IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.0	#352
Expected Predictive Rating	-4.9	#271

Pace	63.4	#331
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.0	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-8.0	#363

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	4.2%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	2.1%	13.4%	2.0%
.500 or above in Conference	37.7%	60.9%	37.5%
Conference Champion	1.8%	7.3%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	8.9%	3.1%	9.0%

First Four	1.8%	3.1%	1.8%
First Round	0.8%	2.7%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 10	8 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	51	@ Utah	L	59-100	2%	0 - 1			-28.5	-4.4	-26.4
Nov 06, 2024	43	@ Utah St.	L	46-101	2%	0 - 2			-41.5	-21.9	-19.7
Nov 11, 2024	145	@ Tulane	L	51-84	7%	0 - 3			-29.0	-16.1	-15.7
Nov 19, 2024	53	@ TCU	L	60-85	1%
Nov 22, 2024	79	@ Washington	L	60-83	2%
Nov 24, 2024	155	@ UC Riverside	L	63-80	6%
Nov 29, 2024	198	@ South Alabama	L	63-77	10%
Dec 01, 2024	31	@ Maryland	L	53-81	1%
Dec 04, 2024	86	@ Wichita St.	L	60-83	2%
Dec 07, 2024	52	@ Oklahoma	L	57-82	1%
Dec 16, 2024	191	@ Rice	L	61-75	10%
Dec 22, 2024	101	@ UAB	L	63-84	3%
Jan 04, 2025	324	Jackson St.	L	70-71	47%
Jan 11, 2025	340	Alabama A&M	W	71-70	53%
Jan 13, 2025	281	Alabama St.	L	66-70	37%
Jan 18, 2025	257	@ Texas Southern	L	63-74	17%
Jan 20, 2025	345	@ Prairie View	L	71-75	37%
Jan 25, 2025	355	Florida A&M	W	71-67	64%
Jan 27, 2025	291	Bethune-Cookman	L	69-72	39%
Feb 01, 2025	273	@ Southern	L	64-74	20%
Feb 03, 2025	241	@ Grambling St.	L	60-72	15%
Feb 08, 2025	361	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-73	66%
Feb 10, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	71-61	80%
Feb 15, 2025	291	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	66-75	21%
Feb 17, 2025	355	@ Florida A&M	L	68-70	44%
Feb 22, 2025	324	@ Jackson St.	L	67-74	28%
Mar 01, 2025	345	Prairie View	W	74-72	57%
Mar 03, 2025	257	Texas Southern	L	66-71	33%
Mar 06, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	68-64	63%
Mar 08, 2025	361	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	75-76	45%
Projected Record						8 - 22	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0				3.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.4	2.1	1.0	0.1	0.0					5.0	3rd
4th										0.3	2.0	3.0	1.3	0.1							6.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.3	4.0	1.7	0.2	0.0							8.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.3	5.0	2.6	0.3	0.0								10.4	6th
7th							0.2	2.1	5.4	3.4	0.5	0.0									11.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.2	5.9	4.0	0.7	0.0										13.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.2	5.5	4.2	1.0	0.0											13.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	2.1	4.9	3.7	0.8	0.0												11.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.5	2.3	3.6	2.4	0.7	0.0													9.5	11th
12th	0.1	0.7	1.5	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0														5.0	12th

Total	0.1	0.7	2.0	4.2	6.7	9.9	12.3	13.2	13.0	11.8	9.3	6.6	4.8	2.8	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	94.5%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	73.5%	0.5		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	38.3%	0.5		0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-5	12.1%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		0.9	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
17-1	0.0%																					0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.2%		17.8%	17.8%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.7%		20.9%	20.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.6
14-4	1.4%		12.9%	12.9%		15.9																0.0	0.2	1.2
13-5	2.8%		7.6%	7.6%		16.0																0.0	0.2	2.6
12-6	4.8%		7.2%	7.2%		16.0																	0.4	4.5
11-7	6.6%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.3	6.4
10-8	9.3%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																	0.3	9.0
9-9	11.8%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	11.6
8-10	13.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	12.8
7-11	13.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.2
6-12	12.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.3
5-13	9.9%																							9.9
4-14	6.7%																							6.7
3-15	4.2%																							4.2
2-16	2.0%																							2.0
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	1.9	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%