Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.4 276
Results Rating -7.2 280
Pace 78.0 12
Improvement +1.8 117

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 202 D C B- B+ D
Defense D 317 D+ D- C C- F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 303 D+ 54% 287 -3.9 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 76 D 34% 301 +1.4 104
Three Pointers 39% 228 D+ 32% 260 -2.1 255
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 314 D -3.6 306
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 318
Second Chance D+ 27.3% 268 B 1.12 55 C 0.31 187
Turnovers B- 15.6% 103
Freethrows B 0.35 53 B+ 78% 21 B+ 0.27 28
Total Offense C- -1.3 202

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 207 D 13.2% 306
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 130 C+ 4.2% 122
Three Pointers C- 82% 238 C- 1.2% 271
Total C- 54% 220 C- 6.1% 237

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 91 C- 59% 205 +2.6 269
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 360 F 47% 360 -1.7 58
Three Pointers 45% 72 C 34% 189 +1.9 278
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.2 355 C- +1.5 240
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 269
Second Chance D 34.1% 317 D 1.12 303 D- 0.38 328
Turnovers C 16.5% 198
Freethrows C- 0.32 235 C 72% 191 C- 0.23 237
Total Defense D -5.2 317

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 59% 348 C- 9.4% 235
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 296 F+ 0.9% 358
Three Pointers C- 86% 234 C 0.9% 162
Total D- 64% 337 D+ 4.5% 271

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 66 16.2 26
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 97 0.19 250
Improvement +4.2 #16 -2.4 #300

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 298 276 251
Results Rating Rank 320 282 250
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 9 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 19% 4% 23%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Montana (Away) - 24.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 122 - 17
Quad 45 - 48 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 11 141 UC Santa Barbara L 87 - 92 33% -6  10% 0 - 1 D+ -7 C+ +4 B C+ C F -10 C- C- F
 Fri, Nov 14 177 @UC Davis L 73 - 77 21% +2  54% 0 - 2 C- -2 D+ -3 F+ C+ C C+ +2 B+ D- C
 Sun, Nov 16 277 Presbyterian W 64 - 62 62% -4  11% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F -12 F A- F B +5 A B+ D-
 Tue, Nov 18 37 @UCLA L 48 - 79 3% -19  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 F -21 F C- B- A- +7 B F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 70 @California L 67 - 91 6% -18  4% 1 - 4 D- -13 D- -8 F B- B- D+ -3 F B- B-
 Sat, Nov 29 117 @Pacific L 54 - 68 13% -6  7% 1 - 5 D+ -8 F -18 F C- C- A +10 B- B+ B
 Tue, Dec 2 44 @Baylor L 88 - 110 4% -7  33% 1 - 6 D+ -8 A- +11 F A+ C F -17 F F C+
 Sat, Dec 20 138 @California Baptist L 67 - 74 16% -2  32% 1 - 7 C- -3 C- -1 F A+ D+ C- -2 A F B-
