Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#282
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#267
Pace68.4#174
Improvement-2.5#285

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#344
First Shot-10.1#360
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#56
Layup/Dunks+0.6#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#347
Freethrows-3.4#350
Improvement+3.5#36

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#146
First Shot+4.1#62
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#349
Layups/Dunks-0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#85
Freethrows+0.0#185
Improvement-6.0#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 23 - 7
Quad 48 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 67   @ Drake L 51-66 6%     0 - 1 -4.0 -8.5 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2024 98   @ Arkansas St. L 49-59 9%     0 - 2 -2.3 -16.0 +12.9
  Nov 21, 2024 241   Presbyterian L 55-58 OT 51%     0 - 3 -10.1 -25.8 +16.0
  Nov 22, 2024 249   Monmouth W 72-67 52%     1 - 3 -2.5 -3.3 +0.9
  Nov 23, 2024 200   Youngstown St. W 64-57 43%     2 - 3 +2.0 -6.2 +8.6
  Nov 29, 2024 345   @ Louisiana Monroe W 68-60 60%     3 - 3 -1.6 +0.1 -0.6
  Dec 05, 2024 267   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-68 36%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -6.2 -10.7 +4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 48-67 21%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -17.3 -18.3 -0.9
  Dec 15, 2024 35   @ Oregon L 61-79 3%     3 - 6 -1.6 -4.4 +3.0
  Dec 31, 2024 211   @ Abilene Christian W 62-57 26%     4 - 6 +4.9 -10.6 +15.2
  Jan 04, 2025 263   Incarnate Word L 49-55 56%     4 - 7 0 - 3 -14.4 -21.8 +6.5
  Jan 06, 2025 285   Houston Christian L 73-83 62%     4 - 8 0 - 4 -19.9 -5.9 -13.8
  Jan 11, 2025 176   @ Lamar W 72-63 21%     5 - 8 1 - 4 +10.7 +8.9 +2.5
  Jan 13, 2025 218   SE Louisiana L 59-66 46%     5 - 9 1 - 5 -12.9 -11.1 -2.4
  Jan 18, 2025 180   @ Nicholls St. L 61-73 21%     5 - 10 1 - 6 -10.4 -8.7 -2.1
  Jan 20, 2025 69   @ McNeese St. L 59-79 6%     5 - 11 1 - 7 -9.1 -3.4 -7.6
  Jan 25, 2025 247   Northwestern St. L 54-57 OT 52%     5 - 12 1 - 8 -10.4 -25.1 +14.9
  Jan 27, 2025 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-72 75%     6 - 12 2 - 8 -7.1 +8.3 -14.8
  Feb 01, 2025 176   Lamar L 62-67 38%     6 - 13 2 - 9 -8.8 -7.2 -1.8
  Feb 03, 2025 354   @ New Orleans W 88-85 OT 65%     7 - 13 3 - 9 -8.0 +2.2 -10.4
  Feb 08, 2025 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-64 38%     8 - 13 4 - 9 +10.2 +2.3 +7.6
  Feb 10, 2025 267   UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-75 57%     9 - 13 5 - 9 +1.4 +2.1 -1.4
  Feb 15, 2025 247   @ Northwestern St. W 70-68 32%     10 - 13 6 - 9 +0.0 +1.9 -1.8
  Feb 17, 2025 335   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 76-74 57%     11 - 13 7 - 9 -6.6 -0.4 -6.3
  Feb 22, 2025 263   @ Incarnate Word L 61-63 35%     11 - 14 7 - 10 -4.9 -7.8 +2.7
  Feb 24, 2025 285   @ Houston Christian L 56-72 40%     11 - 15 7 - 11 -20.4 -15.8 -5.3
  Mar 01, 2025 180   Nicholls St. L 70-94 38%     11 - 16 7 - 12 -27.9 -7.6 -19.2
  Mar 03, 2025 69   McNeese St. L 64-95 13%     11 - 17 7 - 13 -25.6 -8.4 -16.3
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%