TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#212
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#261
Pace78.8#19
Improvement-0.1#191

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#207
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#301
Layup/Dunks+2.7#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#285
Freethrows+1.2#129
Improvement-0.3#225

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#216
First Shot-3.5#289
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#55
Layups/Dunks-1.9#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#230
Freethrows-2.8#318
Improvement+0.2#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 9.9% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 64.1% 70.0% 43.8%
.500 or above in Conference 80.3% 82.7% 71.7%
Conference Champion 8.8% 9.8% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 1.4%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.8%
First Round8.6% 9.6% 5.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Home) - 77.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 414 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 19   @ Purdue L 73-90 5%     0 - 1 +0.0 +3.1 -2.4
  Nov 12, 2024 63   @ New Mexico L 81-100 10%     0 - 2 -7.4 +0.5 -4.7
  Nov 14, 2024 153   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 29%     0 - 3 +2.3 +5.6 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 302   Tennessee Martin W 85-77 77%    
  Nov 23, 2024 336   Le Moyne W 82-71 85%    
  Nov 30, 2024 348   Prairie View W 88-75 89%    
  Dec 05, 2024 290   Lamar W 82-75 75%    
  Dec 07, 2024 182   Stephen F. Austin W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 15, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 72-77 34%    
  Dec 21, 2024 4   @ Houston L 58-83 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 271   @ SE Louisiana W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 06, 2025 358   @ New Orleans W 85-76 78%    
  Jan 11, 2025 191   UT Rio Grande Valley W 84-82 57%    
  Jan 13, 2025 316   Northwestern St. W 81-72 79%    
  Jan 18, 2025 308   @ Incarnate Word W 82-79 59%    
  Jan 20, 2025 357   @ Houston Christian W 84-75 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 220   Nicholls St. W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 27, 2025 91   McNeese St. L 72-77 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 191   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 81-85 36%    
  Feb 03, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-71 74%    
  Feb 08, 2025 182   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 10, 2025 290   @ Lamar W 79-78 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 308   Incarnate Word W 85-76 77%    
  Feb 17, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 87-72 89%    
  Feb 22, 2025 91   @ McNeese St. L 69-80 17%    
  Feb 24, 2025 220   @ Nicholls St. L 73-76 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 271   SE Louisiana W 79-73 70%    
  Mar 03, 2025 358   New Orleans W 88-73 89%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 8.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 5.6 3.8 1.5 0.2 16.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 5.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.5 4.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 4.0 1.0 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.2 5.1 7.5 9.6 11.4 12.6 12.3 11.6 9.4 6.5 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
18-2 89.6% 1.8    1.4 0.4 0.0
17-3 63.2% 2.5    1.6 0.9 0.1
16-4 35.1% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
15-5 12.1% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 5.0 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 54.0% 54.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 42.0% 42.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 2.0% 36.3% 36.3% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.2
17-3 4.0% 32.2% 32.2% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.7
16-4 6.5% 24.8% 24.8% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 4.9
15-5 9.4% 17.9% 17.9% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.3 7.7
14-6 11.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 10.2
13-7 12.3% 7.6% 7.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 11.4
12-8 12.6% 4.0% 4.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.1
11-9 11.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.1 0.2 11.1
10-10 9.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.5
9-11 7.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.4
8-12 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.1
7-13 3.2% 3.2
6-14 2.1% 2.1
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 3.1 2.0 91.0 0.0%