Hawaii
Big West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#175
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#97
Pace65.3#290
Improvement-0.5#236

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#196
First Shot+0.9#140
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#267
Layup/Dunks+3.1#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#344
Freethrows+4.7#13
Improvement-0.7#294

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#164
First Shot+0.2#166
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#193
Layups/Dunks-5.2#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#30
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement+0.3#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 10.3% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.4 13.2
.500 or above 64.9% 86.2% 63.3%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 74.2% 58.3%
Conference Champion 5.0% 9.4% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 3.0% 6.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round5.6% 10.3% 5.2%
Second Round0.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Home) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 411 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 250   San Jose St. W 80-69 74%     1 - 0 +3.4 +11.5 -6.9
  Nov 11, 2024 291   Pacific W 76-66 80%     2 - 0 +0.2 +0.7 -0.3
  Nov 17, 2024 227   Weber St. W 73-68 OT 70%     3 - 0 -1.1 -3.5 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2024 8   North Carolina L 69-84 7%    
  Dec 03, 2024 108   @ Grand Canyon L 67-75 23%    
  Dec 07, 2024 263   @ Long Beach St. W 68-66 56%    
  Dec 15, 2024 215   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-72 67%    
  Dec 22, 2024 142   Charlotte W 65-64 53%    
  Jan 03, 2025 130   UC Santa Barbara W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 05, 2025 269   Cal Poly W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 09, 2025 202   @ UC Riverside L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 274   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 17, 2025 194   Cal St. Northridge W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 19, 2025 237   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 23, 2025 147   @ UC Davis L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 59   @ UC Irvine L 61-74 13%    
  Jan 31, 2025 159   UC San Diego W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 02, 2025 274   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-63 75%    
  Feb 06, 2025 269   @ Cal Poly W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 130   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 14, 2025 263   Long Beach St. W 71-63 74%    
  Feb 16, 2025 59   UC Irvine L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 159   @ UC San Diego L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 28, 2025 202   UC Riverside W 72-68 64%    
  Mar 02, 2025 147   UC Davis W 71-70 54%    
  Mar 06, 2025 237   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-67 50%    
  Mar 08, 2025 194   @ Cal St. Northridge L 72-74 42%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.5 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.8 4.6 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.4 4.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 4.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.2 0.9 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.5 0.7 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.3 7.4 9.5 10.7 11.5 11.3 10.4 9.3 6.9 4.8 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 93.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1
17-3 72.6% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
16-4 45.3% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0
15-5 23.5% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.9 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 46.3% 45.1% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.2%
18-2 0.7% 35.3% 33.5% 1.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.8%
17-3 1.5% 31.6% 31.6% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.9% 22.9% 22.9% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.2
15-5 4.8% 21.8% 21.8% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.7
14-6 6.9% 14.1% 14.1% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 5.9
13-7 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.4
12-8 10.4% 5.0% 5.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8
11-9 11.3% 2.8% 2.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.0
10-10 11.5% 1.6% 1.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3
9-11 10.7% 0.9% 0.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.6
8-12 9.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4
7-13 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 7.4
6-14 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.3
5-15 3.6% 3.6
4-16 2.2% 2.2
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 94.4 0.0%