Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#324
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#341
Pace71.0#121
Improvement-3.4#343

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#330
First Shot-11.5#364
After Offensive Rebound+5.8#3
Layup/Dunks+5.8#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-12.7#364
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.4#360
Freethrows+4.8#5
Improvement+0.3#152

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#284
First Shot-2.6#265
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#264
Layups/Dunks+1.2#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#347
Freethrows+0.2#179
Improvement-3.7#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 7.6% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 10.1% 18.9% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.4% 59.2% 33.8%
Conference Champion 4.0% 8.0% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 6.8% 17.5%
First Four4.1% 6.3% 3.1%
First Round2.6% 4.4% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Away) - 29.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 49 - 1310 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 153   @ Illinois St. W 67-65 12%     1 - 0 +5.2 -12.3 +17.3
  Nov 11, 2024 182   @ North Alabama L 69-87 15%     1 - 1 -16.1 -3.9 -12.0
  Nov 16, 2024 172   @ Longwood L 62-64 14%     1 - 2 +0.3 -6.9 +7.1
  Nov 21, 2024 186   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-81 15%     1 - 3 -2.3 +5.4 -7.6
  Nov 22, 2024 332   Le Moyne L 53-65 53%     1 - 4 -22.2 -25.8 +3.9
  Nov 27, 2024 3   @ Tennessee L 35-78 1%     1 - 5 -19.5 -19.3 -6.2
  Dec 03, 2024 301   @ Charleston Southern L 68-83 33%     1 - 6 -19.7 -3.6 -16.8
  Dec 11, 2024 297   @ Alabama St. L 93-103 OT 31%     1 - 7 -14.2 +5.8 -18.8
  Dec 19, 2024 281   @ Morehead St. L 69-70 OT 29%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -4.6 -6.8 +2.1
  Dec 21, 2024 282   @ Southern Indiana L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 02, 2025 243   Arkansas Little Rock L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 04, 2025 289   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 09, 2025 331   @ Western Illinois L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 351   @ Lindenwood W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 327   Eastern Illinois W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 18, 2025 269   SIU Edwardsville L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 21, 2025 316   @ Tennessee St. L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 328   Tennessee Tech W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 30, 2025 289   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-75 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 243   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 06, 2025 351   Lindenwood W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 331   Western Illinois W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 13, 2025 269   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 327   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 18, 2025 316   Tennessee St. W 76-74 59%    
  Feb 20, 2025 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 282   Southern Indiana W 73-72 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 281   Morehead St. W 70-69 51%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.4 1.3 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.4 2.1 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 5.0 2.5 0.3 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 3.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.6 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.9 6.1 8.6 11.2 12.7 13.3 12.2 10.1 7.8 5.5 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 99.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 88.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 66.0% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1
14-6 37.0% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 12.6% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 28.1% 28.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 39.0% 39.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.7% 36.1% 36.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.5
15-5 1.6% 27.7% 27.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.2
14-6 3.2% 25.2% 25.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 2.4
13-7 5.5% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 4.6
12-8 7.8% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.9 7.0
11-9 10.1% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.6 9.5
10-10 12.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 11.8
9-11 13.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.1
8-12 12.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.7
7-13 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-14 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
5-15 6.1% 6.1
4-16 3.9% 3.9
3-17 1.8% 1.8
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.6 95.3 0.0%