Western Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#342
Expected Predictive Rating-11.3#331
Pace62.6#324
Improvement+1.2#144

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#309
First Shot-5.8#326
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#152
Layup/Dunks-9.4#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#228
Freethrows-2.1#297
Improvement+0.8#149

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#345
First Shot-3.7#295
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#348
Layups/Dunks-5.5#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#78
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement+0.4#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 31 - 52 - 6
Quad 47 - 139 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 152   @ San Jose St. W 59-55 8%     1 - 0 +7.2 -3.4 +11.3
  Nov 06, 2024 214   @ Pepperdine L 64-77 14%     1 - 1 -13.2 -8.6 -4.9
  Nov 13, 2024 334   Green Bay L 73-87 57%     1 - 2 -28.0 -5.7 -22.7
  Nov 16, 2024 344   Central Arkansas W 63-61 61%     2 - 2 -13.1 -8.4 -4.4
  Nov 19, 2024 103   @ Northern Iowa L 56-82 5%     2 - 3 -19.2 -6.6 -15.7
  Nov 26, 2024 132   @ South Alabama W 64-63 7%     3 - 3 +5.6 +5.2 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2024 263   Incarnate Word L 75-86 27%     3 - 4 -16.6 +2.1 -19.4
  Dec 14, 2024 237   @ South Dakota L 66-89 16%     3 - 5 -24.4 -9.0 -16.1
  Dec 17, 2024 313   Tennessee Tech W 71-68 49%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -8.8 -0.1 -8.5
  Dec 21, 2024 332   @ Lindenwood L 65-71 34%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -14.0 -6.6 -7.5
  Jan 02, 2025 232   @ SIU Edwardsville L 66-77 15%     4 - 7 1 - 2 -12.1 +8.0 -22.5
  Jan 04, 2025 321   @ Eastern Illinois W 75-67 30%     5 - 7 2 - 2 +1.2 +6.0 -4.5
  Jan 09, 2025 306   Tennessee Martin L 83-85 OT 46%     5 - 8 2 - 3 -13.2 -0.8 -12.2
  Jan 11, 2025 260   Tennessee St. L 52-72 35%     5 - 9 2 - 4 -28.2 -18.0 -12.5
  Jan 16, 2025 330   @ Morehead St. L 47-51 34%     5 - 10 2 - 5 -11.9 -19.3 +6.7
  Jan 18, 2025 338   @ Southern Indiana L 66-78 37%     5 - 11 2 - 6 -20.8 -0.6 -22.2
  Jan 23, 2025 253   Arkansas Little Rock L 51-62 33%     5 - 12 2 - 7 -18.7 -16.7 -3.2
  Jan 25, 2025 212   Southeast Missouri St. L 51-72 27%     5 - 13 2 - 8 -26.6 -16.2 -13.0
  Jan 30, 2025 321   Eastern Illinois L 59-71 51%     5 - 14 2 - 9 -24.3 -10.2 -15.2
  Feb 01, 2025 232   SIU Edwardsville L 65-69 30%     5 - 15 2 - 10 -10.6 -1.5 -9.7
  Feb 06, 2025 260   @ Tennessee St. L 69-87 19%     5 - 16 2 - 11 -20.7 -4.6 -16.1
  Feb 08, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-81 27%     5 - 17 2 - 12 -16.7 -7.3 -9.2
  Feb 13, 2025 338   Southern Indiana W 87-62 59%     6 - 17 3 - 12 +10.7 +12.0 +0.0
  Feb 15, 2025 330   Morehead St. W 72-67 55%     7 - 17 4 - 12 -8.4 -3.1 -5.1
  Feb 20, 2025 212   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 66-87 13%     7 - 18 4 - 13 -21.1 -8.5 -11.4
  Feb 22, 2025 253   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 61-75 17%     7 - 19 4 - 14 -16.2 -5.3 -11.9
  Feb 25, 2025 332   Lindenwood W 86-81 OT 55%     8 - 19 5 - 14 -8.5 +3.6 -12.5
  Feb 27, 2025 313   @ Tennessee Tech W 82-69 29%     9 - 19 6 - 14 +6.7 +5.6 +1.0
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%