feb 21 53 @Seton Hall L 65 - 73 23% 
 Tue, Feb 24 110 Marquette W 77 - 74 62% 
 Sat, Feb 28 97 @Xavier L 75 - 78 38% 
 Tue, Mar 3 21 @St. John's L 70 - 84 9% 
 Sat, Mar 7 66 Providence L 82 - 83 47% 
Totals 14 - 17 6 - 14 +5 +3 D+ B A+ +2 C+ C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.7 5th
6th 0.4 2.3 2.7 1.0 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.6 7.2 2.7 0.2 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 7.1 9.0 3.1 0.3 0.0 21.3 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 7.4 8.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 21.8 10th
11th 0.8 3.5 6.8 5.9 2.0 0.2 19.2 11th
Total 0.8 3.7 9.3 15.0 18.7 18.6 14.6 9.9 5.5 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 55.6% 3.7% 51.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 53.8%
11-9 1.0% 37.8% 2.6% 35.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 36.2%
10-10 2.5% 15.1% 0.6% 14.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.1 14.6%
9-11 5.5% 3.9% 0.8% 3.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 3.1%
8-12 9.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.2%
7-13 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 14.5
6-14 18.6% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 18.5
5-15 18.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 18.7
4-16 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.0
3-17 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
2-18 3.7% 3.7
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20
Total 100% 1.3% 0.2% 1.1% 10.7 98.7 1.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%