Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#236
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#230
Pace65.0#299
Improvement-1.3#312

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#318
First Shot-2.5#252
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#309
Layup/Dunks+1.6#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#328
Freethrows-0.9#226
Improvement-0.7#289

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#132
First Shot+1.3#137
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#188
Layups/Dunks-2.3#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#145
Freethrows+0.7#143
Improvement-0.6#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 11.1% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 57.9% 64.0% 36.9%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 76.1% 63.0%
Conference Champion 10.9% 12.0% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.6% 3.6%
First Four2.6% 2.6% 2.9%
First Round9.0% 10.0% 5.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 77.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 63 - 8
Quad 413 - 716 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 5   @ Duke L 62-96 2%     0 - 1 -11.7 -2.3 -7.7
  Nov 10, 2024 224   @ Brown W 69-67 36%     1 - 1 +2.0 -2.2 +4.3
  Nov 15, 2024 225   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 36%     1 - 2 -3.0 -13.9 +10.8
  Nov 20, 2024 201   @ Richmond L 66-70 32%     1 - 3 -2.9 -2.2 -0.9
  Nov 24, 2024 316   Holy Cross W 72-64 77%    
  Nov 29, 2024 207   Elon L 66-68 44%    
  Nov 30, 2024 267   @ Penn L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 01, 2024 309   Navy W 69-64 67%    
  Dec 08, 2024 162   @ Fordham L 63-70 28%    
  Dec 11, 2024 211   @ Duquesne L 62-66 35%    
  Dec 14, 2024 351   @ Canisius W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 21, 2024 302   @ Stony Brook W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 29, 2024 286   Boston University W 67-61 70%    
  Jan 04, 2025 160   @ Bryant L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 09, 2025 330   Binghamton W 70-61 79%    
  Jan 11, 2025 246   Albany W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 360   @ NJIT W 67-59 76%    
  Jan 18, 2025 311   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 23, 2025 155   @ Umass Lowell L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 30, 2025 341   New Hampshire W 72-61 84%    
  Feb 01, 2025 151   @ Vermont L 57-64 26%    
  Feb 06, 2025 360   NJIT W 70-56 89%    
  Feb 08, 2025 311   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 151   Vermont L 60-61 46%    
  Feb 20, 2025 246   @ Albany L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 330   @ Binghamton W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 27, 2025 341   @ New Hampshire W 69-64 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 160   Bryant L 72-73 47%    
  Mar 04, 2025 155   Umass Lowell L 69-70 46%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.8 2.4 0.9 0.2 10.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 5.0 1.7 0.2 14.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 7.1 5.2 1.1 0.0 17.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.6 8.0 4.7 0.7 0.0 18.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 5.0 6.7 3.2 0.4 16.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.3 1.5 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.6 7.7 10.8 13.4 15.1 14.3 12.3 8.8 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-2 93.2% 2.4    2.0 0.4 0.0
13-3 68.9% 3.8    2.1 1.5 0.2
12-4 31.2% 2.8    0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 6.1 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 51.5% 51.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.9% 43.9% 43.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5
14-2 2.6% 34.0% 34.0% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7
13-3 5.5% 27.6% 27.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 4.0
12-4 8.8% 21.0% 21.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.6 7.0
11-5 12.3% 14.7% 14.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 10.5
10-6 14.3% 10.4% 10.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 12.8
9-7 15.1% 6.4% 6.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 14.2
8-8 13.4% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 12.8
7-9 10.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.4
6-10 7.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.5
5-11 4.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.5
4-12 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.9 4.9 89.8 0.0%