Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#194
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#150
Pace79.7#14
Improvement+0.6#118

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#219
First Shot+0.3#167
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#277
Layup/Dunks+2.9#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.4#354
Freethrows+3.0#51
Improvement+2.0#11

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#159
First Shot-4.4#305
After Offensive Rebounds+4.6#10
Layups/Dunks+8.2#10
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#321
Freethrows-9.4#363
Improvement-1.4#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.5% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 57.3% 64.4% 38.7%
.500 or above in Conference 53.8% 58.0% 42.8%
Conference Champion 4.0% 4.8% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 6.2% 11.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.8% 5.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Neutral) - 72.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 411 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-70 22%     0 - 1 -7.4 -18.3 +12.0
  Nov 06, 2024 337   @ Le Moyne W 97-75 73%     1 - 1 +14.1 +10.5 +1.4
  Nov 16, 2024 305   @ Sacramento St. W 79-69 64%     2 - 1 +5.0 +6.7 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2024 304   Utah Tech W 82-76 72%    
  Nov 25, 2024 294   Denver W 83-77 70%    
  Nov 27, 2024 213   @ Montana L 75-77 43%    
  Nov 30, 2024 157   @ Montana St. L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 05, 2024 202   UC Riverside W 78-74 63%    
  Dec 07, 2024 269   @ Cal Poly W 82-81 54%    
  Dec 18, 2024 78   @ USC L 73-85 15%    
  Dec 21, 2024 350   Chicago St. W 84-70 90%    
  Jan 02, 2025 274   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 04, 2025 147   UC Davis W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 09, 2025 59   UC Irvine L 70-78 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 237   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 17, 2025 175   @ Hawaii L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 23, 2025 263   Long Beach St. W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 159   @ UC San Diego L 72-77 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 130   @ UC Santa Barbara L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 237   Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 06, 2025 274   Cal St. Fullerton W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 08, 2025 263   @ Long Beach St. W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 269   Cal Poly W 85-78 73%    
  Feb 20, 2025 59   @ UC Irvine L 67-81 12%    
  Feb 22, 2025 147   @ UC Davis L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 159   UC San Diego W 75-74 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 130   UC Santa Barbara L 77-78 48%    
  Mar 06, 2025 202   @ UC Riverside L 75-77 42%    
  Mar 08, 2025 175   Hawaii W 74-72 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.6 3.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.1 4.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.8 4.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.9 4.0 1.1 0.1 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.2 4.1 0.9 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.3 0.8 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.1 2.7 0.8 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.4 6.7 8.4 9.9 11.6 11.5 10.8 9.8 7.8 6.0 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 95.2% 0.4    0.4 0.1
17-3 72.6% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 49.0% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.0
15-5 21.8% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 45.0% 41.7% 3.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.7%
18-2 0.5% 31.4% 31.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.2% 28.0% 28.0% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.2% 26.3% 26.3% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
15-5 4.0% 19.8% 19.8% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.2
14-6 6.0% 14.2% 14.2% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 5.1
13-7 7.8% 9.0% 9.0% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.1
12-8 9.8% 5.6% 5.6% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.3
11-9 10.8% 3.2% 3.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.4
10-10 11.5% 1.7% 1.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3
9-11 11.6% 1.1% 1.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.5
8-12 9.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
7-13 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
6-14 6.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.7
5-15 4.4% 4.4
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 95.2 0.0%