Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#152
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#274
Pace63.2#332
Improvement-0.5#243

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#171
First Shot+2.1#107
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#287
Layup/Dunks+1.2#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#31
Freethrows-2.2#297
Improvement+0.2#146

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#162
First Shot-4.6#308
After Offensive Rebounds+4.7#11
Layups/Dunks+3.4#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#322
Freethrows-3.1#329
Improvement-0.7#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.6 11.6 12.1
.500 or above 35.1% 40.6% 15.7%
.500 or above in Conference 41.3% 44.9% 29.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 3.8% 8.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Home) - 77.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 52 - 10
Quad 33 - 45 - 14
Quad 48 - 213 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 57   UC Irvine L 51-66 29%     0 - 1 -8.9 -15.7 +6.6
  Nov 16, 2024 101   @ Saint Louis L 71-77 24%     0 - 2 +1.8 -0.4 +2.3
  Nov 22, 2024 255   North Dakota W 73-65 78%    
  Nov 26, 2024 141   Belmont L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 04, 2024 102   @ Colorado St. L 63-70 25%    
  Dec 07, 2024 39   Nevada L 63-71 23%    
  Dec 14, 2024 348   Prairie View W 80-64 92%    
  Dec 18, 2024 119   UC Santa Barbara W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 20, 2024 275   Southern W 72-63 80%    
  Dec 22, 2024 187   North Alabama W 73-68 66%    
  Dec 28, 2024 59   @ San Francisco L 63-75 15%    
  Dec 30, 2024 80   Washington St. L 67-74 28%    
  Jan 02, 2025 98   Oregon St. L 64-66 43%    
  Jan 04, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 65-84 5%    
  Jan 07, 2025 44   @ St. Mary's L 60-74 12%    
  Jan 11, 2025 238   @ Pepperdine W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 15, 2025 99   Santa Clara L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 298   San Diego W 76-65 82%    
  Jan 22, 2025 291   @ Pacific W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 30, 2025 289   Portland W 73-63 80%    
  Feb 01, 2025 298   @ San Diego W 73-68 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-87 2%    
  Feb 08, 2025 59   San Francisco L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 12, 2025 291   Pacific W 74-64 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 289   @ Portland W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 19, 2025 99   @ Santa Clara L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 238   Pepperdine W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 27, 2025 44   St. Mary's L 63-71 26%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.4 5.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 6.4 6.6 2.2 0.1 17.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.5 7.9 6.5 2.0 0.1 20.4 7th
8th 0.4 3.2 6.1 3.6 0.7 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 5.4 8.4 11.6 14.1 14.9 13.5 11.3 7.7 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 66.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 22.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1
14-4 5.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 13.9% 19.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 22.6%
15-3 0.3% 11.8% 9.4% 2.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.6%
14-4 1.1% 7.5% 6.3% 1.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.2%
13-5 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.1%
12-6 4.9% 1.5% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
11-7 7.7% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
10-8 11.3% 0.5% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
9-9 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
8-10 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.9
7-11 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 14.1
6-12 11.6% 11.6
5-13 8.4% 8.4
4-14 5.4% 5.4
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.1%