UC Riverside
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.8 283
Results Rating -7.9 291
Pace 69.5 148
Improvement +1.8 112

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 297 C- D- D C C
Defense C- 234 D+ C+ D+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 120 C- 56% 227 +0.5 162
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 150 C- 37% 211 -0.2 187
Three Pointers 39% 232 C- 33% 216 -1.7 240
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 178 C- -1.5 227
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 213
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 276 F+ 0.86 354 D- 0.23 339
Turnovers D 19.1% 319
Freethrows C 0.30 195 C+ 73% 155 C 0.22 173
Total Offense D -4.9 297

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 44% 261 D+ 12.8% 292
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 122 B 2.8% 39
Three Pointers F 72% 358 B- 0.5% 80
Total D 50% 306 C- 6.0% 224

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 21 C- 60% 228 +4.8 332
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 165 D- 43% 333 +1.2 292
Three Pointers 34% 350 C 34% 169 -3.8 37
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 249 C- +1.7 249
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 246
Second Chance C 30.4% 183 B- 0.97 88 C+ 0.30 130
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 281
Freethrows D+ 0.34 289 B- 70% 72 C- 0.24 256
Total Defense C- -2.0 234

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 224 C 11.7% 142
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 297 C- 3.9% 236
Three Pointers C 84% 190 C+ 1.3% 94
Total C 55% 171 C+ 6.6% 94

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 209 16.5 49
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 306 0.18 218
Improvement -1.5 #263 +3.4 #39

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 298 279 260
Results Rating Rank 311 284 262
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 10 10 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 10% 1% 12%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 32 - 92 - 17
Quad 46 - 58 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 294 @North Dakota W 74 - 70 42% +5  84% 1 - 0 C -1 D- -7 C+ F F B+ +6 F+ A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 47 @New Mexico L 68 - 82 4% -5  5% 1 - 1 C +0 C+ +3 A F+ D+ D+ -4 C- B- F
 Sat, Nov 15 294 North Dakota L 74 - 76 65% -0  36% 1 - 2 D- -13 F -14 C+ F F C+ +1 D- A C-
 Tue, Nov 18 138 @California Baptist L 57 - 80 15% -15  1% 1 - 3 F -19 F -18 F+ D+ F C+ +1 C B- D+
 Fri, Nov 21 226 @San Diego W 85 - 71 28% +10  95% 2 - 3 B+ +13 A- +11 A B- B+ B- +3 A- D+ D+
 Mon, Nov 24 296 Grambling St. W 83 - 74 65% -1  34% 3 - 3 C- -2 B +7 A D C- F+ -9 C C- F
 Sat, Nov 29 189 @Utah Tech L 69 - 77 22% -4  6% 3 - 4 D+ -7 C +1 B D+ D+ F+ -8 D- D+ F
 Thu, Dec 4 120 @UC Irvine L 60 - 73 12% -11  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D+ -7 D- -6 F F+ B+ C -1 D B+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 231 @Cal Poly W 88 - 84 28% +7  82% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C+ +3 A- +10 B- C+ A+ D- -6 F A D
