Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#246
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#241
Pace77.3#31
Improvement+1.8#37

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#221
First Shot-3.1#265
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#101
Layup/Dunks+1.0#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#313
Freethrows+0.2#177
Improvement+1.9#12

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#255
First Shot-0.9#208
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#287
Layups/Dunks-3.8#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#40
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows-1.1#248
Improvement-0.2#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 11.2% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 57.6% 71.5% 46.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.1% 75.7% 63.9%
Conference Champion 9.9% 13.0% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.8% 3.6%
First Four2.2% 1.9% 2.3%
First Round7.9% 10.2% 6.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Neutral) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 413 - 716 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 293   @ Army L 59-67 49%     0 - 1 -11.9 -12.9 +0.6
  Nov 13, 2024 339   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 66%     1 - 1 +5.4 +10.2 -5.1
  Nov 16, 2024 306   Siena W 70-60 74%     2 - 1 -1.1 -2.9 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2024 217   UMKC L 73-75 44%    
  Nov 24, 2024 260   American W 73-72 54%    
  Nov 30, 2024 116   @ Georgetown L 72-83 16%    
  Dec 04, 2024 190   Columbia W 82-81 50%    
  Dec 07, 2024 286   @ Boston University L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 10, 2024 93   @ Syracuse L 76-89 12%    
  Dec 14, 2024 144   Drexel L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 18, 2024 333   @ Sacred Heart W 82-79 61%    
  Dec 21, 2024 162   @ Fordham L 73-80 26%    
  Dec 29, 2024 302   Stony Brook W 80-74 72%    
  Jan 04, 2025 155   Umass Lowell L 79-81 45%    
  Jan 09, 2025 341   @ New Hampshire W 79-74 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 236   @ Maine L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 16, 2025 160   Bryant L 83-84 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 330   @ Binghamton W 76-74 59%    
  Jan 23, 2025 311   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 88-81 74%    
  Jan 25, 2025 360   NJIT W 79-66 88%    
  Feb 01, 2025 330   Binghamton W 79-71 77%    
  Feb 06, 2025 160   @ Bryant L 80-87 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 151   Vermont L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 13, 2025 155   @ Umass Lowell L 76-84 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 236   Maine W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 22, 2025 341   New Hampshire W 82-71 82%    
  Feb 27, 2025 311   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 85-84 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 360   @ NJIT W 76-69 74%    
  Mar 04, 2025 151   @ Vermont L 65-73 26%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.1 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 4.5 1.5 0.1 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.8 4.9 1.0 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.6 7.7 4.3 0.6 0.0 18.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.4 7.0 3.2 0.4 17.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.5 4.6 1.5 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 3.0 2.5 0.6 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.5 8.6 11.4 13.6 14.5 13.5 11.3 8.1 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
14-2 94.2% 2.1    1.7 0.4 0.0
13-3 68.3% 3.4    1.9 1.3 0.1
12-4 32.2% 2.6    0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.9% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.4 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 47.5% 47.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.8% 38.2% 38.2% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-2 2.2% 34.5% 34.5% 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.5
13-3 4.9% 27.6% 27.6% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 3.6
12-4 8.1% 19.2% 19.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 6.5
11-5 11.3% 14.6% 14.6% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 9.7
10-6 13.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 12.3
9-7 14.5% 6.2% 6.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 13.6
8-8 13.6% 4.3% 4.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 13.0
7-9 11.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.1
6-10 8.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.5
5-11 5.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-12 3.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-13 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.9 91.0 0.0%