Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#161
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#195
Pace82.7#5
Improvement+0.9#94

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#102
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#69
Layup/Dunks-7.0#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#36
Freethrows+5.5#9
Improvement+0.8#79

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#266
First Shot-2.9#276
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#190
Layups/Dunks-0.5#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#20
Freethrows-8.5#362
Improvement+0.1#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 7.9% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.6 13.5
.500 or above 37.1% 57.5% 30.8%
.500 or above in Conference 45.7% 58.4% 41.8%
Conference Champion 4.6% 7.4% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 6.0% 12.2%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round5.0% 7.8% 4.2%
Second Round0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Home) - 23.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 52 - 7
Quad 35 - 77 - 14
Quad 47 - 213 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 209   @ California Baptist L 84-88 47%     0 - 1 -3.3 +5.3 -8.3
  Nov 16, 2024 279   Presbyterian W 85-67 80%     1 - 1 +8.9 +7.9 +1.6
  Nov 20, 2024 214   Abilene Christian W 84-78 70%     2 - 1 +0.5 +6.3 -6.0
  Nov 24, 2024 44   Rutgers L 77-85 24%    
  Nov 28, 2024 59   UC Irvine L 75-84 19%    
  Nov 29, 2024 129   Towson L 74-76 42%    
  Nov 30, 2024 123   Kent St. L 77-80 40%    
  Dec 06, 2024 229   @ Georgia St. W 83-82 51%    
  Dec 18, 2024 97   @ Santa Clara L 81-89 23%    
  Dec 21, 2024 250   @ San Jose St. W 79-77 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 183   Jacksonville St. W 78-74 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 164   @ Middle Tennessee L 79-82 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 122   @ Western Kentucky L 85-91 30%    
  Jan 16, 2025 117   Sam Houston St. L 84-85 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 87   Louisiana Tech L 77-81 38%    
  Jan 23, 2025 163   @ New Mexico St. L 78-81 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 174   @ UTEP L 82-84 42%    
  Jan 30, 2025 80   Liberty L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 275   Florida International W 90-81 78%    
  Feb 06, 2025 122   Western Kentucky W 89-88 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 164   Middle Tennessee W 82-79 61%    
  Feb 13, 2025 87   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-84 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 117   @ Sam Houston St. L 81-88 29%    
  Feb 20, 2025 174   UTEP W 85-81 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 163   New Mexico St. W 81-78 61%    
  Feb 27, 2025 275   @ Florida International W 87-84 59%    
  Mar 02, 2025 80   @ Liberty L 70-80 19%    
  Mar 08, 2025 183   @ Jacksonville St. L 75-77 44%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.7 0.8 0.1 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.7 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.2 4.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.3 5.6 8.1 10.2 12.1 12.8 11.6 10.4 8.7 6.4 4.3 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 97.6% 0.5    0.5 0.1
15-3 82.9% 0.9    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 53.5% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
13-5 25.6% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 45.3% 41.5% 3.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.5%
16-2 0.5% 41.1% 37.7% 3.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5.4%
15-3 1.1% 29.1% 28.4% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.9%
14-4 2.5% 21.6% 21.5% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.1%
13-5 4.3% 16.4% 16.4% 12.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.6
12-6 6.4% 12.2% 12.2% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.6
11-7 8.7% 7.7% 7.7% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 8.0
10-8 10.4% 6.2% 6.2% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8
9-9 11.6% 4.9% 4.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.1
8-10 12.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
7-11 12.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.9
6-12 10.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 8.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-15 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.2% 5.1% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.5 94.8 0.0%