 Sat, Dec 13 20 @BYU L 53 - 100 1% -22  0% 4 - 6 F -26 F -19 D D F D+ -4 F A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 20 128 @St. Thomas L 78 - 92 13% -7  27% 4 - 7 D -9 B- +4 B D- D+ F -13 F C- F
 Tue, Dec 23 37 @UCLA L 65 - 97 2% -14  0% 4 - 8 F+ -15 F -10 B- F F C- -2 B- D- C-
 Thu, Jan 1 119 Hawaii L 45 - 88 26% -21  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 F -43 F -22 F D- D+ F -26 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 66 - 67 56% -0  40% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D -9 F -13 C- F F B +4 A- F B
 Sat, Jan 10 134 UC San Diego L 66 - 69 30% +1  47% 4 - 11 1 - 4 C- -4 D+ -3 D B+ F C- -2 D+ C- B
 Thu, Jan 15 263 @Long Beach St. L 73 - 88 34% -10  6% 4 - 12 1 - 5 F+ -18 C- -1 F C+ A+ F -17 F C F
 Sat, Jan 17 208 Cal St. Fullerton W 81 - 72 45% +9  97% 5 - 12 2 - 5 C+ +3 D -5 B F F+ A- +8 A+ B- B
 Thu, Jan 22 120 UC Irvine L 66 - 80 26% -10  0% 5 - 13 2 - 6 D- -14 D -5 D C- D F+ -9 D D B
 Sat, Jan 24 177 @UC Davis L 66 - 74 20% -10  0% 5 - 14 2 - 7 D+ -6 D- -7 F+ B- C C+ +0 D- B C+
 Thu, Jan 29 263 Long Beach St. W 71 - 61 57% +0  47% 6 - 14 3 - 7 C +1 D- -7 D- C- D+ A +8 B+ D+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 231 Cal Poly L 87 - 94 50% -2  23% 6 - 15 3 - 8 D- -14 C+ +2 B- B- F F -15 F C- F
 Thu, Feb 5 208 @Cal St. Fullerton L 72 - 78 24% +1  47% 6 - 16 3 - 9 D+ -6 F+ -9 F+ F A+ B- +3 B+ B+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 159 @Cal St. Northridge L 74 - 88 18% -3  25% 6 - 17 3 - 10 D -11 D+ -3 D C- D F+ -8 F D- D
 Thu, Feb 12 141 UC Santa Barbara L 68 - 76 32% +3  64% 6 - 18 3 - 11 D -10 D -5 A F+ F D -5 B F C-
 Sat, Feb 14 134 @UC San Diego L 66 - 72 14% -5  2% 6 - 19 3 - 12 C -1 D -6 D- F+ C+ B +5 B+ A- D
 Thu, Feb 19 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93 - 65 76% +15  96% 7 - 19 4 - 12 B+ +14 C+ +2 A F B- A +9 A A+ D
 Sat, Feb 21 177 UC Davis L 73 - 78 39% -4  13% 7 - 20 4 - 13 D -9 F+ -8 F C+ D C -0 A- B- D-
 Thu, Feb 26 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 67 - 78 15%
 Sat, Feb 28 159 Cal St. Northridge L 77 - 81 36%
 Fri, Mar 6 119 @Hawaii L 65 - 78 12%
Totals 8 - 22 5 - 15 -7 D -5 B C- C C- -2 C- C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C- C- C- 41% 40% 39% C C- D+ F+ D- D C C+ C C- C- D- C C- 45% 21% 34% D+ D+ C B- C+ D+ D+ B- C-
1.02 56% 37% 33% -1 0 0.99 27% 0.9 .23 19% .30 73% .22 1.11 60% 43% 34% +2 0 1.06 30% 1.0 .30 15% .34 70% .21
Nov
6		 North Dakota D- B A+ F C 59% 7% 34% A- C+ F D- F F A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ F B F 44% 16% 40% C F+ B A+ A+ C- F+ A+ B
1.05 67% 67% 29% +4 +3 1.17 17% 1.0 .17 27% .52 81% .43 0.99 59% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.08 24% 0.6 .15 14% .40 50% .20
Nov
11		 New Mexico C+ F F A+ A 22% 24% 54% D+ A F C F+ D+ D+ A+ B- D+ F C A+ C- 51% 18% 32% C C- B+ D B- F B- A+ B+
1.02 30% 27% 52% +6 -2 1.11 16% 1.0 .16 21% .25 92% .23 1.23 72% 40% 28% +5 +1 1.14 26% 1.1 .29 8% .28 65% .18
Nov
15		 North Dakota F C+ A+ C+ C+ 40% 6% 53% B- C+ F+ F F F C+ F D+ C+ D+ A+ D- D- 49% 10% 41% D- D- B A+ A C- A+ A+ A+
1.00 63% 67% 36% +5 +2 1.17 27% 0.9 .23 28% .39 62% .24 1.02 59% 17% 38% 0 +2 1.07 24% 0.7 .17 15% .22 50% .11
Nov
