Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#262
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#241
Pace66.0#282
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#282
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#231
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 10.8% 25.0% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 24.4% 35.8% 23.0%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 9.7% 17.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 33 - 73 - 15
Quad 47 - 510 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 85   @ Grand Canyon L 79-89 9%     0 - 1 -0.2 +6.2 -5.8
  Nov 08, 2024 70   @ Stanford L 53-80 7%     0 - 2 -16.0 -10.4 -8.4
  Nov 13, 2024 76   @ Colorado L 53-83 8%     0 - 3 -19.4 -10.9 -9.9
  Nov 15, 2024 103   @ Oregon St. L 59-72 11%    
  Nov 18, 2024 265   Idaho St. W 65-62 62%    
  Nov 22, 2024 30   @ UCLA L 53-74 3%    
  Nov 26, 2024 229   @ Pepperdine L 68-73 33%    
  Nov 30, 2024 284   @ Pacific L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 05, 2024 250   Long Beach St. W 74-72 58%    
  Dec 07, 2024 155   @ UC Riverside L 66-75 21%    
  Dec 15, 2024 309   Denver W 76-70 69%    
  Dec 22, 2024 196   Wyoming L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 02, 2025 202   Cal St. Northridge W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 132   UC San Diego L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 09, 2025 168   @ UC Davis L 66-74 25%    
  Jan 11, 2025 175   Hawaii L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 16, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 59-76 7%    
  Jan 18, 2025 250   @ Long Beach St. L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 23, 2025 261   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 25, 2025 117   UC Santa Barbara L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 02, 2025 175   @ Hawaii L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 06, 2025 202   @ Cal St. Northridge L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 168   UC Davis L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 13, 2025 333   Cal Poly W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 261   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 20, 2025 117   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-78 17%    
  Feb 27, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 62-73 18%    
  Mar 01, 2025 132   @ UC San Diego L 62-72 20%    
  Mar 06, 2025 333   @ Cal Poly W 73-71 56%    
  Mar 08, 2025 155   UC Riverside L 69-72 40%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 5.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.0 3.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 4.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.7 4.4 1.1 0.1 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.1 6.2 4.0 1.0 0.1 16.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.5 5.1 2.7 0.6 0.0 15.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.5 3.1 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.5 11th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.0 5.5 8.3 10.8 12.3 12.5 11.6 10.3 8.5 6.3 4.0 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 94.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 83.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 53.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 26.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 19.1% 19.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 20.5% 20.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 0.8% 14.3% 14.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.6% 7.9% 7.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
13-7 2.6% 7.4% 7.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
12-8 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.9
11-9 6.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.2
10-10 8.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
9-11 10.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.2
8-12 11.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 11.5
7-13 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
6-14 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.3
5-15 10.8% 10.8
4-16 8.3% 8.3
3-17 5.5% 5.5
2-18 3.0% 3.0
1-19 1.1% 1.1
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 99.0 0.0%