IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.9	#251
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.3	#185

Pace	72.7	#84
Improvement	-1.5	#272

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#241

First Shot	-4.8	#311
After Offensive Rebound	+2.1	#61

Layup/Dunks	+3.1	#69
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.5	#268
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.5	#317
Freethrows	-1.9	#287

Improvement	-3.9	#358

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#240

First Shot	-1.3	#214
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.0	#263

Layups/Dunks	-1.4	#223
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.0	#36
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.7	#262
Freethrows	-0.2	#203

Improvement	+2.4	#26

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.1%	7.3%	4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.2	15.5

.500 or above	42.5%	52.2%	27.6%
.500 or above in Conference	48.8%	59.2%	33.0%
Conference Champion	6.0%	8.2%	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	10.1%	4.3%	19.0%

First Four	1.3%	1.3%	1.4%
First Round	5.4%	6.6%	3.5%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Away) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 7	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	74	@ Washington St.	L	92-100	8%	0 - 1			+2.6	+12.9	-9.3
Nov 12, 2024	316	@ San Diego	W	85-76	54%	1 - 1			+3.1	-3.8	+5.2
Nov 22, 2024	132	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	74-91	18%	1 - 2			-12.4	+1.3	-13.6
Nov 23, 2024	125	St. Thomas	L	65-91	25%	1 - 3			-23.8	-9.6	-13.7
Nov 24, 2024	151	Wofford	W	79-74	31%	2 - 3			+5.2	+7.2	-1.8
Nov 30, 2024	287	Utah Tech	W	71-68	68%	3 - 3			-6.7	-4.3	-2.3
Dec 04, 2024	143	@ Seattle	L	74-91	20%	3 - 4			-13.2	+5.4	-19.1
Dec 07, 2024	319	Denver	L	67-68	75%	3 - 5			-12.9	-4.7	-8.4
Dec 18, 2024	301	@ Pacific	W	81-75	49%	4 - 5			+1.3	+1.9	-1.0
Dec 21, 2024	260	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	W	59-58	40%	5 - 5			-1.3	-13.2	+11.9
Jan 04, 2025	335	@ Sacramento St.	W	70-67	61%
Jan 09, 2025	254	Eastern Washington	W	79-76	61%
Jan 11, 2025	259	Idaho	W	76-73	62%
Jan 16, 2025	180	@ Northern Colorado	L	75-82	26%
Jan 18, 2025	265	@ Northern Arizona	L	75-77	41%
Jan 23, 2025	210	Weber St.	W	74-73	52%
Jan 25, 2025	250	Idaho St.	W	70-67	61%
Jan 30, 2025	191	@ Montana	L	73-79	28%
Feb 01, 2025	155	@ Montana St.	L	70-78	23%
Feb 06, 2025	259	@ Idaho	L	73-76	41%
Feb 08, 2025	254	@ Eastern Washington	L	76-79	40%
Feb 13, 2025	265	Northern Arizona	W	78-74	63%
Feb 15, 2025	180	Northern Colorado	L	78-79	47%
Feb 20, 2025	250	@ Idaho St.	L	67-70	39%
Feb 22, 2025	210	@ Weber St.	L	71-76	31%
Feb 27, 2025	155	Montana St.	L	73-75	43%
Mar 01, 2025	191	Montana	L	76-77	49%
Mar 03, 2025	335	Sacramento St.	W	73-64	78%
Projected Record						13 - 15	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.9	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0		6.0	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	2.3	3.3	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0				8.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.3	2.9	4.5	2.0	0.3	0.0						10.0	3rd
4th									0.2	2.9	5.6	2.2	0.2	0.0							11.2	4th
5th								0.2	2.4	6.1	2.9	0.3	0.0								11.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.1	6.2	3.6	0.3	0.0									12.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.9	5.7	4.2	0.5	0.0										12.5	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.9	4.9	4.2	0.7	0.0											12.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.5	2.2	3.9	2.8	0.7	0.0												10.2	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.5	1.8	1.1	0.3	0.0													5.7	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.8	2.0	4.3	7.0	10.0	12.9	13.8	13.3	12.1	9.5	6.7	3.9	2.1	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	99.3%	0.3		0.3	0.0
15-3	93.0%	0.8		0.7	0.1
14-4	75.0%	1.6		1.1	0.4	0.0
13-5	48.8%	1.9		0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0
12-6	17.0%	1.1		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-7	2.3%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.0%	6.0		3.2	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0						0.0
17-1	0.1%		61.8%	61.8%		12.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
16-2	0.3%		25.0%	25.0%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
15-3	0.9%		28.4%	28.4%		14.0														0.1	0.1	0.1		0.6
14-4	2.1%		20.7%	20.7%		14.4														0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	1.7
13-5	3.9%		16.9%	16.9%		14.7														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.0	3.2
12-6	6.7%		12.9%	12.9%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.2	5.8
11-7	9.5%		10.6%	10.6%		15.4															0.1	0.5	0.4	8.5
10-8	12.1%		7.8%	7.8%		15.5															0.0	0.4	0.5	11.2
9-9	13.3%		5.9%	5.9%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.6	12.6
8-10	13.8%		3.3%	3.3%		15.9																0.0	0.4	13.3
7-11	12.9%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	12.6
6-12	10.0%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	9.9
5-13	7.0%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
4-14	4.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
3-15	2.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
2-16	0.8%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		6.1%	6.1%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	2.3	2.7	93.9		0.0%