Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#128
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#147
Pace70.1#146
Improvement-2.2#308

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#98
First Shot+3.7#82
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#227
Layup/Dunks-1.4#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#114
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement-2.1#321

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#197
First Shot+1.1#141
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#322
Layups/Dunks+0.5#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#224
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement-0.1#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 12.8% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.4 13.3
.500 or above 43.5% 67.6% 40.8%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 73.6% 60.5%
Conference Champion 9.1% 15.0% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 3.2% 6.3%
First Four0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round8.5% 12.8% 8.0%
Second Round1.1% 2.3% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 10.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 9
Quad 36 - 68 - 14
Quad 46 - 114 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 54   @ Nevada L 75-91 15%     0 - 1 -3.1 +9.1 -12.5
  Nov 09, 2024 303   @ Tarleton St. W 91-62 74%     1 - 1 +24.4 +11.5 +10.6
  Nov 12, 2024 12   @ Baylor L 67-104 7%     1 - 2 -18.1 -2.8 -13.6
  Nov 17, 2024 179   @ Lamar W 85-72 50%     2 - 2 +15.0 +18.2 -2.6
  Nov 27, 2024 171   Appalachian St. L 63-66 61%     2 - 3 -3.7 -2.8 -1.1
  Nov 29, 2024 142   @ UNC Wilmington L 60-69 42%     2 - 4 -5.0 -6.5 +0.8
  Nov 30, 2024 224   Colgate W 82-78 70%     3 - 4 +0.7 +13.1 -12.1
  Dec 03, 2024 46   @ Indiana L 71-97 14%     3 - 5 -12.2 -2.4 -7.3
  Dec 07, 2024 300   Texas Southern W 87-71 88%     4 - 5 +5.5 +13.5 -7.2
  Dec 21, 2024 32   @ Pittsburgh L 69-82 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 199   @ New Mexico St. W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 04, 2025 132   @ UTEP L 74-76 41%    
  Jan 09, 2025 77   Liberty L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 242   Florida International W 80-70 81%    
  Jan 16, 2025 154   @ Kennesaw St. L 80-81 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 173   @ Jacksonville St. L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 23, 2025 130   Middle Tennessee W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 106   Western Kentucky W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 06, 2025 242   @ Florida International W 77-73 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 77   @ Liberty L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 13, 2025 173   Jacksonville St. W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 154   Kennesaw St. W 83-78 67%    
  Feb 20, 2025 106   @ Western Kentucky L 76-81 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 130   @ Middle Tennessee L 73-76 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 101   Louisiana Tech W 73-72 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 132   UTEP W 77-73 62%    
  Mar 08, 2025 199   New Mexico St. W 76-69 73%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.5 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.4 3.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.8 3.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 6.2 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.2 0.5 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.6 7.2 10.0 12.3 13.5 13.5 12.1 9.4 6.5 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 98.6% 0.7    0.7 0.0
15-3 91.3% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 66.2% 2.5    1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 38.6% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0
12-6 11.9% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 5.1 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 48.8% 47.6% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.3%
16-2 0.7% 31.2% 31.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.0% 28.0% 27.9% 0.1% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.4 0.1%
14-4 3.8% 23.5% 23.5% 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.9
13-5 6.5% 19.0% 19.0% 12.3 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.3
12-6 9.4% 13.6% 13.6% 12.6 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.1
11-7 12.1% 11.7% 11.7% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 10.6
10-8 13.5% 8.3% 8.3% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 12.4
9-9 13.5% 5.9% 5.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 12.7
8-10 12.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.8
7-11 10.0% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.7
6-12 7.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.1
5-13 4.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-14 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 91.4 0.0%