Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#309
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#298
Pace66.0#242
Improvement-0.6#211

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#316
First Shot-4.6#304
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#236
Layup/Dunks+0.3#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#352
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement+0.0#179

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#266
First Shot-3.7#295
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#127
Layups/Dunks+1.6#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#346
Freethrows-0.8#240
Improvement-0.6#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 54.3% 42.6% 63.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Home) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 50 - 10
Quad 32 - 62 - 16
Quad 45 - 67 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 83   @ Grand Canyon L 79-89 6%     0 - 1 -0.5 +7.8 -7.7
  Nov 08, 2024 87   @ Stanford L 53-80 6%     0 - 2 -17.8 -12.0 -8.6
  Nov 13, 2024 94   @ Colorado L 53-83 6%     0 - 3 -21.2 -11.9 -10.8
  Nov 15, 2024 70   @ Oregon St. L 51-70 5%     0 - 4 -8.4 -11.2 +0.3
  Nov 18, 2024 217   Idaho St. W 62-61 40%     1 - 4 -4.9 -5.7 +1.0
  Nov 22, 2024 31   @ UCLA L 47-80 2%     1 - 5 -17.3 -12.9 -6.3
  Nov 26, 2024 203   @ Pepperdine W 72-63 20%     2 - 5 +9.6 +6.7 +3.7
  Nov 30, 2024 302   @ Pacific L 55-64 37%     2 - 6 -14.1 -16.6 +1.6
  Dec 05, 2024 293   Long Beach St. L 56-73 57%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -27.4 -20.1 -8.3
  Dec 07, 2024 175   @ UC Riverside L 68-75 16%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -4.8 -2.8 -2.1
  Dec 15, 2024 340   Denver W 74-59 71%     3 - 8 +0.7 +6.7 -3.2
  Dec 22, 2024 186   Wyoming L 69-73 33%     3 - 9 -7.9 +7.0 -15.6
  Jan 02, 2025 133   Cal St. Northridge L 65-95 24%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -30.9 -10.7 -18.9
  Jan 04, 2025 79   UC San Diego L 51-90 12%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -34.5 -18.2 -17.6
  Jan 09, 2025 228   @ UC Davis L 53-63 24%     3 - 12 0 - 5 -11.0 -16.3 +5.4
  Jan 11, 2025 181   Hawaii L 86-95 32%     3 - 13 0 - 6 -12.6 +7.1 -19.3
  Jan 16, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 62-82 4%     3 - 14 0 - 7 -8.0 -4.8 -1.9
  Jan 18, 2025 293   @ Long Beach St. W 83-67 36%     4 - 14 1 - 7 +11.1 +4.4 +6.3
  Jan 23, 2025 234   Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 165   UC Santa Barbara L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 02, 2025 181   @ Hawaii L 63-73 16%    
  Feb 06, 2025 133   @ Cal St. Northridge L 68-81 11%    
  Feb 08, 2025 228   UC Davis L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 286   Cal Poly W 78-77 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 62-73 15%    
  Feb 27, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 60-75 9%    
  Mar 01, 2025 79   @ UC San Diego L 59-77 4%    
  Mar 06, 2025 286   @ Cal Poly L 75-79 36%    
  Mar 08, 2025 175   UC Riverside L 67-72 33%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 2.8 0.9 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 5.4 6.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 16.0 9th
10th 0.8 6.3 14.4 12.5 4.2 0.5 38.5 10th
11th 3.2 10.7 13.8 8.2 1.9 0.2 37.8 11th
Total 3.2 11.4 20.1 23.7 20.0 12.3 6.4 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.2% 0.2
9-11 0.7% 0.7
8-12 2.2% 2.2
7-13 6.4% 6.4
6-14 12.3% 12.3
5-15 20.0% 20.0
4-16 23.7% 23.7
3-17 20.1% 20.1
2-18 11.4% 11.4
1-19 3.2% 3.2
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.2%