North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +14.1 36
Results Rating +12.9 43
Consistency 0.22 362
Pace 71.7 97
Improvement -5.4 347

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 23 B+ B A B- B
Defense B 58 B- B A- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 117 B 64% 62 +3.7 55
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 289 C- 37% 218 -2.5 301
Three Pointers 45% 100 B+ 38% 21 +4.9 35
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 64 B+ +4.9 41
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 32
Second Chance C+ 31.1% 160 A 1.22 12 B 0.38 53
Opponents' Steals A 6.4% 5
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 37
Turnovers A 12.3% 6
Freethrows C+ 0.32 126 B 76% 47 B- 0.24 90
Total Offense A- +9.5 23

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 133 A- 7.2% 23
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 233 B+ 2.2% 19
Three Pointers C+ 87% 128 C+ 0.7% 146
Total B- 60% 81 A- 3.6% 14


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 B- 54% 75 -2.8 85
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 326 B 35% 68 -2.4 18
Three Pointers 48% 22 C+ 33% 142 +2.8 310
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 253 B- -2.6 75
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 110
Second Chance B 26.7% 57 C+ 0.99 112 B 0.26 54
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.6% 19
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 121
Turnovers A- 20.3% 28
Freethrows C 0.30 194 B+ 69% 22 C+ 0.21 148
Total Defense B +4.6 58

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 39% 23 B- 13.9% 70
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 105 B+ 8.5% 36
Three Pointers B 79% 55 D+ 0.5% 252
Total B- 52% 100 B- 6.7% 93

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 30 18.5 328
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 81 0.17 193
Consistency 0.14 293 0.16 354
Improvement -1.6 268 -3.8 337

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 41 36 27
Results Rating Rank 52 43 33
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 7 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None 9 6
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 8% 10% 2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89% 92% 78%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89% 92% 78%
Average Seed 8.4 8.2 9.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 2% 9%
First Round87% 91% 74%
Second Round44% 47% 35%
Sweet Sixteen9% 9% 6%
Elite Eight3% 3% 2%
Final Four1% 1% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Stanford (Home) - 77.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 45 - 9
Quad 28 - 213 - 11
Quad 34 - 017 - 11
Quad 44 - 121 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 347 NC Central W 114 - 65 99% +28  99% 1 - 0 A+ +33 A+ +25 A+ A+ A+ B+ +6 C- B- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 116 UAB W 94 - 70 90% +11  85% 2 - 0 A+ +24 A +14 A+ A+ D A- +8 B+ C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 297 UNC Greensboro W 110 - 64 98% +15  90% 3 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +20 B A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ B A+
 Mon, Nov 17 50 Virginia Commonwealth W 85 - 79 72% +4  93% 4 - 0 B+ +14 B+ +8 B- A+ F B+ +6 B B B-
 Mon, Nov 24 52 Seton Hall L 74 - 85 63% -8  3% 4 - 1 C -0 B- +5 B+ D A+ D+ -5 D F+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 59 Boise St. W 81 - 70 68% +5  82% 5 - 1 A +20 B+ +9 A+ F+ B- A+ +11 B- A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 31 Texas L 97 - 102 47% -4  14% 5 - 2 B +10 A+ +22 A A+ A+ F -12 F C F
 Wed, Dec 3 38 @Auburn L 73 - 83 40% -5  14% 5 - 3 B- +7 C +1 C F A+ B+ +6 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 246 UNC Asheville W 75 - 63 97% +3  66% 6 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 D+ A+ D B+ +6 B+ B- B+
