Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#214
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#257
Pace65.0#280
Improvement-0.4#202

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#343
First Shot-8.8#357
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#65
Layup/Dunks+1.7#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#341
Freethrows-3.4#350
Improvement-0.2#190

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#70
First Shot+5.7#30
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#298
Layups/Dunks+0.3#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#16
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#95
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement-0.2#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 7.5% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 55.3% 70.7% 45.5%
.500 or above in Conference 69.2% 75.2% 65.4%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.4%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round5.7% 7.4% 4.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Away) - 38.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 42 - 9
Quad 413 - 615 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 80   @ Drake L 51-66 12%     0 - 1 -4.7 -8.6 +1.7
  Nov 16, 2024 105   @ Arkansas St. L 49-59 17%     0 - 2 -2.6 -15.7 +12.4
  Nov 21, 2024 269   Presbyterian L 55-58 OT 72%     0 - 3 -11.8 -27.2 +15.6
  Nov 22, 2024 262   Monmouth W 72-67 71%     1 - 3 -3.4 -3.1 -0.1
  Nov 23, 2024 187   Youngstown St. W 64-57 57%     2 - 3 +2.6 -3.6 +6.6
  Nov 29, 2024 334   @ Louisiana Monroe W 68-60 68%     3 - 3 +0.5 +1.9 -0.4
  Dec 05, 2024 228   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-68 42%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -3.6 -9.6 +6.0
  Dec 07, 2024 189   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 48-67 34%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -17.5 -19.3 -0.1
  Dec 15, 2024 23   @ Oregon L 61-79 4%     3 - 6 -0.4 -4.0 +3.7
  Dec 31, 2024 212   @ Abilene Christian L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 04, 2025 300   Incarnate Word W 70-62 77%    
  Jan 06, 2025 346   Houston Christian W 69-57 87%    
  Jan 11, 2025 195   @ Lamar L 61-65 36%    
  Jan 13, 2025 225   SE Louisiana W 64-60 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 238   @ Nicholls St. L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 20, 2025 91   @ McNeese St. L 56-68 14%    
  Jan 25, 2025 290   Northwestern St. W 66-59 75%    
  Jan 27, 2025 356   Texas A&M - Commerce W 70-57 89%    
  Feb 01, 2025 195   Lamar W 64-62 58%    
  Feb 03, 2025 343   @ New Orleans W 70-64 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 10, 2025 228   UT Rio Grande Valley W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 290   @ Northwestern St. W 63-62 55%    
  Feb 17, 2025 356   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 67-60 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 300   @ Incarnate Word W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 24, 2025 346   @ Houston Christian W 66-60 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 238   Nicholls St. W 68-63 66%    
  Mar 03, 2025 91   @ McNeese St. L 56-68 15%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 6.7 3.5 0.5 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.1 3.8 0.4 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 5.2 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.9 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.4 8.5 11.9 14.2 15.5 14.2 11.3 7.8 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 80.4% 0.3    0.3 0.1
16-4 48.8% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
15-5 20.2% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 41.4% 41.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.4% 35.5% 35.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.6% 28.1% 28.1% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2
15-5 4.0% 21.5% 21.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.2
14-6 7.8% 16.1% 16.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 6.6
13-7 11.3% 10.4% 10.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 10.1
12-8 14.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 13.4
11-9 15.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 14.9
10-10 14.2% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 14.0
9-11 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.7
8-12 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.5
7-13 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
6-14 2.9% 2.9
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.3 1.1 94.2 0.0%