St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#178
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#220
Pace61.5#351
Improvement+0.2#149

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#256
First Shot-3.3#269
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#147
Layup/Dunks-8.8#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#39
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement-0.4#252

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#119
First Shot+0.3#172
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#89
Layups/Dunks-1.3#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#39
Freethrows-6.0#359
Improvement+0.6#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.2% 22.7% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 83.4% 87.6% 69.0%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 92.3% 85.2%
Conference Champion 32.1% 34.6% 23.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 1.1%
First Four2.3% 2.1% 2.9%
First Round20.1% 21.8% 14.5%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Away) - 77.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 6
Quad 416 - 518 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 88   @ Seton Hall L 53-57 18%     0 - 1 +5.0 -4.4 +9.0
  Nov 08, 2024 154   @ Umass Lowell L 74-81 34%     0 - 2 -3.8 +2.3 -6.1
  Nov 11, 2024 42   @ Rutgers L 65-75 9%     0 - 3 +4.1 +5.3 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2024 311   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-61 67%     1 - 3 +2.6 +1.8 +2.2
  Nov 26, 2024 342   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-68 77%    
  Dec 03, 2024 207   @ Duquesne L 62-64 44%    
  Dec 06, 2024 328   Manhattan W 72-60 86%    
  Dec 08, 2024 217   @ Iona L 65-66 46%    
  Dec 20, 2024 213   Delaware W 70-65 66%    
  Jan 03, 2025 224   Quinnipiac W 70-65 68%    
  Jan 10, 2025 327   @ Niagara W 68-63 68%    
  Jan 12, 2025 351   @ Canisius W 70-61 79%    
  Jan 16, 2025 234   Marist W 67-61 69%    
  Jan 18, 2025 331   @ Sacred Heart W 72-66 72%    
  Jan 23, 2025 230   Merrimack W 63-58 68%    
  Jan 31, 2025 240   @ Rider W 66-65 50%    
  Feb 02, 2025 260   Mount St. Mary's W 69-62 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 306   @ Siena W 64-60 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 328   @ Manhattan W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 14, 2025 274   Fairfield W 68-60 75%    
  Feb 16, 2025 240   Rider W 68-62 70%    
  Feb 21, 2025 260   @ Mount St. Mary's W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 23, 2025 331   Sacred Heart W 75-63 86%    
  Feb 28, 2025 224   @ Quinnipiac L 67-68 48%    
  Mar 02, 2025 234   @ Marist L 63-64 49%    
  Mar 06, 2025 327   Niagara W 71-60 83%    
  Mar 08, 2025 351   Canisius W 73-58 90%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.0 7.8 8.0 5.6 2.6 0.7 32.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.7 6.0 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.8 3.6 0.9 0.1 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.9 0.8 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.6 0.8 0.1 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.4 4.0 5.8 8.1 9.9 11.8 12.9 12.8 11.3 9.1 5.8 2.6 0.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 99.6% 2.6    2.6 0.0
18-2 97.0% 5.6    5.2 0.4 0.0
17-3 88.3% 8.0    6.5 1.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 69.2% 7.8    4.9 2.6 0.4 0.0
15-5 39.5% 5.0    2.0 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.0% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 32.1% 32.1 22.2 7.6 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 57.1% 57.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
19-1 2.6% 49.5% 49.5% 12.8 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3
18-2 5.8% 43.7% 43.7% 13.4 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.2
17-3 9.1% 36.4% 36.4% 14.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 5.8
16-4 11.3% 32.5% 32.5% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 0.3 7.7
15-5 12.8% 26.1% 26.1% 15.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.8 9.4
14-6 12.9% 21.0% 21.0% 15.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 10.2
13-7 11.8% 14.9% 14.9% 15.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 10.0
12-8 9.9% 11.4% 11.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.7
11-9 8.1% 7.2% 7.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 7.5
10-10 5.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.6
9-11 4.0% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 3.8
8-12 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.3
7-13 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
6-14 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 21.2% 21.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.3 6.4 5.3 78.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 10.7 2.2 3.4 2.2 3.4 3.4 6.7 51.7 25.8 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%