Navy
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#309
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#323
Pace67.2#245
Improvement-2.7#357

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#278
First Shot-4.1#289
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#151
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#289
Freethrows+1.6#103
Improvement-0.5#252

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#325
First Shot-4.8#313
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#186
Layups/Dunks+4.5#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#268
Freethrows-4.6#349
Improvement-2.2#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.8% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 15.9% 27.5% 11.2%
.500 or above in Conference 36.9% 46.2% 33.1%
Conference Champion 4.0% 5.9% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 13.7% 21.2%
First Four3.4% 4.3% 3.0%
First Round2.5% 3.8% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 411 - 1312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 99   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 7%     0 - 1 +1.1 -7.0 +8.3
  Nov 08, 2024 244   Harvard W 85-80 45%     1 - 1 -2.1 +5.9 -8.2
  Nov 12, 2024 242   Rider L 79-90 45%     1 - 2 -18.0 +4.3 -22.5
  Nov 17, 2024 257   Campbell L 66-86 48%     1 - 3 -27.8 -11.2 -16.4
  Nov 19, 2024 225   Quinnipiac L 63-74 41%     1 - 4 -17.0 -8.4 -9.1
  Nov 29, 2024 267   @ Penn L 69-75 29%    
  Nov 30, 2024 207   Elon L 69-75 28%    
  Dec 01, 2024 236   Maine L 64-69 33%    
  Dec 07, 2024 360   @ NJIT W 69-66 62%    
  Dec 15, 2024 118   @ Virginia Tech L 63-78 9%    
  Dec 21, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 71-63 76%    
  Dec 29, 2024 210   @ William & Mary L 73-82 21%    
  Jan 02, 2025 260   American L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 05, 2025 240   Lafayette L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 08, 2025 316   @ Holy Cross L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 189   Colgate L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 235   @ Bucknell L 66-74 25%    
  Jan 22, 2025 286   Boston University W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 26, 2025 293   @ Army L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 29, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 235   Bucknell L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 05, 2025 286   @ Boston University L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 240   @ Lafayette L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 283   Lehigh W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 293   Army W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 19, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 23, 2025 316   Holy Cross W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 26, 2025 260   @ American L 65-71 30%    
  Mar 01, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 71-66 67%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 5.2 2.1 0.2 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.6 3.7 0.5 13.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 5.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 14.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.5 3.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 12.2 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.7 7.6 10.2 11.9 12.7 12.4 11.4 9.1 6.7 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 73.3% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.1
13-5 44.5% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 15.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 30.8% 30.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 30.6% 30.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.5% 25.9% 25.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
14-4 1.5% 20.7% 20.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2
13-5 2.7% 14.1% 14.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.3
12-6 4.7% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 4.0
11-7 6.7% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 6.1
10-8 9.1% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7 8.4
9-9 11.4% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.6 10.8
8-10 12.4% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 12.0
7-11 12.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.5
6-12 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.8
5-13 10.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.2
4-14 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.6
3-15 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.9 95.8 0.0%