 Mon, Dec 22 159 @Cal St. Northridge L 88 - 100 19% -4  18% 1 - 8 D -9 C+ +2 D D- A+ F+ -9 F A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 1 252 @Idaho St. L 84 - 97 33% -10  3% 1 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -6 F B C D- -7 F+ C F
 Sat, Jan 3 211 @Weber St. L 82 - 95 26% -10  1% 1 - 10 0 - 2 D- -13 D+ -3 C D D- F+ -8 D F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 150 @Portland St. L 69 - 96 18% -14  13% 1 - 11 0 - 3 F -24 D+ -3 F+ F A+ F -20 F B+ F+
 Thu, Jan 15 304 Northern Arizona W 83 - 69 69% +1  43% 2 - 11 1 - 3 C+ +3 B- +4 D- A+ A+ C -1 D+ B- B+
 Sat, Jan 17 168 Northern Colorado W 93 - 89 OT 39% -7  7% 3 - 11 2 - 3 C +1 C+ +3 C B- B C- -3 D+ B C
 Thu, Jan 22 187 @Idaho L 76 - 86 23% -7  3% 3 - 12 2 - 4 D -9 C- -1 F A B D- -8 F B C
 Sat, Jan 24 186 @Eastern Washington L 67 - 75 23% -7  1% 3 - 13 2 - 5 D+ -7 D -5 F C- D C- -2 A- F D-
 Thu, Jan 29 164 Montana St. W 83 - 80 38% +3  68% 4 - 13 3 - 5 C -0 B- +4 A+ F C+ D+ -4 C D B
 Sat, Jan 31 194 Montana W 86 - 79 45% +8  86% 5 - 13 4 - 5 C+ +2 B +6 A+ F B- D+ -5 B F B-
 Mon, Feb 2 211 Weber St. W 104 - 90 47% +12  88% 6 - 13 5 - 5 B +8 A +13 A+ F+ D D -6 C F D
 Sat, Feb 7 150 Portland St. L 73 - 74 36% +1  53% 6 - 14 5 - 6 C- -4 C+ +3 D+ D- A+ D -6 A+ F F
 Thu, Feb 12 168 @Northern Colorado L 79 - 95 20% -10  0% 6 - 15 5 - 7 D- -13 D -6 F+ F+ B D -6 F A- C+
 Sat, Feb 14 304 @Northern Arizona L 74 - 79 46% -10  0% 6 - 16 5 - 8 D -10 D- -8 F+ C- D C- -3 F A C+
 Thu, Feb 19 186 Eastern Washington L 94 - 102 43% -13  0% 6 - 17 5 - 9 D- -13 A- +10 B- B+ A+ F -23 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 187 Idaho L 80 - 86 43% -3  6% 6 - 18 5 - 10 D -11 C- -1 C- F A- F+ -9 C- F A
 Thu, Feb 26 194 @Montana L 78 - 85 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 164 @Montana St. L 74 - 83 20%
 Mon, Mar 2 252 Idaho St. W 82 - 80 56%
Totals 7 - 20 6 - 12 -6 C- -1 F+ D D D -5 D+ B+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ D D+ D 34% 47% 39% D D D+ B C B- B B+ B+ D C- F C C- 42% 13% 45% F+ D+ D D D- C C- C C-
1.07 54% 34% 32% -4 -1 0.93 27% 1.1 .31 16% .35 78% .27 1.16 59% 47% 34% +2 +1 1.08 34% 1.1 .38 17% .32 72% .25
Nov
11		 UC Santa Barbara C+ D+ A+ A B+ 40% 27% 33% D+ B D+ A+ C+ C B- F C- F B B F C- 44% 17% 39% D C- B F C- F F+ C+ D-
1.19 57% 57% 41% +8 -1 1.17 24% 1.4 .32 16% .37 65% .24 1.25 54% 33% 48% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.2 .34 11% .38 76% .29
Nov
14		 UC Davis D+ D- C- D- F+ 52% 22% 26% C F+ C B C+ C B- A A- C+ C F A+ A 41% 8% 51% F B+ C+ F D- C F D+ F
1.01 50% 36% 31% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.1 .34 19% .36 81% .29 1.06 60% 50% 24% -6 +2 0.94 26% 1.3 .34 18% .45 78% .35
Nov
16		 Presbyterian F D A+ F F 61% 16% 23% B+ F C+ A+ A- F A+ B A+ B C+ A A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% F A D A+ B+ D- D- B+ C-
0.96 52% 57% 10% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.3 .43 26% .51 72% .36 0.93 57% 29% 16% -13 +1 0.80 35% 0.7 .25 17% .38 62% .23
