Western Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.3#354
Expected Predictive Rating-13.6#343
Pace60.2#354
Improvement-3.2#319

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#339
First Shot-6.9#342
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#180
Layup/Dunks-9.2#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#244
Freethrows-2.2#308
Improvement-2.3#304

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#347
First Shot-3.6#287
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#348
Layups/Dunks-5.3#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#81
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement-1.0#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 91.8% 80.0% 94.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 19.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 31 - 32 - 4
Quad 45 - 167 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 146   @ San Jose St. W 59-55 7%     1 - 0 +7.6 -3.9 +12.2
  Nov 06, 2024 217   @ Pepperdine L 64-77 12%     1 - 1 -13.7 -6.8 -7.2
  Nov 13, 2024 347   Green Bay L 73-87 55%     1 - 2 -28.5 -6.1 -22.9
  Nov 16, 2024 341   Central Arkansas W 63-61 54%     2 - 2 -12.3 -7.5 -4.5
  Nov 19, 2024 108   @ Northern Iowa L 56-82 4%     2 - 3 -19.5 -8.1 -14.5
  Nov 26, 2024 156   @ South Alabama W 64-63 7%     3 - 3 +4.0 +5.8 -1.6
  Nov 27, 2024 291   Incarnate Word L 75-86 27%     3 - 4 -18.1 +0.2 -18.9
  Dec 14, 2024 262   @ South Dakota L 66-89 17%     3 - 5 -26.2 -11.9 -15.0
  Dec 17, 2024 298   Tennessee Tech W 71-68 38%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -7.1 +0.4 -7.2
  Dec 21, 2024 349   @ Lindenwood L 65-71 37%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -16.0 -8.4 -7.7
  Jan 02, 2025 266   @ SIU Edwardsville L 66-77 18%     4 - 7 1 - 2 -14.5 +7.2 -24.0
  Jan 04, 2025 332   @ Eastern Illinois W 75-67 31%     5 - 7 2 - 2 -0.2 +3.1 -3.1
  Jan 09, 2025 307   Tennessee Martin L 83-85 OT 41%     5 - 8 2 - 3 -12.9 -0.8 -12.0
  Jan 11, 2025 289   Tennessee St. L 52-72 35%     5 - 9 2 - 4 -29.5 -18.5 -13.3
  Jan 16, 2025 282   @ Morehead St. L 47-51 19%     5 - 10 2 - 5 -8.2 -17.6 +8.6
  Jan 18, 2025 324   @ Southern Indiana L 66-78 29%     5 - 11 2 - 6 -19.5 +0.2 -21.6
  Jan 23, 2025 227   Arkansas Little Rock L 51-62 24%     5 - 12 2 - 7 -17.0 -14.4 -3.8
  Jan 25, 2025 265   Southeast Missouri St. L 51-72 31%     5 - 13 2 - 8 -29.3 -18.6 -13.2
  Jan 30, 2025 332   Eastern Illinois L 59-71 50%     5 - 14 2 - 9 -25.2 -12.8 -13.5
  Feb 01, 2025 266   SIU Edwardsville L 65-69 32%     5 - 15 2 - 10 -12.4 -2.0 -10.9
  Feb 06, 2025 289   @ Tennessee St. L 66-75 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 307   @ Tennessee Martin L 65-72 23%    
  Feb 13, 2025 324   Southern Indiana L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 282   @ Morehead St. L 59-68 18%    
  Feb 20, 2025 265   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 63-73 16%    
  Feb 22, 2025 227   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 57-69 12%    
  Feb 25, 2025 349   Lindenwood W 68-66 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 298   @ Tennessee Tech L 64-72 21%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.6 8th
9th 0.7 2.8 1.6 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 1.7 6.8 5.0 0.5 0.0 14.0 10th
11th 7.9 23.9 29.4 15.6 2.1 0.1 78.9 11th
Total 7.9 23.9 31.1 23.0 10.2 3.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.6% 0.6
7-13 3.2% 3.2
6-14 10.2% 10.2
5-15 23.0% 23.0
4-16 31.1% 31.1
3-17 23.9% 23.9
2-18 7.9% 7.9
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.9%