Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#230
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#106
Pace69.1#186
Improvement+0.5#127

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#180
First Shot-0.2#191
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#180
Layup/Dunks-2.1#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#41
Freethrows-4.9#348
Improvement+1.5#32

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#285
First Shot-4.8#315
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#86
Layups/Dunks-1.5#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#149
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement-1.0#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.2% 28.7% 22.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 79.7% 86.7% 69.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.1% 94.2% 88.9%
Conference Champion 33.6% 37.7% 27.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four6.9% 6.0% 8.2%
First Round23.0% 26.0% 18.3%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Neutral) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 21 - 6
Quad 415 - 517 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 57-87 2%     0 - 1 -8.3 -6.4 -1.4
  Nov 08, 2024 61   @ Missouri L 62-77 9%     0 - 2 -3.3 -6.0 +2.6
  Nov 13, 2024 298   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 64%     1 - 2 -3.2 +7.9 -11.3
  Nov 18, 2024 276   @ Florida International W 75-70 48%     2 - 2 +2.2 +1.0 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2024 288   Boston University W 72-69 61%    
  Nov 25, 2024 314   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 82-80 58%    
  Nov 30, 2024 281   Mount St. Mary's W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 08, 2024 19   @ Cincinnati L 63-83 3%    
  Dec 14, 2024 150   UNC Wilmington L 75-76 46%    
  Dec 17, 2024 145   Drexel L 68-69 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 308   @ Hampton W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 01, 2025 100   @ Yale L 68-79 15%    
  Jan 04, 2025 346   Delaware St. W 78-66 85%    
  Jan 06, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 332   Morgan St. W 83-73 80%    
  Jan 13, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 78-59 95%    
  Jan 25, 2025 192   @ Norfolk St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 264   NC Central W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 03, 2025 319   South Carolina St. W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 346   @ Delaware St. W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 17, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-66 88%    
  Feb 22, 2025 332   @ Morgan St. W 80-76 61%    
  Feb 24, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 75-62 88%    
  Mar 01, 2025 264   @ NC Central L 72-73 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 319   @ South Carolina St. W 74-72 57%    
  Mar 06, 2025 192   Norfolk St. W 72-71 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.4 3.7 8.8 11.2 7.2 2.2 33.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 6.3 11.6 7.4 1.5 27.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 6.2 8.0 3.0 0.3 18.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.6 4.5 1.0 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.5 0.4 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 2.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.3 7.5 11.9 15.8 18.4 16.5 12.7 7.2 2.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.2    2.2
13-1 100.0% 7.2    6.7 0.5
12-2 88.3% 11.2    8.4 2.7 0.1
11-3 53.6% 8.8    4.3 3.9 0.7 0.0
10-4 20.2% 3.7    0.7 1.9 1.0 0.1
9-5 2.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 33.6% 33.6 22.3 9.0 2.0 0.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.2% 57.1% 57.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0
13-1 7.2% 55.3% 55.3% 14.4 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.5 0.4 3.2
12-2 12.7% 44.3% 44.3% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.4 7.1
11-3 16.5% 33.2% 33.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.7 11.0
10-4 18.4% 25.6% 25.6% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 13.7
9-5 15.8% 16.3% 16.3% 15.9 0.3 2.3 13.2
8-6 11.9% 12.3% 12.3% 15.9 0.1 1.4 10.5
7-7 7.5% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 6.7
6-8 4.3% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.2 4.1
5-9 2.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.1 2.2
4-10 0.8% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-11 0.3% 0.3
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 26.2% 26.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.8 8.0 12.6 73.8 0.0%