 Wed, Dec 10 115 Liberty W 85 - 45 90% +25  97% 7 - 3 A+ +40 A- +9 A F A+ A+ +32 A+ A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 20 Kansas L 76 - 77 OT 48% -1  35% 7 - 4 B+ +13 B- +5 B C- A+ A +9 B A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 299 Texas Southern W 108 - 72 98% +24  98% 8 - 4 A+ +25 A+ +25 A A+ A+ C -1 A- F C+
 Sun, Dec 21 74 Mississippi W 76 - 62 72% +15  93% 9 - 4 A +22 B- +4 A B+ F A+ +18 B A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 69 Wake Forest W 70 - 57 79% +7  73% 10 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 D -6 C F D+ A+ +24 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 21 Virginia L 61 - 76 49% -13  0% 10 - 5 1 - 1 C -1 C- -2 D C B- C -0 D+ D A+
 Tue, Jan 6 137 @Boston College W 79 - 71 82% +7  93% 11 - 5 2 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +22 A A+ A+ D- -8 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 75 @Florida St. W 113 - 69 63% +24  99% 12 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +55 A+ +31 A+ A+ A+ A+ +19 A+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 17 148 Georgia Tech L 74 - 78 93% -1  39% 12 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -6 D -5 C- F+ A C -1 F C+ A
 Tue, Jan 20 40 @Clemson W 80 - 76 OT 41% +3  65% 13 - 6 4 - 2 A +21 A +13 A- D- A+ A- +7 B- C A-
 Sat, Jan 24 95 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 72 70% -1  32% 14 - 6 5 - 2 A- +18 A +12 B- C A+ B+ +6 A+ F A-
 Tue, Jan 27 77 Syracuse W 88 - 68 81% +7  100% 15 - 6 6 - 2 A+ +25 A +14 A+ A- B+ A +11 A+ D C
 Sat, Jan 31 69 @Wake Forest W 96 - 78 59% +11  93% 16 - 6 7 - 2 A+ +30 A+ +26 A+ B+ A+ B +4 B- B D+
 Tue, Feb 3 41 @SMU W 84 - 83 42% -1  37% 17 - 6 8 - 2 A- +17 A +13 A B- A+ B +4 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 56 Virginia Tech W 82 - 73 75% +8  94% 18 - 6 9 - 2 A- +16 B +7 A D- B+ A +9 A+ F+ A+
 Mon, Feb 9 13 @Louisville L 77 - 118 24% -21  0% 18 - 7 9 - 3 F -19 C +1 C- C- A+ F -15 F A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 34 Miami (FL) L 76 - 77 60% +1  54% 18 - 8 9 - 4 B +10 A +12 A- A- A C- -2 A+ F D
 Tue, Feb 17 27 North Carolina W 82 - 58 57% +13  95% 19 - 8 10 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +19 B+ A+ A+ A+ +20 A+ A- A+
 Tue, Feb 24 21 @Virginia L 61 - 90 27% -12  0% 19 - 9 10 - 5 D -9 D+ -4 C- F+ B+ D+ -4 D D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 89 @Notre Dame L 90 - 96 OT 68% +4  86% 19 - 10 10 - 6 C+ +3 A+ +16 B A A+ F -12 F C+ C+
 Mon, Mar 2 1 Duke L 64 - 93 17% -15  10% 19 - 11 10 - 7 C- -5 B +7 C A+ A+ F -14 D F F+
 Sat, Mar 7 60 Stanford W 83 - 75 77%
Totals 20 - 11 11 - 7 +14 A- +10 B+ B+ B B +5 B+ B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B C- B+ B+ 41% 28% 45% B B+ C+ A B A C+ B B- B B- B C+ B- 36% 16% 48% D+ B- B C+ B A- C B+ C+
1.22 64% 37% 38% +5 +1 1.14 31% 1.2 .38 12% .32 76% .24 1.02 54% 35% 33% -3 0 0.98 27% 1.0 .26 20% .30 69% .22
Nov
3		 NC Central A+ A+ F A+ A+ 26% 9% 64% C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ D- B- A C- 37% 21% 42% C- C- A- D- B- A+ F A+ F
1.57 93% 20% 44% +17 +1 1.38 45% 1.4 .65 12% .47 70% .33 0.89 63% 33% 28% -3 0 0.95 21% 1.1 .24 25% .51 64% .33
Nov
7		 UAB A A+ A+ C+ A+ 38% 12% 50% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A A+ A- B F A+ A 45% 19% 36% D B+ F+ A C A+ A A+ A+
1.26 80% 50% 35% +10 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 19% .36 82% .30 0.94 54% 55% 14% -9 +1 0.84 39% 0.8 .32 19% .23 57% .13
Nov
12		 UNC Greensboro A+ B D- A+ B 38% 15% 48% B B D A+ A+ A+ A- A- A A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 21% 54% C+ A+ A D- B A+ F A- F
1.48 65% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.23 26% 2.0 .53 5% .33 78% .26 0.86 40% 38% 24% -13 -1 0.74 19% 1.1 .21 22% .70 63% .45
Nov
17		 Virginia Commonwealth B+ F A+ B B 36% 22% 42% D+ B- A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ A+ C+ B 23% 7% 70% B- B A D+ B B- A A A+
