Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.7 #333
Expected Predictive Rating -11.5 #335
Pace 69.4 #166
Improvement -4.6 #339

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #323 D C- D C- C-
Defense #315 D+ D- D+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #191 1.12 #224 -1.0 #217
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #95 0.70 #279 +0.8 #134
Three Pointers 38% #252 0.88 #334 -4.3 #318
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #315 -4.6 #315
Freethrows 0.27 #274 74% #130 0.20 #242
Second Chance 29.4% #223 0.97 #252 0.29 #243
Turnovers 19.3% #328
Total Offense -5.8 #323

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #190 1.21 #251 -0.9 #207
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #216 0.78 #228 +0.3 #166
Three Pointers 42% #135 1.13 #327 -3.0 #306
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #299 -3.7 #298
Freethrows 0.29 #154 74% #295 0.22 #183
Second Chance 31.2% #208 1.25 #364 0.39 #336
Turnovers 14.8% #299
Total Defense -4.9 #315

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #257 0.3% #195
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.0% #315 6.9% #309
Possession Length 17.1 #150 17.0 #139
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #167 0.21 #312
Improvement -0.9 #233 -3.7 #344

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.8% 6.9% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.4% 3.0%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 30 - 60 - 8
Quad 48 - 128 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 156 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 82 11% -9  0 - 1 -9 -5 C- B+ F -3 A- F C
 Fri, Nov 7 157 @Charlotte L 65 - 70 11% -10  0 - 2 -2 -5 C- A+ F +3 C- F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 325 West Georgia L 59 - 61 59% -6  0 - 3 -15 -18 F C- F +3 B+ A- B-
 Wed, Nov 19 302 @South Carolina Upstate W 88 - 84 30% +3  1 - 3 -1 +7 B A- F -9 F B+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 26 @Kentucky L 54 - 104 1% -18  1 - 4 -31 -12 F C- B -18 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 34 @Georgia L 81 - 123 1% -23  1 - 5 -25 -0 C- D+ B+ -16 F B- D
 Wed, Dec 3 178 @Lipscomb L 80 - 83 12% -1  1 - 6 -1 +3 B- C- C+ -5 C- C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 325 @West Georgia W 87 - 59 36% +10  2 - 6 +21 +10 A+ F C- +11 A+ F B
 Thu, Dec 18 238 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 74 37% +2  3 - 6 1 - 0 +4 +7 D B- B+ -4 A+ F B
 Sat, Dec 20 203 Tennessee Martin L 62 - 86 31% -7  3 - 7 1 - 1 -30 -5 B+ D- F -27 F B+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 230 Tennessee St. L 76 - 88 35% -9  3 - 8 1 - 2 -19 -1 B+ D- D- -18 D- F C-
 Thu, Jan 1 292 @Arkansas Little Rock L 58 - 77 28% -5  3 - 9 1 - 3 -24 -16 F C- F -9 F C D-
 Thu, Jan 8 321 @Eastern Illinois L 61 - 71 35% +2  3 - 10 1 - 4 -17 -4 D- D F -14 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 362 @Western Illinois W 59 - 54 59% -2  4 - 10 2 - 4 -8 -11 F F D- +4 D B- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 332 Southern Indiana L 54 - 71 61% +0  4 - 11 2 - 5 -31 -20 F F+ F+ -11 C- D F
 Sat, Jan 17 299 Morehead St. L 70 - 76 51% -7  4 - 12 2 - 6 -17 -3 F B+ B -15 C F F
 Thu, Jan 22 240 @Lindenwood L 68 - 89 19% -19  4 - 13 2 - 7 -22 -9 F D- D- -12 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 24 252 @SIU Edwardsville L 58 - 62 21% -9  4 - 14 2 - 8 -6 -0 D- C- A+ -7 B- F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 292 Arkansas Little Rock W 87 - 77 49% +8  5 - 14 3 - 8 -1 +11 B+ B F -11 F A+ F
 Mon, Feb 2 230 @Tennessee St. L 72 - 82 17%
 Thu, Feb 5 362 Western Illinois W 74 - 66 79%
 Sat, Feb 7 321 Eastern Illinois W 69 - 67 58%
 Thu, Feb 12 299 @Morehead St. L 71 - 77 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 332 @Southern Indiana L 69 - 72 39%
 Thu, Feb 19 252 SIU Edwardsville L 66 - 68 41%
 Sat, Feb 21 240 Lindenwood L 75 - 78 37%
 Thu, Feb 26 203 @Tennessee Martin L 64 - 75 16%
 Sat, Feb 28 238 @Southeast Missouri St. L 70 - 79 19%
Totals 8 - 20 6 - 14 -11 -6 D C- D -5 D+ D- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.7 6th
7th 0.2 0.8 1.8 0.7 3.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 6.9 8.3 3.4 0.2 21.1 8th
9th 0.0 2.7 12.2 21.6 15.8 4.7 0.4 57.3 9th
10th 1.0 5.6 6.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 16.4 10th
11th 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 1.4 8.6 18.9 26.6 23.2 13.9 5.7 1.6 0.3 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.3% 0.3
10-10 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.5
9-11 5.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.6
8-12 13.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.8
7-13 23.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 23.1
6-14 26.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.6
5-15 18.9% 18.9
4-16 8.6% 8.6
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%