Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#283
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#283
Pace72.9#83
Improvement+1.1#73

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#255
First Shot+0.3#161
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#330
Layup/Dunks-2.4#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#131
Freethrows+0.2#175
Improvement+0.8#82

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#292
First Shot+1.9#117
After Offensive Rebounds-5.4#358
Layups/Dunks-1.1#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#141
Freethrows+3.0#48
Improvement+0.3#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.7% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 30.4% 38.6% 17.6%
.500 or above in Conference 55.4% 60.8% 46.9%
Conference Champion 9.2% 11.1% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 7.6% 13.5%
First Four4.4% 4.6% 4.0%
First Round6.2% 7.6% 4.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Away) - 61.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 411 - 912 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 74   @ Northwestern L 46-90 7%     0 - 1 -33.2 -19.4 -15.4
  Nov 06, 2024 116   @ Georgetown L 77-85 12%     0 - 2 -1.4 +2.5 -3.6
  Nov 12, 2024 190   @ Columbia L 75-76 23%     0 - 3 +0.6 +7.9 -7.4
  Nov 15, 2024 27   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -24.2 -15.0 -12.1
  Nov 26, 2024 342   @ St. Francis (PA) W 75-72 61%    
  Nov 30, 2024 233   Marist W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 04, 2024 265   Monmouth W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 07, 2024 60   @ Dayton L 62-80 5%    
  Dec 21, 2024 338   @ LIU Brooklyn W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 02, 2025 235   Bucknell W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 05, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 08, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 11, 2025 293   Army W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 15, 2025 286   @ Boston University L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 22, 2025 260   @ American L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 240   Lafayette W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 29, 2025 309   Navy W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 316   @ Holy Cross L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 03, 2025 189   Colgate L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 260   American W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 309   @ Navy L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 316   Holy Cross W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 17, 2025 235   @ Bucknell L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 240   @ Lafayette L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 26, 2025 286   Boston University W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 293   @ Army L 68-70 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.0 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.9 2.8 0.5 0.1 11.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.4 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.8 3.2 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 3.8 6.1 8.7 10.7 11.8 12.5 11.7 10.3 8.2 5.8 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 98.4% 0.9    0.9 0.0
15-3 90.0% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 68.6% 2.5    1.7 0.8 0.1
13-5 39.7% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
12-6 12.9% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 40.7% 40.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 48.8% 48.8% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 36.9% 36.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.0% 34.4% 34.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.3
14-4 3.7% 24.7% 24.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.8
13-5 5.8% 20.5% 20.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 4.6
12-6 8.2% 15.6% 15.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.9
11-7 10.3% 12.0% 12.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 9.1
10-8 11.7% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.7
9-9 12.5% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.7
8-10 11.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 11.5
7-11 10.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.5
6-12 8.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.6
5-13 6.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.0
4-14 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-15 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-16 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 6.0 91.7 0.0%