Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#345
Expected Predictive Rating-13.6#330
Pace74.6#65
Improvement-0.6#248

Offense
Total Offense-9.0#361
First Shot-10.2#362
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#110
Layup/Dunks+0.7#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#364
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#240
Freethrows-2.5#303
Improvement-0.4#247

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#291
First Shot-1.7#239
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#291
Layups/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#223
Freethrows-1.4#253
Improvement-0.1#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.5% 20.8% 7.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.5% 47.6% 34.1%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.8% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 5.1% 11.0%
First Four2.2% 2.7% 1.7%
First Round1.2% 1.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 47.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 6
Quad 410 - 1210 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2024 298   @ Tennessee St. L 71-81 22%     0 - 1 -14.2 -13.3 +0.6
  Nov 19, 2024 53   @ Georgia L 45-93 2%     0 - 2 -35.7 -22.9 -11.8
  Nov 22, 2024 319   South Carolina St. L 71-72 47%    
  Nov 23, 2024 296   Coastal Carolina L 66-68 42%    
  Nov 25, 2024 360   IU Indianapolis W 73-68 68%    
  Nov 30, 2024 151   Lipscomb L 69-79 18%    
  Dec 15, 2024 168   @ Chattanooga L 66-81 9%    
  Dec 18, 2024 103   @ UAB L 63-83 3%    
  Dec 21, 2024 127   Samford L 74-86 15%    
  Dec 28, 2024 104   @ Georgia Tech L 67-87 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 06, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 72-61 84%    
  Jan 11, 2025 349   @ Alcorn St. L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 13, 2025 321   @ Jackson St. L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 18, 2025 282   Alabama St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 261   Texas Southern L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 27, 2025 347   Prairie View W 79-76 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 357   @ Florida A&M L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 03, 2025 291   @ Bethune-Cookman L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 268   Southern L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 10, 2025 240   Grambling St. L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 17, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 291   Bethune-Cookman L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 24, 2025 357   Florida A&M W 73-68 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 282   @ Alabama St. L 65-74 21%    
  Mar 06, 2025 240   @ Grambling St. L 63-74 17%    
  Mar 08, 2025 268   @ Southern L 65-75 20%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.8 1.1 0.1 5.8 3rd
4th 0.3 1.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.3 3.0 0.3 11.0 6th
7th 0.3 2.2 5.3 3.8 0.5 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.4 4.0 0.6 0.1 12.7 8th
9th 0.3 2.5 5.0 3.9 0.7 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.4 2.2 4.5 3.3 0.7 0.1 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.1 6.8 9.4 11.3 12.4 12.5 12.1 9.6 7.2 5.4 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 74.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 48.1% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 61.8% 61.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 33.9% 33.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
15-3 1.0% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.7
14-4 1.8% 12.5% 12.5% 16.0 0.2 1.5
13-5 3.1% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.3 2.9
12-6 5.4% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.4 5.0
11-7 7.2% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.4 6.8
10-8 9.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 9.3
9-9 12.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 11.8
8-10 12.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.4
7-11 12.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.4
6-12 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
5-13 9.4% 9.4
4-14 6.8% 6.8
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 97.6 0.0%