Nov
18		 UCLA F F F F F 26% 28% 47% D- F C- C- C- B- A+ F A+ A- C- D+ A A- 42% 24% 34% D- B C F F A+ F A+ D
0.68 42% 23% 9% -26 -2 0.47 28% 0.9 .26 18% .52 63% .33 1.12 62% 42% 29% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 21% .43 67% .29
Nov
21		 California D- F F D- F 35% 24% 41% D+ F A- D B- B- A+ A+ A+ D+ D- F D- F 32% 11% 58% F+ F C- A- B- B- B A+ A+
0.89 26% 23% 27% -19 -1 0.63 36% 0.9 .32 15% .47 80% .37 1.21 67% 83% 39% +12 +1 1.28 29% 0.9 .26 16% .30 53% .16
Nov
29		 Pacific F D+ F F F 34% 29% 38% C F D- A C- C- F A+ D- A A- B- D B 36% 15% 49% D+ B- C- A+ B+ B A+ C+ A+
0.76 53% 13% 19% -18 -1 0.64 18% 1.3 .23 16% .20 92% .18 0.96 47% 38% 38% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .27 23% .15 75% .11
Dec
2		 Baylor A- A+ F D- F+ 8% 45% 47% F F A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 33% 35% 33% C+ F F F F C+ F D+ F
1.16 75% 30% 29% -5 -5 0.80 45% 1.4 .62 17% .48 87% .41 1.45 100% 65% 25% +19 -2 1.35 61% 1.4 .82 16% .58 76% .44
Dec
20		 California Baptist C- F A+ F F 22% 35% 44% F F A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ F C- A+ F B A+ 61% 9% 30% F A D- F F B- F B- F
0.99 17% 58% 21% -11 -3 0.75 38% 1.4 .51 16% .11 83% .09 1.10 33% 50% 31% -16 +3 0.77 43% 1.3 .55 19% .55 70% .38
Dec
22		 Cal St. Northridge C+ F+ B D D+ 32% 32% 35% F+ D F A+ D- A+ A- A+ A+ F+ D F D F 50% 9% 41% F+ F A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.08 48% 43% 30% -4 -2 0.91 15% 1.5 .23 10% .37 89% .33 1.23 62% 80% 38% +8 +2 1.22 25% 0.7 .17 13% .43 77% .33
Jan
1		 Idaho St. D- F A D- F 37% 31% 31% F+ F D A+ B C A+ D A+ D- A- D+ F F 37% 12% 51% C- F+ A- F C F F B D-
1.04 35% 53% 29% -6 -1 0.87 26% 1.5 .38 15% .54 73% .39 1.20 48% 43% 48% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.2 .32 12% .38 70% .27
Jan
3		 Weber St. D+ A+ F B+ B 21% 37% 42% F C C F D D- B+ F C F+ A- C- F D- 49% 16% 35% C- D D+ F F+ C- F D- F
1.06 100% 24% 38% +6 -3 1.07 30% 0.8 .25 19% .39 63% .24 1.23 48% 38% 50% +3 +1 1.12 34% 1.2 .41 16% .52 76% .40
Jan
10		 Portland St. D+ C C+ F D 29% 38% 33% F F+ F F F A+ B+ B A- F F F F F 50% 9% 41% F F F A+ B+ F+ C- F D-
0.95 56% 38% 17% -9 -3 0.78 17% 0.6 .10 7% .42 79% .33 1.33 70% 60% 45% +15 +2 1.37 42% 0.5 .23 15% .33 80% .26
Jan
15		 Northern Arizona B- F D+ A+ D- 37% 21% 42% D D- D- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A C B F C- C- 48% 17% 35% F D+ F A+ B- B+ B- F C
1.25 37% 36% 45% -1 0 1.00 27% 2.0 .55 11% .34 90% .30 1.04 52% 63% 35% +2 +1 1.08 32% 0.6 .21 20% .24 77% .19
Jan
17		 Northern Colorado C+ A D+ C- B- 26% 27% 47% F C B- C B- B A+ D+ A+ C- F C- A- D+ 41% 16% 43% D+ D+ B B B C B F C+
1.16 69% 35% 31% 0 -2 0.98 30% 1.2 .34 10% .47 74% .35 1.11 77% 40% 30% +5 +1 1.14 24% 1.0 .24 17% .20 85% .17
Jan
22		 Idaho C- D F F F 52% 31% 17% C+ F A B+ A B F A+ C+ D- F A+ F F 37% 8% 56% D- F B- B B C B- F D+
1.06 53% 28% 10% -12 0 0.78 35% 1.2 .42 13% .27 100% .27 1.20 68% 0% 45% +10 +2 1.25 26% 0.9 .23 17% .27 88% .23
