IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.5	#150
Expected Predictive Rating	+3.4	#122

Pace	80.6	#7
Improvement	-0.6	#234

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#153

First Shot	-5.0	#306
After Offensive Rebound	+5.8	#4

Layup/Dunks	-7.0	#351
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.6	#316
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#128
Freethrows	+2.9	#50

Improvement	-2.4	#339

Defense
Total Defense	-0.2	#180

First Shot	-0.4	#186
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.2	#175

Layups/Dunks	-2.2	#255
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.4	#85
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.6	#36
Freethrows	-4.2	#345

Improvement	+1.8	#39

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.4%	6.4%	4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.0	12.9	13.3

.500 or above	47.1%	58.2%	34.4%
.500 or above in Conference	50.5%	55.7%	44.5%
Conference Champion	5.2%	6.3%	3.9%
Last Place in Conference	9.4%	7.3%	11.9%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%
First Round	5.4%	6.4%	4.2%
Second Round	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 6
Quad 3	6 - 7	9 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 2	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	184	@ California Baptist	L	84-88	45%	0 - 1			-2.1	+6.0	-7.9
Nov 16, 2024	233	Presbyterian	W	85-67	76%	1 - 1			+11.2	+11.1	+0.8
Nov 20, 2024	205	Abilene Christian	W	84-78	70%	2 - 1			+1.1	+5.9	-5.0
Nov 24, 2024	55	Rutgers	W	79-77	28%	3 - 1			+8.6	+1.0	+7.4
Nov 28, 2024	54	UC Irvine	L	59-76	19%	3 - 2			-7.4	-9.5	+3.2
Nov 29, 2024	147	Towson	W	67-63 OT	49%	4 - 2			+4.7	-0.2	+5.1
Nov 30, 2024	112	Kent St.	L	60-67	39%	4 - 3			-3.7	-7.4	+3.6
Dec 06, 2024	228	@ Georgia St.	W	80-79	53%
Dec 18, 2024	98	@ Santa Clara	L	76-84	23%
Dec 21, 2024	213	@ San Jose St.	L	76-77	50%
Jan 04, 2025	176	Jacksonville St.	W	77-73	66%
Jan 09, 2025	136	@ Middle Tennessee	L	76-80	36%
Jan 11, 2025	113	@ Western Kentucky	L	82-88	30%
Jan 16, 2025	129	Sam Houston St.	W	81-79	56%
Jan 18, 2025	101	Louisiana Tech	L	75-76	46%
Jan 23, 2025	211	@ New Mexico St.	L	74-75	48%
Jan 25, 2025	159	@ UTEP	L	76-79	41%
Jan 30, 2025	69	Liberty	L	69-74	34%
Feb 01, 2025	245	Florida International	W	83-75	77%
Feb 06, 2025	113	Western Kentucky	W	85-84	51%
Feb 08, 2025	136	Middle Tennessee	W	79-77	57%
Feb 13, 2025	101	@ Louisiana Tech	L	72-79	27%
Feb 15, 2025	129	@ Sam Houston St.	L	78-82	35%
Feb 20, 2025	159	UTEP	W	79-76	62%
Feb 22, 2025	211	New Mexico St.	W	78-72	68%
Feb 27, 2025	245	@ Florida International	W	80-78	58%
Mar 02, 2025	69	@ Liberty	L	66-77	18%
Mar 08, 2025	176	@ Jacksonville St.	L	74-76	44%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.7	1.4	1.5	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0		5.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	1.6	3.1	2.4	1.0	0.1	0.0				8.7	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.4	2.7	4.4	2.8	0.6	0.0						11.0	3rd
4th									0.4	3.0	5.3	3.0	0.4	0.0							12.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	3.0	6.3	3.0	0.4	0.0								12.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.7	6.2	3.5	0.3	0.0									12.9	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	2.4	5.6	3.2	0.5	0.0										12.0	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	2.3	4.7	2.8	0.5	0.0											10.6	8th
9th			0.1	0.6	2.4	3.3	2.2	0.3	0.0												9.0	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.6	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0													5.5	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.3	4.6	6.7	9.7	11.7	13.3	13.7	11.6	9.5	7.0	4.4	2.6	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	93.1%	0.4		0.3	0.0
15-3	87.9%	1.1		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	58.6%	1.5		0.9	0.5	0.1
13-5	31.8%	1.4		0.4	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-6	9.6%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.2%	5.2		2.6	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%												0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		38.0%	38.0%		11.2										0.0		0.0	0.0					0.1
16-2	0.4%		31.4%	31.4%		11.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.3
15-3	1.2%		23.8%	23.6%	0.2%	11.9												0.1	0.2	0.0				0.9		0.2%
14-4	2.6%		20.6%	20.5%	0.1%	12.2												0.1	0.4	0.1	0.0			2.0		0.1%
13-5	4.4%		15.3%	15.3%		12.4												0.0	0.4	0.2	0.0			3.7
12-6	7.0%		10.7%	10.7%		12.5												0.0	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0		6.2
11-7	9.5%		8.7%	8.7%		12.9												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0		8.7
10-8	11.6%		6.6%	6.6%		13.1													0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0		10.8
9-9	13.7%		5.0%	5.0%		13.8													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	13.0
8-10	13.3%		2.9%	2.9%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	12.9
7-11	11.7%		1.9%	1.9%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	11.5
6-12	9.7%		1.0%	1.0%		15.7																0.0	0.1	9.6
5-13	6.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
4-14	4.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
3-15	2.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
2-16	1.0%																							1.0
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.4%	5.4%	0.0%	13.0							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	1.8	1.7	0.8	0.6	0.2	94.6		0.0%