Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#120
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#109
Pace77.1#24
Improvement+3.9#17

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#73
First Shot+7.5#22
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#339
Layup/Dunks+2.2#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.5#4
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement+2.5#33

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#219
First Shot-0.1#175
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#290
Layups/Dunks-2.6#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#54
Freethrows-0.4#219
Improvement+1.4#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.9% 21.3% 16.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.2
.500 or above 94.6% 97.2% 88.9%
.500 or above in Conference 85.2% 87.3% 80.5%
Conference Champion 25.5% 27.8% 20.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.3% 2.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round19.8% 21.3% 16.5%
Second Round2.6% 3.0% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Home) - 69.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 36 - 47 - 7
Quad 410 - 217 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 112   Samford W 88-86 58%     1 - 0 +2.4 -2.2 +4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 164   @ La Salle L 77-93 50%     1 - 1 -13.4 +0.5 -12.7
  Nov 16, 2024 246   Lafayette W 81-71 83%     2 - 1 +2.2 +7.6 -5.1
  Nov 21, 2024 259   Robert Morris L 76-86 85%     2 - 2 -18.3 -1.4 -16.5
  Nov 25, 2024 258   @ Iona W 84-68 68%     3 - 2 +13.7 +5.9 +6.6
  Nov 27, 2024 95   @ Syracuse L 72-82 28%     3 - 3 -1.3 -3.4 +2.8
  Dec 04, 2024 223   @ Colgate W 84-57 61%     4 - 3 +26.8 +15.8 +12.5
  Dec 08, 2024 299   @ Army W 103-84 75%     5 - 3 +14.6 +25.1 -10.9
  Dec 10, 2024 118   @ California W 88-80 38%     6 - 3 +13.7 +11.1 +2.3
  Dec 22, 2024 153   Illinois St. W 80-75 69%    
  Dec 30, 2024 305   Siena W 81-68 90%    
  Jan 11, 2025 177   @ Columbia W 83-82 52%    
  Jan 18, 2025 274   @ Penn W 81-75 70%    
  Jan 20, 2025 156   Brown W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 117   @ Princeton L 79-82 38%    
  Jan 31, 2025 312   Dartmouth W 87-73 90%    
  Feb 01, 2025 231   Harvard W 82-73 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 100   Yale W 81-80 51%    
  Feb 14, 2025 231   @ Harvard W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 312   @ Dartmouth W 84-76 76%    
  Feb 21, 2025 100   @ Yale L 77-83 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 156   @ Brown L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 28, 2025 274   Penn W 84-72 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 117   Princeton W 82-79 60%    
  Mar 08, 2025 177   Columbia W 86-80 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 5.1 8.5 6.9 3.1 0.7 25.5 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 8.1 9.3 4.0 0.5 24.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 7.9 7.6 1.7 0.1 19.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 6.1 5.3 0.8 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.7 0.2 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 4.2 7.7 11.7 15.8 17.7 16.1 12.6 7.5 3.1 0.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 3.1    3.0 0.1
12-2 93.0% 6.9    5.6 1.3 0.0
11-3 67.5% 8.5    4.7 3.3 0.4 0.0
10-4 31.5% 5.1    1.4 2.5 1.1 0.1
9-5 6.4% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 25.5% 25.5 15.5 7.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 53.1% 51.7% 1.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.9%
13-1 3.1% 46.9% 46.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.6
12-2 7.5% 40.3% 40.3% 12.3 0.1 1.9 1.0 0.1 4.5
11-3 12.6% 33.2% 33.2% 12.7 0.0 1.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.4
10-4 16.1% 27.3% 27.3% 13.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.8 0.0 11.7
9-5 17.7% 21.9% 21.9% 13.3 0.4 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.8
8-6 15.8% 13.4% 13.4% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 13.7
7-7 11.7% 3.7% 3.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.3
6-8 7.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 7.7
5-9 4.2% 4.2
4-10 1.9% 1.9
3-11 0.8% 0.8
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.9% 19.8% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.1 8.6 3.8 0.6 0.0 80.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 10.1 3.4 3.4 1.3 8.1 12.8 12.1 44.3 14.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 6.7% 11.0 6.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 1.4% 12.0 1.4