IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.7	#209
Expected Predictive Rating	+3.7	#121

Pace	85.1	#4
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#233

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.8	#196

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.0%	14.8%	9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.3	14.8

.500 or above	58.9%	72.2%	48.7%
.500 or above in Conference	65.7%	73.0%	60.2%
Conference Champion	14.8%	19.5%	11.2%
Last Place in Conference	7.1%	4.5%	9.1%

First Four	1.3%	1.0%	1.6%
First Round	11.4%	14.3%	9.2%
Second Round	0.7%	1.1%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 6	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	75	@ Washington St.	L	92-100	11%	0 - 1			+2.6	+10.9	-7.3
Nov 12, 2024	277	@ San Diego	W	85-76	51%	1 - 1			+5.9	-3.9	+8.1
Nov 22, 2024	240	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	83-85	43%
Nov 23, 2024	169	St. Thomas	L	79-81	42%
Nov 24, 2024	178	Wofford	L	76-78	43%
Nov 30, 2024	301	Utah Tech	W	85-78	75%
Dec 04, 2024	152	@ Seattle	L	73-80	27%
Dec 07, 2024	309	Denver	W	87-79	76%
Dec 18, 2024	284	@ Pacific	W	80-79	52%
Dec 21, 2024	261	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	75-76	48%
Jan 04, 2025	296	@ Sacramento St.	W	71-70	55%
Jan 09, 2025	228	Eastern Washington	W	88-84	62%
Jan 11, 2025	282	Idaho	W	81-74	72%
Jan 16, 2025	192	@ Northern Colorado	L	81-85	37%
Jan 18, 2025	288	@ Northern Arizona	W	82-81	53%
Jan 23, 2025	233	Weber St.	W	78-74	63%
Jan 25, 2025	265	Idaho St.	W	74-68	68%
Jan 30, 2025	218	@ Montana	L	76-79	41%
Feb 01, 2025	165	@ Montana St.	L	78-84	32%
Feb 06, 2025	282	@ Idaho	W	78-77	52%
Feb 08, 2025	228	@ Eastern Washington	L	85-87	41%
Feb 13, 2025	288	Northern Arizona	W	85-78	72%
Feb 15, 2025	192	Northern Colorado	W	84-82	57%
Feb 20, 2025	265	@ Idaho St.	L	71-72	48%
Feb 22, 2025	233	@ Weber St.	L	75-77	43%
Feb 27, 2025	165	Montana St.	W	81-80	51%
Mar 01, 2025	218	Montana	W	79-76	61%
Mar 03, 2025	296	Sacramento St.	W	74-67	73%
Projected Record						15 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	1.3	3.0	4.0	3.3	2.0	0.9	0.2		14.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	2.3	4.8	4.3	1.8	0.4	0.0				14.0	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.8	5.2	3.5	1.0	0.1						12.9	3rd
4th									0.3	2.8	5.5	2.9	0.6	0.0							12.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.2	5.3	3.2	0.4	0.0								11.2	5th
6th							0.2	1.7	4.6	2.7	0.4	0.0									9.5	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.5	3.6	2.7	0.3	0.0										8.2	7th
8th					0.2	1.3	3.0	2.3	0.4	0.0											7.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.4	1.3	2.2	1.6	0.3	0.0												5.8	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0													4.2	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.4	2.9	4.5	6.4	8.0	10.1	11.4	12.2	11.0	10.3	8.3	5.8	3.7	2.0	0.9	0.2			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
16-2	98.0%	2.0		1.9	0.1
15-3	89.6%	3.3		2.8	0.5	0.0
14-4	68.3%	4.0		2.5	1.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	36.0%	3.0		1.3	1.2	0.4	0.0
12-6	12.9%	1.3		0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	14.8%	14.8		9.7	3.7	1.1	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		66.7%	66.7%		11.4							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1
17-1	0.9%		56.5%	56.5%		12.7											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.4
16-2	2.0%		44.6%	44.6%		13.2												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1		1.1
15-3	3.7%		33.5%	33.5%		13.7													0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.4
14-4	5.8%		28.9%	28.9%		14.0													0.0	0.4	0.8	0.4	0.0	4.2
13-5	8.3%		23.6%	23.6%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.2	6.3
12-6	10.3%		17.0%	17.0%		14.9														0.0	0.4	0.9	0.3	8.5
11-7	11.0%		13.1%	13.1%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	9.5
10-8	12.2%		9.1%	9.1%		15.5													0.0		0.1	0.4	0.6	11.1
9-9	11.4%		5.7%	5.7%		15.6															0.0	0.2	0.4	10.7
8-10	10.1%		3.4%	3.4%		15.9																0.0	0.3	9.7
7-11	8.0%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.9
6-12	6.4%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	6.3
5-13	4.5%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	4.4
4-14	2.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
3-15	1.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
2-16	0.7%																							0.7
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		12.0%	12.0%	0.0%	14.5							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.7	3.1	3.9	2.8	88.0		0.0%