Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#165
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#126
Pace66.0#259
Improvement+2.1#60

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#215
First Shot-0.3#182
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#264
Layup/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#53
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement+1.7#59

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot+1.0#136
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks+2.1#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows-0.2#205
Improvement+0.4#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.3
.500 or above 45.0% 55.3% 27.0%
.500 or above in Conference 32.0% 35.6% 25.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.1% 3.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Home) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 34 - 36 - 13
Quad 49 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 51-66 26%     0 - 1 -8.8 -14.4 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2024 143   @ Saint Louis L 71-77 34%     0 - 2 -2.2 -3.6 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2024 278   North Dakota L 73-77 80%     0 - 3 -13.4 -9.5 -3.8
  Nov 26, 2024 133   Belmont W 77-63 42%     1 - 3 +15.7 -1.2 +16.3
  Nov 27, 2024 161   Wyoming W 73-70 49%     2 - 3 +2.8 +4.9 -2.0
  Dec 04, 2024 104   @ Colorado St. L 54-83 22%     2 - 4 -21.6 -12.8 -9.3
  Dec 07, 2024 52   Nevada W 68-64 24%     3 - 4 +11.0 +6.8 +4.8
  Dec 14, 2024 337   Prairie View W 76-75 89%     4 - 4 -13.2 -8.0 -5.2
  Dec 18, 2024 138   UC Santa Barbara W 60-58 55%     5 - 4 +0.2 -11.0 +11.3
  Dec 20, 2024 232   Southern W 89-73 73%     6 - 4 +9.3 +16.2 -6.7
  Dec 22, 2024 182   North Alabama W 72-68 63%    
  Dec 28, 2024 59   @ San Francisco L 60-73 12%    
  Dec 30, 2024 77   Washington St. L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 02, 2025 65   Oregon St. L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 65-83 5%    
  Jan 07, 2025 43   @ St. Mary's L 58-72 9%    
  Jan 11, 2025 237   @ Pepperdine W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 15, 2025 72   Santa Clara L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 319   San Diego W 75-64 85%    
  Jan 22, 2025 277   @ Pacific W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 30, 2025 325   Portland W 76-64 86%    
  Feb 01, 2025 319   @ San Diego W 72-67 68%    
  Feb 06, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 62-86 2%    
  Feb 08, 2025 59   San Francisco L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 277   Pacific W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 325   @ Portland W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 19, 2025 72   @ Santa Clara L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 22, 2025 237   Pepperdine W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 27, 2025 43   St. Mary's L 61-69 23%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.4 1.8 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.4 7.8 3.2 0.2 18.0 6th
7th 0.7 5.6 12.5 11.1 4.1 0.4 0.0 34.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.9 7.6 4.0 0.9 0.0 18.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.4 9.8 14.4 17.9 17.6 14.5 9.2 5.1 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 60.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 48.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 9.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 16.0% 16.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 9.4% 9.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.8% 2.3% 2.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-7 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 5.1
10-8 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 9.2
9-9 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 14.5
8-10 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 17.6
7-11 17.9% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 17.9
6-12 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 9.8% 9.8
4-14 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%