Jan
24		 Eastern Washington D C- F D F 41% 18% 41% C- F F A+ C- D A+ A+ A+ C- C- A+ A A 44% 14% 42% F+ A- D+ F F D- D+ F D-
1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45 1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27
Jan
29		 Montana St. B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 30% 30% D- A+ F F F C+ D B- D+ D+ A+ F F C 26% 20% 54% C- C F+ C+ D B D- A- D+
1.16 59% 63% 50% +15 -1 1.30 11% 0.7 .07 15% .23 79% .18 1.11 29% 55% 41% +2 -1 1.04 34% 1.0 .34 18% .32 68% .22
Jan
31		 Montana B A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C A+ D- F F B- A C A D+ A+ F D- A 59% 4% 37% F B F F F B- F C F+
1.19 79% 9% 48% +10 0 1.23 24% 0.5 .12 14% .39 71% .27 1.09 45% 50% 39% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.6 .56 22% .37 76% .28
Feb
2		 Weber St. A A F+ A+ A+ 42% 21% 38% C- A+ D+ F F+ D A+ B+ A+ D D+ F+ A C+ 47% 12% 42% D+ C C+ F F D B- D- C
1.33 75% 30% 67% +24 0 1.50 25% 0.8 .21 18% .56 78% .44 1.15 61% 43% 28% -2 +2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 14% .31 76% .24
Feb
7		 Portland St. C+ F F A+ D+ 33% 26% 41% D- D+ F+ C D- A+ A+ A A+ D A+ C- A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D+ A+ F F F F F F F
1.07 40% 17% 42% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.0 .21 12% .50 83% .41 1.08 42% 38% 21% -15 +1 0.75 44% 1.2 .51 15% .45 77% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Northern Colorado D F C+ F+ F 39% 17% 44% C F+ F C F+ B A+ A A+ D F F D+ F 45% 6% 48% F F B A+ A- C+ B D+ B-
0.99 43% 40% 27% -10 +1 0.83 17% 1.1 .20 10% .43 84% .36 1.20 79% 50% 37% +12 +2 1.31 24% 0.9 .21 18% .20 77% .15
Feb
14		 Northern Arizona D- B+ B- F F 45% 14% 41% C+ F+ C- C C- D A+ B A+ C- F F A- F 39% 9% 52% F F D+ A+ A C+ F B F
1.04 68% 43% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.1 .34 18% .45 77% .34 1.11 72% 100% 29% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.5 .13 17% .56 64% .36
Feb
19		 Eastern Washington A- A A+ F B+ 44% 27% 29% D- B- C A B+ A+ A+ C- A+ F F F F F 43% 8% 49% F F F F F D+ F A+ D-
1.29 70% 57% 27% +7 0 1.15 33% 1.4 .45 10% .47 74% .35 1.40 68% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.31 44% 1.4 .62 16% .44 59% .26
Feb
21		 Idaho C- A+ F D+ C- 29% 33% 37% D- C- F F F A- A+ A+ A+ F+ A- A+ F C- 35% 10% 54% D C- F D F A F C- F
1.09 73% 29% 32% 0 -2 0.98 14% 0.4 .06 11% .51 85% .43 1.17 47% 20% 42% +1 +1 1.06 44% 1.1 .46 22% .47 74% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.4 0.4 6th
7th 1.2 1.6 2.8 7th
8th 39.5 20.2 1.0 60.7 8th
9th 24.1 8.3 32.4 9th
10th 3.7 0.1 3.7 10th
Total 27.8 47.8 21.4 3.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.9
7-11 21.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 21.1
6-12 47.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.4 47.4
5-13 27.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 27.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 98.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 12.9%