IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.4	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	-10.1	#320

Pace	66.6	#241
Improvement	+5.0	#8

Offense
Total Offense	-5.6	#328

First Shot	-5.3	#324
After Offensive Rebound	-0.2	#196

Layup/Dunks	-4.5	#324
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.5	#27
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.6	#294
Freethrows	-0.7	#221

Improvement	+1.9	#52

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#344

First Shot	-4.5	#320
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.3	#287

Layups/Dunks	+1.8	#108
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.8	#12
3 Pt Jumpshots	-9.9	#361
Freethrows	+0.9	#130

Improvement	+3.1	#11

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.5%	6.1%	3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.4%	6.2%	1.1%
.500 or above in Conference	55.8%	67.2%	55.0%
Conference Champion	3.2%	5.0%	3.0%
Last Place in Conference	2.6%	1.3%	2.7%

First Four	3.4%	6.1%	3.2%
First Round	1.4%	3.0%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 9	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	66	@ Utah	L	59-100	3%	0 - 1			-29.5	-4.3	-27.5
Nov 06, 2024	54	@ Utah St.	L	46-101	2%	0 - 2			-42.1	-20.6	-21.6
Nov 11, 2024	203	@ Tulane	L	51-84	13%	0 - 3			-32.0	-17.0	-17.8
Nov 19, 2024	88	@ TCU	L	48-71	4%	0 - 4			-13.6	-13.3	-1.9
Nov 22, 2024	82	@ Washington	L	60-77	4%	0 - 5			-7.2	-1.6	-7.1
Nov 24, 2024	171	@ UC Riverside	L	52-69	11%	0 - 6			-14.7	-17.7	+2.3
Nov 29, 2024	202	@ South Alabama	L	65-74 OT	12%	0 - 7			-7.8	-2.3	-6.1
Dec 01, 2024	19	@ Maryland	L	58-96	1%	0 - 8			-19.9	-7.4	-11.1
Dec 04, 2024	110	@ Wichita St.	L	54-78	6%	0 - 9			-17.3	-15.0	-2.3
Dec 07, 2024	34	@ Oklahoma	L	78-94	2%	0 - 10			-0.7	+8.7	-8.9
Dec 16, 2024	196	@ Rice	L	75-77	12%	0 - 11			-0.6	+1.9	-2.4
Dec 22, 2024	129	@ UAB	L	69-85	6%
Jan 04, 2025	303	Jackson St.	L	69-70	47%
Jan 11, 2025	361	Alabama A&M	W	77-70	74%
Jan 13, 2025	297	Alabama St.	L	73-74	46%
Jan 18, 2025	306	@ Texas Southern	L	69-75	28%
Jan 20, 2025	337	@ Prairie View	L	78-81	39%
Jan 25, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	72-67	69%
Jan 27, 2025	262	Bethune-Cookman	L	69-72	39%
Feb 01, 2025	232	@ Southern	L	64-75	17%
Feb 03, 2025	308	@ Grambling St.	L	66-72	28%
Feb 08, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	84-75	79%
Feb 10, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	72-59	88%
Feb 15, 2025	262	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	66-75	21%
Feb 17, 2025	357	@ Florida A&M	L	69-70	47%
Feb 22, 2025	303	@ Jackson St.	L	66-73	27%
Mar 01, 2025	337	Prairie View	W	81-78	59%
Mar 03, 2025	306	Texas Southern	L	72-73	48%
Mar 06, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	69-62	73%
Mar 08, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-78	60%
Projected Record						9 - 21	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		3.2	1st
2nd												0.4	1.9	2.4	1.0	0.2	0.0				5.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.6	3.5	1.2	0.1	0.0					7.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.7	4.8	1.8	0.1							9.7	4th
5th									0.2	2.4	5.8	2.9	0.3								11.6	5th
6th								0.1	1.9	6.1	4.2	0.4									12.8	6th
7th							0.1	1.8	6.1	5.1	0.9	0.0									13.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.5	5.3	5.2	1.1	0.0										13.3	8th
9th					0.1	1.1	4.0	4.1	1.1	0.1											10.5	9th
10th				0.1	0.8	2.6	2.5	0.8	0.0												6.7	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	1.1	0.4	0.0													3.6	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0														1.1	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.6	5.0	8.5	12.1	14.6	15.1	13.9	11.1	7.6	4.6	2.2	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	90.7%	0.3		0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	80.3%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	49.9%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	17.6%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.1%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.4	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		38.2%	38.2%		15.6																0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.3%		17.9%	17.9%		16.0																	0.1	0.2
15-3	0.9%		19.2%	19.2%		16.0																	0.2	0.7
14-4	2.2%		12.6%	12.6%		16.0																	0.3	1.9
13-5	4.6%		10.0%	10.0%		16.0																	0.5	4.1
12-6	7.6%		7.4%	7.4%		16.0																	0.6	7.1
11-7	11.1%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																	0.6	10.5
10-8	13.9%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.6	13.4
9-9	15.1%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.4	14.6
8-10	14.6%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	14.3
7-11	12.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
6-12	8.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.5
5-13	5.0%																							5.0
4-14	2.6%																							2.6
3-15	1.0%																							1.0
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.5%	3.5%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	3.4	96.6		0.0%