Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#328
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#318
Pace64.9#269
Improvement+4.9#20

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#331
First Shot-6.3#339
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#176
Layup/Dunks-5.2#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#230
Freethrows-1.4#270
Improvement+0.4#153

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#295
First Shot-3.1#270
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#272
Layups/Dunks+1.7#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#361
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement+4.4#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.1% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 1.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.9% 88.6% 67.0%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four4.7% 5.1% 3.7%
First Round2.0% 2.2% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 73.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 30 - 50 - 13
Quad 411 - 811 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 70   @ Utah L 59-100 4%     0 - 1 -30.2 -4.6 -28.0
  Nov 06, 2024 54   @ Utah St. L 46-101 3%     0 - 2 -42.0 -22.0 -20.1
  Nov 11, 2024 148   @ Tulane L 51-84 10%     0 - 3 -29.1 -15.7 -16.3
  Nov 19, 2024 62   @ TCU L 48-71 3%     0 - 4 -11.5 -13.3 +0.1
  Nov 22, 2024 94   @ Washington L 60-77 5%     0 - 5 -8.3 -2.2 -7.5
  Nov 24, 2024 173   @ UC Riverside L 52-69 12%     0 - 6 -14.8 -17.3 +1.8
  Nov 29, 2024 125   @ South Alabama L 65-74 OT 8%     0 - 7 -3.9 +0.8 -5.3
  Dec 01, 2024 25   @ Maryland L 58-96 1%     0 - 8 -20.5 -8.0 -11.0
  Dec 04, 2024 138   @ Wichita St. L 54-78 9%     0 - 9 -19.6 -17.1 -2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 45   @ Oklahoma L 78-94 2%     0 - 10 -2.1 +7.9 -9.4
  Dec 16, 2024 192   @ Rice L 75-77 14%     0 - 11 -0.6 +0.9 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2024 97   @ UAB L 74-91 5%     0 - 12 -9.1 +7.0 -17.3
  Jan 04, 2025 280   Jackson St. L 69-72 47%     0 - 13 0 - 1 -12.6 -0.6 -12.3
  Jan 11, 2025 358   Alabama A&M W 62-52 75%     1 - 13 1 - 1 -7.3 -14.1 +7.3
  Jan 13, 2025 299   Alabama St. W 67-65 50%     2 - 13 2 - 1 -8.4 -5.9 -2.3
  Jan 18, 2025 289   @ Texas Southern L 57-66 29%     2 - 14 2 - 2 -13.5 -11.6 -2.5
  Jan 20, 2025 334   @ Prairie View W 78-70 44%     3 - 14 3 - 2 -0.7 -3.4 +2.4
  Jan 25, 2025 357   Florida A&M W 72-66 73%    
  Jan 27, 2025 262   Bethune-Cookman L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 01, 2025 218   @ Southern L 62-72 16%    
  Feb 03, 2025 326   @ Grambling St. L 64-67 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-71 84%    
  Feb 10, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 75-56 96%    
  Feb 15, 2025 262   @ Bethune-Cookman L 63-70 23%    
  Feb 17, 2025 357   @ Florida A&M W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 280   @ Jackson St. L 65-71 28%    
  Mar 01, 2025 334   Prairie View W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 03, 2025 289   Texas Southern L 68-69 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 72-59 88%    
  Mar 08, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-74 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 5.8 2.9 0.2 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.3 7.8 5.5 0.6 0.0 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 9.0 7.7 1.5 20.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 8.4 8.7 1.9 0.1 21.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.7 5.7 1.3 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.4 1.0 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 2.7 9th
10th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.7 10.4 17.2 21.5 19.6 14.2 7.0 2.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 92.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 71.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 34.6% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.1 0.5
14-4 2.6% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 0.3 2.3
13-5 7.0% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.6 6.4
12-6 14.2% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 1.1 13.1
11-7 19.6% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 1.1 18.5
10-8 21.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.8 20.6
9-9 17.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 16.8
8-10 10.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.3
7-11 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.7
6-12 1.6% 1.6
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.7 95.3 0.0%