18		 California Baptist F F A- F F 46% 21% 33% C+ F+ B F D+ F F D F C+ B F A+ C+ 64% 20% 16% F+ C F A+ B- D+ D- A- D+
0.75 42% 45% 24% -11 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 29% .24 69% .17 1.05 47% 55% 22% -7 +2 0.93 47% 0.6 .29 16% .36 65% .23
Nov
21		 San Diego A- C+ D+ A+ A+ 49% 18% 33% B- A C B+ B- B+ A D- B+ B- C A+ B+ A 41% 12% 47% F A- F B- D+ D+ F C F
1.25 64% 38% 53% +12 +1 1.29 34% 1.2 .41 16% .44 68% .30 1.04 60% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 16% .33 74% .25
Nov
24		 Grambling St. B A D+ A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% C A F B D C- A+ B A+ F+ A+ F B- C 41% 27% 33% B- C B+ F C- F F B F
1.20 73% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.27 24% 1.2 .28 20% .56 77% .43 1.07 40% 54% 31% -5 -1 0.92 23% 1.3 .29 12% .54 70% .38
Nov
29		 Utah Tech C A A+ F+ B+ 39% 22% 39% D+ B D+ C- D+ D+ B C- B- F+ C+ F C- D- 49% 22% 29% C- D- A F D+ F F F F
1.09 72% 50% 28% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 17% .32 71% .23 1.22 58% 64% 36% +7 +1 1.16 22% 1.4 .30 11% .32 83% .27
Dec
4		 UC Irvine D- F F F+ F 50% 15% 35% A F C- F F+ B+ A+ D A+ C A+ F F D 46% 20% 34% F+ D A+ D- B+ D+ F B- F
0.88 35% 25% 28% -17 +2 0.71 31% 0.6 .20 15% .48 68% .33 1.07 35% 50% 53% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.1 .24 16% .45 65% .30
Dec
6		 Cal Poly A- A A F C+ 48% 19% 33% C+ B- D A+ C+ A+ A- F+ B D- F+ F C+ F 45% 6% 49% D F C A+ A D F D+ F
1.23 73% 50% 22% +4 +1 1.11 27% 1.3 .36 7% .36 67% .24 1.18 68% 67% 33% +6 +2 1.18 30% 0.6 .18 18% .45 81% .36
Dec
13		 BYU F D- D- D D 19% 37% 44% D- D F+ B+ D F F F F D+ F D- F F 35% 31% 35% B+ F C+ A+ A+ C- F+ A+ B+
0.70 50% 30% 29% -8 -4 0.80 17% 1.3 .22 24% .09 20% .02 1.33 95% 47% 47% +22 -2 1.44 36% 0.7 .25 13% .40 50% .20
Dec
20		 St. Thomas B- A F A+ B+ 43% 22% 35% D+ B D+ F+ D- D+ C+ A+ A- F D+ F F F 50% 20% 30% B F A+ F C- F C F D-
1.13 71% 18% 41% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 19% .28 94% .27 1.33 67% 55% 50% +15 +1 1.33 9% 2.5 .22 9% .30 84% .25
Dec
23		 UCLA F A- C F B- 45% 28% 28% C B- C- F F F A+ D A C- D- D+ B+ B- 33% 33% 33% B B- C+ F D- C- D F F
0.83 67% 38% 23% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.1 .03 28% .41 70% .29 1.24 68% 42% 32% +4 -2 1.05 32% 1.5 .47 13% .38 85% .32
Jan
1		 Hawaii F F F F F 56% 16% 29% A- F F C D- D+ D+ C- D+ F D+ F F F 47% 8% 45% F+ F F B- F C A A+ A+
0.71 44% 14% 15% -20 +2 0.67 17% 1.0 .17 17% .29 67% .19 1.39 63% 50% 48% +12 +2 1.31 47% 1.0 .47 19% .27 50% .14
Jan
8		 Cal St. Bakersfield F F B- A+ D+ 42% 18% 40% C+ C- F F F F F+ F F B D+ A+ F B 24% 57% 18% A+ A- F F+ F B C- C C-
0.94 33% 44% 50% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.6 .13 23% .30 63% .19 0.96 58% 18% 44% -9 -6 0.73 41% 1.1 .46 21% .36 75% .27
Jan
10		 UC San Diego D+ C- B F D 27% 24% 49% D- D B B B+ F A+ A+ A+ C- F D+ A+ D+ 49% 12% 39% D D+ D- B C- B F C F
1.02 54% 42% 25% -7 -1 0.86 33% 1.2 .38 20% .39 85% .33 1.07 75% 40% 25% +3 +2 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 19% .47 68% .32
Jan
15		 Long Beach St. C- C- F F F 48% 22% 30% C+ F B D+ C+ A+ B B B+ F D- F F F 41% 33% 25% C- F D+ B- C F D- B D
