Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#266
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#269
Pace70.4#134
Improvement-0.7#219

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#257
First Shot+0.1#174
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#338
Layup/Dunks-3.4#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement-5.3#361

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#254
First Shot+1.2#142
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#357
Layups/Dunks+1.1#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#53
Freethrows+0.4#146
Improvement+4.7#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 12.7% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 35.6% 42.0% 18.8%
.500 or above in Conference 61.3% 69.1% 40.9%
Conference Champion 12.7% 15.7% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 6.5% 20.5%
First Four6.8% 7.0% 6.1%
First Round8.2% 9.3% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 72.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 413 - 913 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 55   @ Northwestern L 46-90 5%     0 - 1 -31.2 -17.4 -15.3
  Nov 06, 2024 60   @ Georgetown L 77-85 6%     0 - 2 +3.6 +8.3 -4.4
  Nov 12, 2024 196   @ Columbia L 75-76 25%     0 - 3 +0.4 +8.6 -8.3
  Nov 15, 2024 27   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -23.2 -12.9 -13.2
  Nov 26, 2024 348   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-88 64%     0 - 5 -19.4 +1.4 -20.9
  Nov 30, 2024 213   Marist W 74-69 50%     1 - 5 -0.7 +8.0 -8.3
  Dec 04, 2024 273   Monmouth W 90-63 63%     2 - 5 +17.9 +13.9 +4.3
  Dec 07, 2024 62   @ Dayton L 62-86 6%     2 - 6 -12.5 +0.1 -15.2
  Dec 21, 2024 330   @ LIU Brooklyn W 60-59 55%     3 - 6 -6.1 -12.7 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2025 253   Bucknell W 66-64 OT 60%     4 - 6 1 - 0 -6.3 -13.1 +6.7
  Jan 05, 2025 314   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-80 50%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -11.7 -3.8 -7.7
  Jan 08, 2025 245   @ Colgate L 62-67 34%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -6.5 -10.4 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2025 316   Army W 75-69 72%    
  Jan 15, 2025 255   @ Boston University L 65-68 37%    
  Jan 18, 2025 314   Loyola Maryland W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 22, 2025 267   @ American L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 260   Lafayette W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 29, 2025 300   Navy W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 309   @ Holy Cross L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 03, 2025 245   Colgate W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 267   American W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 12, 2025 300   @ Navy L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 309   Holy Cross W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 17, 2025 253   @ Bucknell L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 260   @ Lafayette L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 255   Boston University W 68-65 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 316   @ Army W 73-72 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.6 4.1 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.1 12.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 5.6 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 6.3 4.6 0.7 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.1 5.1 5.8 0.8 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 7.0 1.5 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.7 3.2 0.1 9.7 6th
7th 0.4 3.6 5.3 0.4 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.0 0.8 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.5 1.6 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.1 5.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.6 7.3 11.2 14.1 16.5 15.5 12.6 8.7 5.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 98.8% 0.9    0.8 0.0 0.0
14-4 93.3% 2.0    1.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 78.3% 3.9    2.7 1.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 47.3% 4.1    1.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-7 12.9% 1.6    0.2 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1
10-8 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 7.0 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 59.1% 59.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.9% 33.0% 33.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6
14-4 2.1% 33.6% 33.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 1.4
13-5 5.0% 24.3% 24.3% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 3.8
12-6 8.7% 20.4% 20.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 6.9
11-7 12.6% 17.3% 17.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.1 10.4
10-8 15.5% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.1 2.2 13.3
9-9 16.5% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 1.6 14.9
8-10 14.1% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.8 13.3
7-11 11.2% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 10.9
6-12 7.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.1
5-13 3.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 3.5
4-14 1.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 1.7
3-15 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 9.7 88.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 13.0 23.1 51.3 25.6