Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#123
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#126
Pace74.2#66
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#120
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#144
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 14.3% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.2
.500 or above 60.3% 67.5% 42.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.0% 75.7% 62.8%
Conference Champion 14.8% 16.9% 9.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 2.6% 5.8%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round12.4% 14.0% 8.4%
Second Round2.4% 2.8% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Away) - 71.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 32 - 8
Quad 36 - 58 - 12
Quad 48 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 46   @ Nevada L 75-91 17%     0 - 1 -3.0 +10.0 -13.3
  Nov 09, 2024 299   @ Tarleton St. W 91-62 75%     1 - 1 +25.0 +10.4 +12.4
  Nov 12, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 67-104 9%     1 - 2 -18.9 -2.2 -15.0
  Nov 17, 2024 280   @ Lamar W 79-73 72%    
  Nov 27, 2024 203   Appalachian St. W 75-70 69%    
  Nov 29, 2024 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 75-76 48%    
  Nov 30, 2024 172   Colgate W 74-70 63%    
  Dec 03, 2024 24   @ Indiana L 69-82 12%    
  Dec 07, 2024 257   Texas Southern W 79-68 84%    
  Dec 21, 2024 35   @ Pittsburgh L 71-82 15%    
  Jan 02, 2025 147   @ New Mexico St. L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 04, 2025 194   @ UTEP W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 09, 2025 104   Liberty W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 267   Florida International W 85-74 83%    
  Jan 16, 2025 176   @ Kennesaw St. W 85-84 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 210   @ Jacksonville St. W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 23, 2025 129   Middle Tennessee W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 118   Western Kentucky W 84-81 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 92   @ Louisiana Tech L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 06, 2025 267   @ Florida International W 82-77 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 104   @ Liberty L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 13, 2025 210   Jacksonville St. W 77-68 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 176   Kennesaw St. W 88-81 72%    
  Feb 20, 2025 118   @ Western Kentucky L 81-84 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 129   @ Middle Tennessee L 71-73 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 92   Louisiana Tech W 74-73 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 194   UTEP W 79-71 74%    
  Mar 08, 2025 147   New Mexico St. W 75-70 66%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 4.0 3.8 2.3 1.0 0.2 14.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 4.8 5.1 2.9 0.7 0.1 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.5 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.8 4.3 1.0 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.2 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 3.1 5.0 7.3 9.4 11.3 12.3 12.3 11.5 9.5 7.1 4.5 2.4 1.0 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.0
16-2 97.3% 2.3    2.1 0.2
15-3 84.9% 3.8    2.9 0.9 0.1
14-4 56.7% 4.0    2.2 1.5 0.3
13-5 27.7% 2.6    0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1
12-6 6.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.8% 14.8 9.4 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 63.3% 53.1% 10.2% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 21.7%
17-1 1.0% 61.2% 47.6% 13.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 26.0%
16-2 2.4% 48.7% 44.0% 4.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 8.3%
15-3 4.5% 33.6% 32.4% 1.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.0 1.7%
14-4 7.1% 25.2% 24.8% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 5.3 0.6%
13-5 9.5% 20.8% 20.8% 0.0% 12.5 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.5 0.0%
12-6 11.5% 16.5% 16.5% 12.9 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 9.6
11-7 12.3% 11.0% 11.0% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.9
10-8 12.3% 8.4% 8.4% 13.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.2
9-9 11.3% 5.7% 5.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.7
8-10 9.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.0
7-11 7.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.1
6-12 5.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.0
5-13 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.7% 12.3% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.6 3.3 1.4 0.9 0.5 87.3 0.4%