1.07 58% 17% 19% -12 0 0.80 33% 1.2 .38 10% .39 79% .31 1.30 67% 53% 54% +16 -1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 12% .33 70% .23
Jan
17		 Cal St. Fullerton D A- A+ C+ B+ 34% 26% 40% D- B F+ F F F+ B+ A+ A A- D B A+ A+ 39% 21% 39% C A+ C+ B B- B F C+ F
1.04 71% 54% 35% +9 -1 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 22% .36 82% .30 0.93 64% 33% 14% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.9 .21 18% .49 71% .35
Jan
22		 UC Irvine D F A+ F F+ 45% 13% 42% A D B- D C- D B- A+ A+ F+ D+ F A+ D 47% 19% 34% F D F A+ D B F D+ F
0.93 33% 57% 27% -13 +1 0.79 36% 0.8 .29 20% .28 94% .26 1.13 59% 67% 25% +1 +1 1.06 49% 0.8 .37 20% .55 71% .39
Jan
24		 UC Davis D- F D D- F 48% 6% 46% A- F+ D+ A+ B- C C+ F F+ C+ D+ B+ F F+ 43% 23% 34% C- D- C+ A- B C+ F A D-
0.96 46% 33% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.3 .36 19% .34 53% .18 1.08 63% 30% 47% +7 0 1.16 26% 0.9 .22 19% .45 68% .31
Jan
29		 Long Beach St. D- A- C F D- 37% 20% 43% C D- B+ F C- D+ A+ F A- A A- F A+ A 48% 26% 26% F B+ F B+ D+ A F A+ D+
1.03 68% 40% 23% -3 0 0.96 36% 0.9 .33 19% .48 67% .32 0.88 50% 50% 17% -8 0 0.87 34% 0.9 .32 23% .38 60% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Cal Poly C+ C+ A+ C+ B+ 35% 31% 33% F B- A+ F B- F A+ F A+ F F+ F C- F 52% 6% 43% F+ F F B+ C- F D+ D D+
1.17 61% 56% 35% +7 -2 1.14 54% 0.7 .38 24% .46 65% .30 1.26 68% 67% 35% +7 +3 1.22 38% 0.8 .31 16% .34 81% .27
Feb
5		 Cal St. Fullerton F+ F+ C- D+ F+ 34% 21% 45% D+ F+ F F F A+ F+ F F B- B+ A+ C+ A 62% 10% 29% F B+ A C- B+ D F F F
0.95 52% 38% 32% -3 0 0.95 14% 0.7 .09 12% .24 56% .14 1.03 50% 20% 33% -7 +3 0.94 17% 1.0 .17 13% .49 84% .41
Feb
7		 Cal St. Northridge D+ C B F+ D 25% 13% 63% C+ D A- F C- D F A+ D+ F+ D+ F+ F F 62% 17% 21% D- F B F D- D D- A+ B
1.02 57% 43% 29% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.9 .30 18% .22 92% .20 1.21 61% 44% 55% +9 +2 1.25 29% 1.3 .39 15% .36 45% .16
Feb
12		 UC Santa Barbara D A+ A+ B- A+ 38% 20% 42% C A D F F+ F D- F F D B+ A+ F B+ 45% 17% 38% D+ B D F F C- D B D+
1.06 76% 56% 37% +12 0 1.27 23% 0.8 .18 26% .30 64% .19 1.18 52% 13% 44% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.4 .48 17% .36 74% .26
Feb
14		 UC San Diego D D F D- F+ 36% 13% 51% B D- F C- F+ C+ C A+ A- B D D- A+ A- 45% 14% 41% C- B+ B A A- D F+ F+ F
0.93 50% 14% 29% -10 +1 0.84 18% 1.0 .18 15% .27 88% .23 1.01 65% 43% 19% -5 +1 0.94 23% 0.8 .18 14% .33 75% .25
Feb
19		 Cal St. Bakersfield C+ C F A+ A 47% 18% 35% B- A D F F B- D+ A+ B A B+ A+ A A+ 44% 40% 15% C+ A A+ A+ A+ D F F F
1.21 58% 20% 63% +12 +1 1.27 32% 0.5 .16 16% .34 86% .29 0.84 48% 19% 25% -14 -2 0.69 23% 0.6 .14 17% .42 85% .36
Feb
21		 UC Davis F+ D C F F 37% 17% 46% C- F B- D+ C+ D A+ C+ A+ C A+ F A+ A 42% 23% 35% C A- A D- B- D- F C- F
0.98 53% 38% 24% -9 0 0.85 35% 0.9 .32 22% .55 75% .41 1.05 45% 64% 24% -5 0 0.92 20% 1.1 .23 15% .62 77% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 6.7 21.1 8.5 0.8 37.1 9th
10th 41.1 19.5 1.5 0.0 62.0 10th
11th 0.9 0.0 0.9 11th
Total 48.7 40.5 10.0 0.8 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 0.8% 0.8
6-14 10.0% 10.0
5-15 40.5% 40.5
4-16 48.7% 48.7
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8%
Lose Out 48.7%