NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -12.2 #347
Expected Predictive Rating -15.5 #349
Pace 67.2 #237
Improvement +2.7 #54

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #348 F C- D- C+ C
Defense #309 D- D C+ D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #75 1.07 #287 +0.4 #158
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #118 0.49 #362 -1.8 #266
Three Pointers 34% #318 0.82 #346 -7.0 #346
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #358 -8.3 #357
Freethrows 17.0 #213 77% #47 13.2 #143
Second Chance 30.0% #208 1.00 #245 0.30 #223
Turnovers 19.0% #311
Total Offense -8.0 #348

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #300 1.31 #331 +0.0 #183
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #315 0.81 #267 +1.2 #103
Three Pointers 50% #16 1.06 #244 -5.8 #347
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #315 -4.6 #316
Freethrows 21.1 #331 71% #104 14.9 #44
Second Chance 37.4% #348 0.98 #109 0.37 #290
Turnovers 17.8% #107
Total Defense -4.2 #309

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #203 0.5% #207
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -16.4% #361 8.4% #322
Possession Length 17.6 #196 17.1 #162
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #115 0.29 #364
Improvement +0.8 #133 +1.9 #69

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 10.3% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.8% 2.6% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 73.5% 82.2% 55.6%
Conference Champion 15.0% 19.1% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 1.7% 11.2%
First Four9.2% 10.2% 7.0%
First Round3.7% 4.3% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 49 - 109 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 34 @North Carolina St. L 65 - 114 1%  -28  0 - 1 -32 -3 D+ C F -27 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 7 22 @Virginia L 62 - 81 1%  -19  0 - 2 -0 +4 D D+ B- -7 C F A+
 Sun, Nov 9 224 @Appalachian St. L 54 - 76 14%  -16  0 - 3 -22 -12 F F D- -12 B+ F F
 Fri, Nov 14 26 @North Carolina L 53 - 97 1%  -20  0 - 4 -26 -11 F D- C+ -15 D+ F C+
 Sat, Nov 22 75 @Dayton L 55 - 74 3%  -19  0 - 5 -8 -7 F A+ F -2 C+ C F
 Tue, Nov 25 287 @South Carolina Upstate L 67 - 82 22%  -10  0 - 6 -19 -5 F C B- -14 F C A+
 Wed, Dec 3 204 @James Madison L 62 - 67 12%  -4  0 - 7 -4 -7 F C+ F +2 A B- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 305 N.C. A&T L 54 - 69 46%  +1  0 - 8 -26 -26 F F D -0 C C- A+
 Tue, Dec 9 27 @Kentucky L 67 - 103 1%  -19  0 - 9 -18 +2 C+ D+ C- -19 F C- D+
 Sat, Dec 20 279 Longwood L 72 - 74 40%  -2  0 - 10 -12 -7 F F C- -5 D- F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 105 @Penn St. L 67 - 90 4%  -8  0 - 11 -16 -1 C+ A+ F -15 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 3 272 Norfolk St. W 69 - 67 40%  +3  1 - 11 1 - 0 -7 -3 D+ F F -4 C B- C
 Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 72 - 67 67% 
 Mon, Jan 12 362 @Morgan St. W 73 - 72 54% 
 Sat, Jan 17 271 Howard L 67 - 70 39% 
 Sat, Jan 24 352 Delaware St. W 67 - 63 64% 
 Mon, Jan 26 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 66 - 64 59% 
 Sat, Jan 31 357 @South Carolina St. L 70 - 71 48% 
 Sat, Feb 7 272 @Norfolk St. L 63 - 72 21% 
 Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 75 - 64 84% 
 Mon, Feb 16 362 Morgan St. W 76 - 69 74% 
 Sat, Feb 21 271 @Howard L 64 - 73 21% 
 Sat, Feb 28 352 @Delaware St. L 64 - 66 42% 
 Mon, Mar 2 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 63 - 67 37% 
 Thu, Mar 5 357 South Carolina St. W 73 - 67 70% 
Totals 8 - 17 8 - 6 -12 -8 F C- D- -4 D- D C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.8 5.0 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.1 15.0 1st
2nd 0.2 3.1 8.1 5.6 1.4 0.1 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.6 10.3 5.8 0.6 0.0 20.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.5 9.4 5.1 0.5 17.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 7.0 4.2 0.3 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.4 3.4 0.2 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.9 0.2 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.1 2.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.6 7.9 13.3 17.6 18.9 16.3 11.2 6.3 2.4 0.8 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
12-2 97.7% 2.4    2.1 0.2
11-3 78.2% 4.9    3.0 1.7 0.2
10-4 44.6% 5.0    1.7 2.4 0.9 0.0
9-5 11.1% 1.8    0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.0% 15.0 7.8 5.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.8% 37.8% 37.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 0.5
12-2 2.4% 27.8% 27.8% 16.0 0.7 1.7
11-3 6.3% 22.6% 22.6% 16.0 1.4 4.8
10-4 11.2% 17.3% 17.3% 16.0 1.9 9.3
9-5 16.3% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 1.8 14.4
8-6 18.9% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.3 17.5
7-7 17.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.9 16.7
6-8 13.3% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 12.8
5-9 7.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 7.6
4-10 3.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 3.5
3-11 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 16.0 90.8 0.0%