St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#232
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#243
Pace60.4#352
Improvement-1.9#267

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#338
First Shot-7.4#348
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#133
Layup/Dunks-7.3#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#118
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement-5.3#361

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#101
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks-1.4#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#22
Freethrows-3.5#354
Improvement+3.3#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 11.1% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 59.1% 71.0% 44.9%
.500 or above in Conference 54.3% 67.0% 39.0%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.2% 5.2%
First Four2.4% 2.0% 2.8%
First Round8.2% 10.0% 6.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 32 - 42 - 5
Quad 412 - 915 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 132   @ Seton Hall L 53-57 21%     0 - 1 +0.6 -10.3 +10.4
  Nov 08, 2024 188   @ Umass Lowell L 74-81 30%     0 - 2 -5.5 +0.3 -5.9
  Nov 11, 2024 66   @ Rutgers L 65-75 9%     0 - 3 +1.2 +2.4 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2024 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-61 48%     1 - 3 +4.5 +2.9 +3.0
  Nov 26, 2024 328   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-76 64%     2 - 3 -5.7 +4.1 -9.6
  Dec 03, 2024 116   @ Duquesne W 62-59 18%     3 - 3 +8.6 +4.5 +4.7
  Dec 06, 2024 297   Manhattan L 67-70 73%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -13.4 -12.7 -0.8
  Dec 08, 2024 253   @ Iona L 63-72 44%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -11.5 -4.2 -7.8
  Dec 20, 2024 196   Delaware W 72-64 51%     4 - 5 +3.7 +4.9 +0.0
  Jan 03, 2025 184   Quinnipiac L 46-59 49%     4 - 6 0 - 3 -16.8 -21.9 +3.7
  Jan 10, 2025 310   @ Niagara L 60-70 57%     4 - 7 0 - 4 -15.8 -11.2 -5.5
  Jan 12, 2025 346   @ Canisius W 62-49 69%     5 - 7 1 - 4 +3.8 -11.6 +16.8
  Jan 16, 2025 218   Marist L 51-56 57%     5 - 8 1 - 5 -10.9 -12.1 +0.3
  Jan 18, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart W 66-61 54%     6 - 8 2 - 5 +0.1 -9.8 +9.9
  Jan 23, 2025 206   Merrimack W 59-58 55%    
  Jan 31, 2025 294   @ Rider W 62-61 52%    
  Feb 02, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 64-59 68%    
  Feb 06, 2025 270   @ Siena L 60-61 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 297   @ Manhattan W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 14, 2025 318   Fairfield W 68-60 78%    
  Feb 16, 2025 294   Rider W 64-58 73%    
  Feb 21, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-62 46%    
  Feb 23, 2025 295   Sacred Heart W 69-63 74%    
  Feb 28, 2025 184   @ Quinnipiac L 61-67 30%    
  Mar 02, 2025 218   @ Marist L 56-60 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 310   Niagara W 65-58 75%    
  Mar 08, 2025 346   Canisius W 70-59 84%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.2 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.8 0.7 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.4 6.2 1.6 0.2 15.7 4th
5th 0.7 5.6 6.9 1.9 0.1 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.8 8.0 2.1 0.1 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 7.4 3.5 0.2 12.3 7th
8th 0.4 4.5 4.6 0.4 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 5.4 1.2 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.7 3.1 2.3 0.2 6.3 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 2.4 0.3 4.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.5 2.8 12th
13th 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 13th
Total 0.2 0.4 1.4 4.1 8.0 14.0 17.8 18.7 16.2 11.2 5.5 2.3 0.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 48.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 16.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.4% 40.0% 40.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-6 2.3% 31.3% 31.3% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.6
13-7 5.5% 23.7% 23.7% 15.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 4.2
12-8 11.2% 17.7% 17.7% 15.4 0.1 1.0 0.9 9.3
11-9 16.2% 12.7% 12.7% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.5 14.1
10-10 18.7% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.2 1.2 17.3
9-11 17.8% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.1 0.8 16.9
8-12 14.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.4
7-13 8.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.8
6-14 4.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.1 5.5 90.7 0.0%