1.15 44% 50% 37% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.1 .45 23% .58 82% .48 1.07 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.02 28% 1.2 .33 16% .29 67% .19
Nov
24		 Seton Hall B- F+ A+ C B 40% 13% 46% B- B+ D- C D A+ C+ B- C+ D+ D D- B D+ 45% 14% 41% D- D A+ F F+ B+ F+ F F
1.00 43% 71% 33% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.9 .21 18% .36 73% .26 1.15 64% 43% 30% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.9 .46 19% .40 83% .33
Nov
25		 Boise St. B+ B A A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B A+ C+ F F+ B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ F C- B- 24% 9% 67% C+ B- B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F
1.16 63% 50% 45% +11 0 1.24 23% 0.6 .13 14% .38 78% .30 1.00 45% 50% 37% +1 +1 1.04 33% 0.5 .16 21% .58 66% .38
Nov
26		 Texas A+ A+ F A+ A 44% 25% 31% B- A C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A F D+ F F F 26% 11% 64% C F A+ F C F F F F
1.35 71% 21% 47% +7 0 1.16 24% 1.8 .42 8% .42 71% .30 1.42 67% 60% 47% +17 0 1.36 23% 2.0 .46 10% .51 85% .43
Dec
3		 Auburn C B+ D D+ C 34% 16% 50% B- C D- F F A+ F+ A+ D+ B+ F A+ F F 40% 10% 50% D+ F A+ B- A+ A+ D F F
1.04 63% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 21% 0.6 .13 13% .21 85% .18 1.18 75% 25% 55% +21 +1 1.48 26% 1.0 .26 28% .44 86% .38
Dec
6		 UNC Asheville C- A F+ F D 48% 12% 40% B D+ D+ A+ A+ D D A+ C B+ A+ A- F B 13% 46% 42% A+ B+ A- D- B- B+ C F D+
1.11 71% 33% 20% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.7 .47 18% .27 80% .22 0.93 33% 32% 40% -2 -5 0.88 24% 1.1 .26 21% .32 76% .24
Dec
10		 Liberty A- A F A A- 46% 13% 41% A- A D F F A+ A D- B+ A+ A- A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ A- A+ A+
1.26 68% 29% 41% +8 +2 1.20 26% 0.9 .24 12% .32 68% .22 0.67 52% 21% -13 +3 0.82 15% 0.3 .05 25% .20 30% .06
Dec
13		 Kansas B- B D F B- 37% 15% 48% B+ B D+ C C- A+ C B+ C+ A C+ A D+ B 33% 18% 49% C- B A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.01 58% 30% 26% -7 +1 0.89 23% 0.8 .19 9% .22 73% .16 1.03 60% 27% 37% +1 0 1.03 23% 0.8 .19 11% .15 60% .09
Dec
17		 Texas Southern A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 11% 58% C- A A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C B C A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% F A- F D F C+ D- D F+
1.52 56% 67% 45% +12 +1 1.28 49% 1.2 .60 10% .42 85% .36 1.01 52% 38% 22% -10 +1 0.83 35% 1.1 .40 18% .34 75% .26
Dec
21		 Mississippi B- A+ F C+ A 29% 14% 57% B+ A D- A+ B+ F F F F A+ F B- B+ B+ 19% 23% 57% D B A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ C+
1.09 87% 14% 34% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 23% .24 54% .13 0.89 78% 36% 30% 0 -2 0.98 19% 0.6 .11 21% .33 67% .22
Dec
31		 Wake Forest D A- F F C- 46% 15% 38% B C C F F D+ C A B- A+ A+ D- A- A+ 37% 8% 55% F+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A A+
0.98 67% 25% 25% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.6 .17 21% .30 82% .25 0.80 42% 50% 29% -9 +2 0.86 25% 0.4 .10 22% .23 69% .16
Jan
3		 Virginia C- B F F D 32% 30% 39% C- D D A+ C B- A+ A- A+ C C+ F C- D 27% 9% 64% C+ D+ B+ F D A+ C+ C- C+
0.95 57% 23% 24% -11 -2 0.77 21% 1.1 .24 16% .46 80% .37 1.18 58% 100% 36% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.4 .50 22% .30 73% .22
Jan
6		 Boston College A+ F B- A+ A 42% 20% 38% B- A B+ A+ A+ A+ F F F D- D- B+ F F 45% 16% 39% F F F B+ D A+ F F F
1.30 33% 40% 58% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.5 .51 7% .21 50% .11 1.17 65% 33% 53% +14 +1 1.32 40% 0.9 .36 26% .49 73% .36
Jan
10		 Florida St. A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 22% 29% 49% F+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A- A A+ B A+ A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% D- A+ A+ F C B+ F B F
