Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.2 #313
Expected Predictive Rating -9.6 #315
Pace 70.4 #151
Improvement -5.1 #361

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #296 D+ C- F D D
Defense #320 D D- C- C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #279 1.18 #147 -1.8 #245
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #90 0.65 #305 +0.5 #156
Three Pointers 40% #196 0.98 #229 -1.1 #223
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #245 -2.4 #245
Freethrows 14.8 #307 74% #150 10.9 #277
Second Chance 26.4% #298 1.11 #100 0.29 #241
Turnovers 19.6% #333
Total Offense -4.6 #296

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #297 1.15 #161 +2.7 #85
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #210 0.80 #247 -0.1 #185
Three Pointers 47% #44 1.15 #333 -6.1 #351
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #288 -3.4 #291
Freethrows 17.7 #201 72% #168 12.8 #153
Second Chance 30.0% #150 1.27 #356 0.38 #311
Turnovers 15.6% #239
Total Defense -4.6 #320

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.7% #290 -0.3% #139
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.1% #221 7.1% #305
Possession Length 17.4 #184 16.8 #114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #127 0.20 #275
Improvement +0.0 #184 -5.1 #363

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.1% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 4.1% 6.0% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 21.8% 29.2% 10.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 3.4% 16.5%
First Four1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
First Round1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 49 - 1110 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 155 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 82 13%  -9  0 - 1 -9 -7 D+ A- F -1 A+ F C
 Fri, Nov 7 166 @Charlotte L 65 - 70 14%  -9  0 - 2 -3 -5 C- A+ F +2 D F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 297 West Georgia L 59 - 61 56%  -6  0 - 3 -13 -17 F D F +4 A A+ A-
 Wed, Nov 19 287 @South Carolina Upstate W 88 - 84 31%  +3  1 - 3 -0 +6 B- A- F -7 F A- F
 Wed, Nov 26 27 @Kentucky L 54 - 104 1%  -18  1 - 4 -32 -11 F D+ B- -19 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 24 @Georgia L 81 - 123 1%  -23  1 - 5 -23 +0 C- D+ A- -15 F A D+
 Wed, Dec 3 177 @Lipscomb L 80 - 83 16%  -1  1 - 6 -1 +4 B+ C- B -5 C- C+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 297 @West Georgia W 87 - 59 33%  +11  2 - 6 +23 +12 A+ F D+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 218 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 74 38%  +2  3 - 6 1 - 0 +5 +7 F B- B+ -3 A+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 20 235 Tennessee Martin L 62 - 86 42%  +7  3 - 7 1 - 1 -31 -7 C+ F F -27 F B+ D
 Tue, Dec 30 219 Tennessee St. L 76 - 88 38%  -9  3 - 8 1 - 2 -18 +1 A D- F -19 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 299 @Arkansas Little Rock L 58 - 77 33%  -5  3 - 9 1 - 3 -24 -15 F C F -9 F C F
 Thu, Jan 8 309 @Eastern Illinois L 61 - 71 37%  +2  3 - 10 1 - 4 -16 -4 D- F F -13 D F F
 Sat, Jan 10 358 @Western Illinois W 72 - 69 60% 
 Thu, Jan 15 333 Southern Indiana W 76 - 72 67% 
 Sat, Jan 17 308 Morehead St. W 74 - 71 60% 
 Thu, Jan 22 240 @Lindenwood L 73 - 81 23% 
 Sat, Jan 24 275 @SIU Edwardsville L 67 - 73 30% 
 Tue, Jan 27 219 @Tennessee St. L 72 - 81 20% 
 Sat, Jan 31 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 73 - 72 56% 
 Thu, Feb 5 358 Western Illinois W 75 - 66 79% 
 Sat, Feb 7 309 Eastern Illinois W 71 - 68 60% 
 Thu, Feb 12 308 @Morehead St. L 71 - 74 37% 
 Sat, Feb 14 333 @Southern Indiana L 73 - 75 44% 
 Thu, Feb 19 275 SIU Edwardsville W 70 - 69 51% 
 Sat, Feb 21 240 Lindenwood L 76 - 78 43% 
 Thu, Feb 26 235 @Tennessee Martin L 67 - 75 23% 
 Sat, Feb 28 218 @Southeast Missouri St. L 72 - 81 20% 
Totals 10 - 18 8 - 12 -9 -5 D+ C- F -5 D D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.7 0.9 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 5.1 6.3 1.8 0.1 14.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.9 8.0 3.2 0.2 18.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 7.0 8.4 3.3 0.3 0.0 22.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.7 5.2 4.6 1.5 0.1 14.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.6 9.2 13.1 16.8 17.4 14.7 10.8 6.2 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 77.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 35.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.4% 16.5% 16.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-7 1.3% 12.2% 12.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.1
12-8 3.0% 7.5% 7.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.8
11-9 6.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.0
10-10 10.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 10.5
9-11 14.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 14.4
8-12 17.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 17.2
7-13 16.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.8
6-14 13.1% 13.1
5-15 9.2% 9.2
4-16 4.6% 4.6
3-17 1.8% 1.8
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.9 98.4 0.0%