Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#260
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#291
Pace74.6#36
Improvement+5.9#8

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#260
First Shot-4.1#291
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks+2.8#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#345
Freethrows-2.5#317
Improvement+3.1#46

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#230
First Shot-1.3#221
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#249
Layups/Dunks-1.3#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#161
Freethrows-1.7#296
Improvement+2.9#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 413 - 914 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 53   @ Colorado St. L 79-87 OT 5%     0 - 1 +5.6 +0.5 +6.2
  Nov 10, 2024 174   @ Wyoming L 66-81 25%     0 - 2 -13.3 -5.1 -8.0
  Nov 13, 2024 316   Howard L 84-88 OT 65%     0 - 3 -13.3 +0.5 -13.6
  Nov 16, 2024 358   Alabama A&M W 81-71 89%     1 - 3 -8.8 -10.0 -0.2
  Nov 25, 2024 117   @ Chattanooga L 78-85 15%     1 - 4 -1.3 -2.7 +2.0
  Nov 26, 2024 149   Bryant L 85-97 28%     1 - 5 -11.4 +0.5 -10.1
  Dec 01, 2024 204   UNC Asheville L 74-92 49%     1 - 6 -23.2 -6.6 -16.0
  Dec 10, 2024 160   @ Western Kentucky L 60-84 22%     1 - 7 -21.3 -13.7 -5.8
  Dec 19, 2024 338   @ Southern Indiana L 75-77 63%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -10.8 -7.4 -3.3
  Dec 21, 2024 330   @ Morehead St. L 68-74 59%     1 - 9 0 - 2 -13.9 -2.9 -11.3
  Jan 02, 2025 212   Southeast Missouri St. L 65-67 51%     1 - 10 0 - 3 -7.6 -11.2 +3.6
  Jan 04, 2025 253   Arkansas Little Rock W 95-86 59%     2 - 10 1 - 3 +1.3 +6.9 -7.0
  Jan 09, 2025 332   @ Lindenwood L 62-72 60%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -18.0 -14.7 -2.7
  Jan 11, 2025 342   @ Western Illinois W 72-52 65%     3 - 11 2 - 4 +10.6 +2.4 +10.6
  Jan 16, 2025 232   SIU Edwardsville L 80-87 2OT 55%     3 - 12 2 - 5 -13.6 -6.3 -6.3
  Jan 18, 2025 321   Eastern Illinois W 84-65 74%     4 - 12 3 - 5 +6.7 +7.7 -1.4
  Jan 21, 2025 306   Tennessee Martin W 81-80 OT 71%     5 - 12 4 - 5 -10.2 -9.6 -0.7
  Jan 23, 2025 313   Tennessee Tech W 89-77 73%     6 - 12 5 - 5 +0.2 +5.6 -6.1
  Jan 30, 2025 253   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 72-70 38%     7 - 12 6 - 5 -0.2 +1.8 -1.9
  Feb 01, 2025 212   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 87-89 OT 30%     7 - 13 6 - 6 -2.1 +6.7 -8.6
  Feb 06, 2025 342   Western Illinois W 87-69 81%     8 - 13 7 - 6 +3.1 +5.9 -2.8
  Feb 08, 2025 332   Lindenwood W 84-76 78%     9 - 13 8 - 6 -5.5 +6.0 -11.7
  Feb 13, 2025 321   @ Eastern Illinois W 66-49 55%     10 - 13 9 - 6 +10.2 -1.8 +13.0
  Feb 15, 2025 232   @ SIU Edwardsville L 72-84 34%     10 - 14 9 - 7 -13.1 -3.2 -9.3
  Feb 18, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin W 86-75 51%     11 - 14 10 - 7 +5.3 +11.2 -5.7
  Feb 22, 2025 313   @ Tennessee Tech L 74-77 53%     11 - 15 10 - 8 -9.3 -4.7 -4.6
  Feb 27, 2025 330   Morehead St. W 64-55 77%     12 - 15 11 - 8 -4.4 -9.3 +5.6
  Mar 01, 2025 338   Southern Indiana W 74-69 80%     13 - 15 12 - 8 -9.3 -3.6 -5.6
  Mar 06, 2025 332   Lindenwood W 69-55 70%     14 - 15 +3.3 -3.7 +7.4
  Mar 07, 2025 232   SIU Edwardsville L 69-71 44%     14 - 16 -5.9 +7.0 -13.3
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%