Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#255
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#268
Pace69.1#177
Improvement+1.8#83

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#188
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#263
Layup/Dunks+0.2#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#137
Freethrows-3.0#338
Improvement+0.7#123

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#314
First Shot-6.6#353
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#41
Layups/Dunks-1.5#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#295
Freethrows-1.5#289
Improvement+1.1#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.3% 21.3% 16.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 47.1% 63.0% 37.4%
.500 or above in Conference 86.3% 89.8% 84.1%
Conference Champion 22.3% 26.8% 19.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four10.1% 9.4% 10.5%
First Round13.4% 16.9% 11.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 412 - 814 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 8   @ Kansas L 57-87 2%     0 - 1 -9.1 -5.6 -3.0
  Nov 08, 2024 54   @ Missouri L 62-77 6%     0 - 2 -2.1 -6.0 +3.7
  Nov 13, 2024 317   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 64%     1 - 2 -4.9 +7.1 -12.2
  Nov 18, 2024 262   @ Florida International W 75-70 39%     2 - 2 +2.6 +1.8 +0.7
  Nov 24, 2024 257   Boston University L 62-69 50%     2 - 3 -12.2 -7.8 -5.0
  Nov 25, 2024 245   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 37%     2 - 4 -19.6 +2.0 -21.8
  Nov 30, 2024 234   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 57%     2 - 5 -11.0 -3.0 -7.9
  Dec 08, 2024 26   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 3%     2 - 6 +0.0 +5.3 -5.5
  Dec 14, 2024 134   UNC Wilmington W 88-83 36%     3 - 6 +3.6 +10.8 -7.3
  Dec 17, 2024 154   Drexel L 65-68 41%     3 - 7 -5.9 -5.4 -0.7
  Dec 28, 2024 248   @ Hampton L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 01, 2025 98   @ Yale L 69-82 11%    
  Jan 04, 2025 327   Delaware St. W 79-72 75%    
  Jan 06, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 350   Morgan St. W 84-74 82%    
  Jan 13, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 77-62 92%    
  Jan 25, 2025 184   @ Norfolk St. L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 274   NC Central W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 03, 2025 253   South Carolina St. W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 17, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-68 86%    
  Feb 22, 2025 350   @ Morgan St. W 81-77 64%    
  Feb 24, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 74-65 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 274   @ NC Central L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 03, 2025 253   @ South Carolina St. L 72-75 39%    
  Mar 06, 2025 184   Norfolk St. L 73-74 47%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 4.3 7.7 6.4 2.6 0.5 22.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 7.9 10.3 4.6 0.6 25.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 7.9 8.7 2.2 0.1 20.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 6.3 6.1 1.1 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.7 0.6 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.9 7.6 12.1 16.2 18.5 16.9 12.4 7.1 2.6 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 2.6    2.5 0.1
12-2 91.2% 6.4    5.0 1.4 0.0
11-3 62.1% 7.7    3.9 3.3 0.5 0.0
10-4 25.7% 4.3    0.9 2.1 1.2 0.1
9-5 3.8% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 22.3% 22.3 12.9 7.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 50.7% 50.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-1 2.6% 43.2% 43.2% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.5
12-2 7.1% 35.8% 35.8% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 4.5
11-3 12.4% 29.4% 29.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 8.8
10-4 16.9% 23.0% 23.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.6 13.0
9-5 18.5% 16.9% 16.9% 16.0 0.1 3.0 15.4
8-6 16.2% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.0 1.9 14.3
7-7 12.1% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 1.0 11.1
6-8 7.6% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.5 7.1
5-9 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.2 3.7
4-10 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 1.6
3-11 0.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-12 0.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.9 14.6 81.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.6 39.3 60.7