Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#302
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#208
Pace79.8#11
Improvement-0.7#276

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#319
First Shot-13.0#364
After Offensive Rebound+7.8#2
Layup/Dunks-1.1#222
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#355
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#355
Freethrows+0.9#148
Improvement+1.3#31

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot+0.6#166
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#323
Layups/Dunks+1.3#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#216
Freethrows-1.9#280
Improvement-2.1#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.0% 14.8% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 43.4% 63.7% 37.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 73.1% 58.5%
Conference Champion 11.8% 17.9% 10.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 3.5% 7.6%
First Four5.0% 5.4% 4.8%
First Round7.3% 11.8% 6.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Away) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 412 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 172   @ Illinois St. W 67-65 18%     1 - 0 +4.3 -10.8 +14.9
  Nov 11, 2024 187   @ North Alabama L 69-87 19%     1 - 1 -16.3 -5.3 -10.8
  Nov 16, 2024 179   @ Longwood L 62-64 18%     1 - 2 +0.0 -5.6 +5.6
  Nov 21, 2024 212   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-85 23%    
  Nov 22, 2024 336   Le Moyne W 76-73 62%    
  Nov 27, 2024 8   @ Tennessee L 62-90 0.5%   
  Dec 03, 2024 312   @ Charleston Southern L 75-77 43%    
  Dec 11, 2024 282   @ Alabama St. L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 19, 2024 279   @ Morehead St. L 69-73 35%    
  Dec 21, 2024 323   @ Southern Indiana L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 02, 2025 247   Arkansas Little Rock L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 322   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-76 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 325   @ Western Illinois L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 355   @ Lindenwood W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 315   Eastern Illinois W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 18, 2025 269   SIU Edwardsville W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 21, 2025 297   @ Tennessee St. L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 332   Tennessee Tech W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 30, 2025 322   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 77-79 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 247   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 06, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 08, 2025 325   Western Illinois W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 269   @ SIU Edwardsville L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 18, 2025 297   Tennessee St. W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 20, 2025 332   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 323   Southern Indiana W 77-72 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 279   Morehead St. W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.1 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 11.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.0 3.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.0 1.2 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.3 1.3 0.1 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.9 1.4 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.5 5.3 6.9 8.7 10.1 11.3 11.0 10.4 9.2 7.4 5.6 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
18-2 99.5% 1.0    1.0 0.0
17-3 93.4% 1.9    1.6 0.2
16-4 78.9% 2.8    2.1 0.7 0.1
15-5 55.0% 3.1    1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0
14-6 25.0% 1.8    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 7.3% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.8% 11.8 7.4 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 53.8% 53.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 47.7% 47.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.0% 46.8% 46.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5
17-3 2.0% 42.1% 42.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.2
16-4 3.6% 39.4% 39.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 2.2
15-5 5.6% 31.0% 31.0% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 3.8
14-6 7.4% 23.5% 23.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.7
13-7 9.2% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 7.6
12-8 10.4% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 9.4
11-9 11.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.5
10-10 11.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 11.0
9-11 10.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 9.9
8-12 8.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.7
7-13 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
6-14 5.3% 5.3
5-15 3.5% 3.5
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 7.3 90.0 0.0%