Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#237
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#268
Pace64.4#290
Improvement-1.4#244

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#185
First Shot-1.3#212
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#117
Layup/Dunks-0.1#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#215
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement+0.2#166

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#291
First Shot-2.2#247
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#320
Layups/Dunks-2.3#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#218
Freethrows-2.0#311
Improvement-1.6#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 8.4% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 7.0% 12.3% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 39.5% 56.4% 29.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 4.1% 10.9%
First Four4.9% 5.5% 4.6%
First Round4.7% 6.0% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Away) - 37.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 72   @ Oregon St. L 48-76 9%     0 - 1 -17.5 -16.8 -3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 69   @ Nevada L 58-88 9%     0 - 2 -19.2 -4.4 -17.5
  Nov 17, 2024 181   @ Hawaii L 68-73 OT 28%     0 - 3 -3.2 -4.3 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 87-93 16%     0 - 4 +0.5 +15.1 -14.1
  Nov 29, 2024 288   Bowling Green W 73-70 61%     1 - 4 -4.2 -2.5 -1.7
  Nov 30, 2024 204   Pepperdine W 68-53 42%     2 - 4 +12.9 -4.6 +17.7
  Dec 04, 2024 112   North Dakota St. L 73-77 33%     2 - 5 -3.6 +5.5 -9.6
  Dec 07, 2024 278   @ North Dakota L 75-80 48%     2 - 6 -8.8 +0.6 -9.7
  Dec 13, 2024 286   @ Utah Tech W 73-71 50%     3 - 6 -2.4 +8.4 -10.5
  Dec 21, 2024 140   Utah Valley L 62-64 38%     3 - 7 -3.2 +3.0 -6.5
  Dec 29, 2024 28   @ Oregon L 49-89 4%     3 - 8 -23.9 -16.0 -8.0
  Jan 02, 2025 166   @ Northern Colorado L 72-89 26%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -14.4 -1.8 -12.7
  Jan 04, 2025 264   @ Northern Arizona L 77-80 45%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -6.1 +7.3 -13.5
  Jan 11, 2025 215   @ Idaho St. W 77-69 35%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +7.7 +9.4 -1.2
  Jan 16, 2025 226   Montana L 59-63 58%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -10.4 -7.8 -3.3
  Jan 18, 2025 176   Montana St. L 71-80 47%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -12.4 -0.4 -12.3
  Jan 23, 2025 227   @ Portland St. L 70-73 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 335   @ Sacramento St. W 67-63 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 248   Idaho W 74-71 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 259   Eastern Washington W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 03, 2025 264   Northern Arizona W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 215   Idaho St. W 69-68 56%    
  Feb 13, 2025 176   @ Montana St. L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 226   @ Montana L 71-74 37%    
  Feb 20, 2025 335   Sacramento St. W 70-60 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 227   Portland St. W 73-71 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 259   @ Eastern Washington L 74-75 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 248   @ Idaho L 71-73 41%    
  Mar 03, 2025 166   Northern Colorado L 76-77 45%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.8 3.4 0.7 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.2 3.9 5.6 1.0 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 3.0 7.6 2.1 0.1 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 7.9 4.3 0.2 14.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 7.0 6.4 0.6 15.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 6.3 6.6 1.3 15.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.6 4.9 4.6 1.2 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.4 7.4 12.7 16.6 18.8 16.8 12.2 6.9 2.9 0.7 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 72.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 41.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 15.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.7% 21.4% 21.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
12-6 2.9% 16.5% 16.5% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.4
11-7 6.9% 14.1% 14.1% 15.6 0.4 0.6 5.9
10-8 12.2% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.1 1.3 10.8
9-9 16.8% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 1.6 15.1
8-10 18.8% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 1.0 17.8
7-11 16.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 16.1
6-12 12.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 12.3
5-13 7.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 7.3
4-14 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 3.3
3-15 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 5.9 93.2 0.0%