Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#233
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#248
Pace64.4#319
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#202
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 13.9% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 37.6% 55.7% 29.8%
.500 or above in Conference 60.0% 70.4% 55.5%
Conference Champion 12.3% 17.8% 9.9%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 5.3% 10.2%
First Four2.1% 1.7% 2.3%
First Round9.4% 13.3% 7.7%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Away) - 29.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 103   @ Oregon St. L 48-76 15%     0 - 1 -20.1 -15.6 -7.0
  Nov 13, 2024 46   @ Nevada L 58-88 7%     0 - 2 -17.0 -3.0 -16.7
  Nov 17, 2024 175   @ Hawaii L 65-71 30%    
  Nov 22, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 64-73 20%    
  Nov 29, 2024 270   Bowling Green W 72-70 58%    
  Dec 04, 2024 222   North Dakota St. W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 07, 2024 271   @ North Dakota L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 13, 2024 301   @ Utah Tech W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 21, 2024 124   Utah Valley L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 29, 2024 39   @ Oregon L 60-77 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 192   @ Northern Colorado L 70-75 35%    
  Jan 04, 2025 288   @ Northern Arizona W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 265   @ Idaho St. L 63-64 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 218   Montana W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 18, 2025 165   Montana St. L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 209   @ Portland St. L 74-78 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 296   @ Sacramento St. W 64-63 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 282   Idaho W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 228   Eastern Washington W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 03, 2025 288   Northern Arizona W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 08, 2025 265   Idaho St. W 66-61 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 165   @ Montana St. L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 218   @ Montana L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 20, 2025 296   Sacramento St. W 67-60 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 209   Portland St. W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 27, 2025 228   @ Eastern Washington L 74-77 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 282   @ Idaho L 68-69 50%    
  Mar 03, 2025 192   Northern Colorado W 73-72 55%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 3.5 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 12.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.1 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.6 5.1 2.9 0.7 0.1 11.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 2.5 0.4 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.0 3.5 5.5 7.3 9.5 10.8 11.9 11.2 10.9 9.0 6.8 5.1 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 96.7% 1.5    1.4 0.1
15-3 89.9% 2.6    2.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 67.8% 3.5    2.2 1.1 0.2
13-5 37.6% 2.6    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0
12-6 14.4% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.3% 12.3 7.7 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 73.2% 70.7% 2.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3%
17-1 0.6% 55.7% 55.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.5% 41.6% 41.6% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9
15-3 2.9% 33.6% 33.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.9
14-4 5.1% 28.0% 28.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 3.7
13-5 6.8% 21.7% 21.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 5.3
12-6 9.0% 16.9% 16.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 7.4
11-7 10.9% 12.5% 12.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 9.5
10-8 11.2% 8.5% 8.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.2
9-9 11.9% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 11.1
8-10 10.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.4
7-11 9.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 9.3
6-12 7.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.2
5-13 5.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.5
4-14 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 3.3 3.5 89.8 0.0%