Hawaii
Big West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#159
Pace65.3#270
Improvement-1.2#260

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#201
First Shot+0.9#153
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#288
Layup/Dunks+1.0#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#255
Freethrows+2.2#66
Improvement-2.2#329

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#160
First Shot-1.2#214
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#66
Layups/Dunks-1.3#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#30
Freethrows-3.6#348
Improvement+1.0#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.7% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 59.0% 67.9% 43.8%
.500 or above in Conference 48.8% 53.3% 41.1%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 5.5% 9.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.2% 3.7% 2.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 63.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 11
Quad 410 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 189   San Jose St. W 80-69 63%     1 - 0 +6.7 +12.3 -4.3
  Nov 11, 2024 277   Pacific W 76-66 79%     2 - 0 +0.7 +1.9 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2024 208   Weber St. W 73-68 OT 67%     3 - 0 -0.2 -4.5 +4.2
  Nov 22, 2024 22   North Carolina L 69-87 13%     3 - 1 -6.9 +2.3 -9.7
  Dec 03, 2024 102   @ Grand Canyon L 72-78 20%     3 - 2 +2.1 -1.9 +4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 261   @ Long Beach St. L 68-76 56%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -10.5 -2.0 -9.0
  Dec 14, 2024 186   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-62 63%     4 - 3 +4.7 +1.2 +4.2
  Dec 22, 2024 193   Charlotte W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 03, 2025 138   UC Santa Barbara W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 05, 2025 265   Cal Poly W 82-74 77%    
  Jan 09, 2025 171   @ UC Riverside L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 275   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 67-65 59%    
  Jan 17, 2025 158   Cal St. Northridge W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 19, 2025 229   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 23, 2025 185   @ UC Davis L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 31, 2025 91   UC San Diego L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 02, 2025 275   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-62 77%    
  Feb 06, 2025 265   @ Cal Poly W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 138   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 14, 2025 261   Long Beach St. W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 16, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 91   @ UC San Diego L 63-73 18%    
  Feb 28, 2025 171   UC Riverside W 71-68 60%    
  Mar 02, 2025 185   UC Davis W 70-67 62%    
  Mar 06, 2025 229   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-68 49%    
  Mar 08, 2025 158   @ Cal St. Northridge L 72-76 37%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 3.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.2 5.1 4.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.7 4.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 6.0 4.2 0.9 0.1 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.5 4.1 0.9 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.8 0.7 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 4.5 7.2 9.9 12.0 13.2 13.2 11.8 9.4 6.7 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 78.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 45.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 22.5% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 25.0% 25.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-4 1.0% 25.9% 25.9% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.7
15-5 2.2% 19.7% 19.7% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8
14-6 4.0% 13.0% 13.0% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5
13-7 6.7% 8.6% 8.6% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.1
12-8 9.4% 5.6% 5.6% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.9
11-9 11.8% 3.1% 3.1% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4
10-10 13.2% 1.5% 1.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.0
9-11 13.2% 1.0% 1.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1
8-12 12.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-13 9.9% 9.9
6-14 7.2% 7.2
5-15 4.5% 4.5
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 96.8 0.0%