Harvard
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#244
Expected Predictive Rating-9.2#302
Pace69.0#185
Improvement-1.3#308

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#264
First Shot+0.1#173
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#331
Layup/Dunks-0.8#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
Freethrows-2.1#287
Improvement-0.4#237

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#202
First Shot-6.6#349
After Offensive Rebounds+5.6#4
Layups/Dunks-4.2#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#222
Freethrows-1.9#283
Improvement-0.9#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.9% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 16.7% 24.4% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 40.7% 46.4% 34.9%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.6% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 9.9% 15.3%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.3%
First Round3.6% 4.5% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 50.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 47 - 610 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 233   Marist W 79-66 60%     1 - 0 +6.4 +7.6 -0.3
  Nov 08, 2024 309   @ Navy L 80-85 55%     1 - 1 -10.4 +0.4 -10.6
  Nov 10, 2024 260   @ American L 55-67 43%     1 - 2 -14.2 -15.7 +0.2
  Nov 13, 2024 149   @ Northeastern L 56-78 23%     1 - 3 -18.4 -16.0 -2.1
  Nov 17, 2024 68   @ Colorado L 66-88 9%     1 - 4 -10.9 +0.1 -11.2
  Nov 22, 2024 189   Colgate W 68-67 51%    
  Nov 27, 2024 128   Massachusetts L 71-74 37%    
  Nov 30, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 62-84 2%    
  Dec 04, 2024 316   @ Holy Cross W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 08, 2024 341   @ New Hampshire W 73-68 67%    
  Dec 21, 2024 133   Furman L 71-74 39%    
  Dec 29, 2024 247   @ Iona L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 109   Princeton L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 224   @ Brown L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 20, 2025 267   Penn W 73-69 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 98   @ Yale L 65-77 14%    
  Jan 31, 2025 190   @ Columbia L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 170   @ Cornell L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 339   @ Dartmouth W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 14, 2025 170   Cornell L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 190   Columbia W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 21, 2025 109   @ Princeton L 66-77 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 267   @ Penn L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 28, 2025 224   Brown W 71-69 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 98   Yale L 68-74 29%    
  Mar 08, 2025 339   Dartmouth W 75-64 82%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 2.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 5.8 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 7.8 4.3 0.5 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.2 8.8 4.6 0.5 18.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.2 8.8 4.0 0.3 19.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.5 6.3 2.5 0.2 16.3 7th
8th 0.3 1.5 2.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 6.9 8th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.3 8.4 12.4 15.8 16.4 14.8 11.7 7.4 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
12-2 90.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
11-3 63.8% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.1
10-4 26.9% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
9-5 4.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 34.7% 34.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.7% 27.9% 27.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
11-3 1.9% 20.7% 20.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5
10-4 4.1% 16.0% 16.0% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.4
9-5 7.4% 12.3% 12.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 6.5
8-6 11.7% 8.9% 8.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.6
7-7 14.8% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 14.2
6-8 16.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 16.3
5-9 15.8% 15.8
4-10 12.4% 12.4
3-11 8.4% 8.4
2-12 4.3% 4.3
1-13 1.6% 1.6
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.8 96.0 0.0%