1.46 77% 35% 55% +19 -2 1.36 37% 1.8 .67 12% .34 78% .26 0.89 54% 0% 22% -13 +2 0.80 15% 2.5 .38 17% .45 69% .31
Jan
17		 Georgia Tech D D- F B D+ 39% 11% 50% A- C- F D F+ A A+ F B+ C B- F F F 43% 15% 43% F+ F A F C+ A F A+ D
1.00 48% 0% 37% -6 +1 0.93 20% 1.0 .20 12% .38 64% .25 1.05 55% 57% 45% +9 +1 1.21 24% 1.4 .33 23% .49 50% .25
Jan
20		 Clemson A B+ F B B+ 40% 17% 42% B+ A- D F D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ C B 36% 9% 55% C- B- C+ D C A- F+ A+ C
1.12 62% 22% 36% 0 +1 1.04 17% 0.7 .11 10% .39 88% .34 1.06 65% 25% 35% +2 +1 1.09 27% 1.1 .30 18% .41 63% .26
Jan
24		 Pittsburgh A B F B B- 42% 21% 37% C B- D+ B C A+ A+ A- A+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 20% 43% B- A+ F B F A- F A+ C-
1.19 64% 27% 37% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 12% .45 81% .37 1.06 42% 20% 32% -11 0 0.80 53% 0.9 .49 21% .46 44% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Syracuse A A+ A+ D A+ 50% 12% 38% A A+ A+ D- A- B+ C+ A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 18% 36% D+ A+ C- D- D C A- A+ A
1.26 69% 50% 30% +5 +2 1.15 45% 1.0 .45 16% .30 83% .25 0.97 46% 20% 25% -14 +1 0.77 33% 1.2 .40 16% .27 56% .15
Jan
31		 Wake Forest A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% B- A+ D A+ B+ A+ C B C+ B A- F C- B- 37% 22% 41% B B- A+ F B D+ F F F
1.38 43% 57% 56% +12 +1 1.29 24% 1.6 .38 12% .29 78% .23 1.12 50% 55% 35% +1 0 1.04 18% 1.8 .32 13% .40 88% .35
Feb
3		 SMU A D D+ A+ A- 29% 11% 60% B+ A D- A+ B- A+ B+ F C B B+ A F C- 48% 16% 36% F D+ A- A+ A+ C A A+ A+
1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19 1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12
Feb
7		 Virginia Tech B A- F A+ A+ 41% 18% 41% B A F A D- B+ A+ C- A+ A A- D+ A+ A+ 50% 10% 40% F A+ C F F+ A+ B+ D- B-
1.13 67% 22% 43% +6 +1 1.16 18% 1.2 .21 15% .39 71% .28 1.01 52% 40% 25% -8 +2 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 21% .26 80% .21
Feb
9		 Louisville C A+ F F D+ 38% 30% 32% C+ C- F+ A+ C- A+ C- A+ B+ F D- D F F 44% 7% 49% C- F A A+ A+ D- F+ D F
0.96 75% 21% 15% -8 -1 0.84 15% 1.5 .23 12% .27 89% .24 1.47 69% 50% 62% +26 +2 1.59 27% 0.3 .07 12% .38 81% .31
Feb
14		 Miami (FL) A C+ A- A- A- 35% 18% 47% B- A- B A A- A B- A+ A C- B- B+ A+ A+ 61% 18% 22% D A+ F C+ F D D+ A+ A-
1.17 59% 44% 39% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .36 15% .27 87% .24 1.19 58% 33% 18% -6 +2 0.94 49% 1.1 .54 14% .36 50% .18
Feb
17		 North Carolina A+ F A+ A+ B 49% 18% 33% A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ A- D+ B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 59% D+ A+ F+ A+ A- A+ D- D+ D-
1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18 0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29
Feb
24		 Virginia D+ D- F D+ D 39% 9% 53% A+ C- B+ F F+ B+ D+ A- C D+ D+ F D- D- 42% 13% 44% C D A+ F D+ B C F D-
0.87 45% 0% 30% -11 +2 0.82 33% 0.4 .12 14% .25 80% .20 1.28 64% 57% 39% +8 +1 1.21 26% 1.9 .48 17% .31 89% .27
Feb
28		 Notre Dame A+ A A+ F+ B- 33% 11% 56% A- B B+ A+ A A+ B+ A A- F F B F F 29% 29% 41% A- F F+ A C+ C+ F F F
1.26 68% 67% 28% +1 +1 1.07 31% 1.3 .38 8% .34 82% .28 1.35 87% 33% 48% +15 -2 1.29 39% 0.8 .30 17% .47 79% .37
Mar
2		 Duke B C- F F+ C- 37% 15% 48% A- C A+ A A+ A+ A D- B+ F F C- D+ 49% 0% 51% F+ D D F+ F F+ F A- F+
0.99 50% 25% 27% -10 +1 0.83 33% 1.0 .33 9% .29 65% .19 1.44 75% 36% +10 +3 1.29 43% 1.4 .60 11% .47 67% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5.1 5.1 5th
6th 10.8 71.9 82.7 6th
7th 12.2 12.2 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 23.0 77.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 77.0% 92.2% 1.8% 90.4% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.4 13.6 19.1 18.6 10.6 1.6 6.0 92.1%
10-8 23.0% 78.4% 1.4% 77.0% 9.1 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.4 5.6 5.6 1.7 5.0 78.1%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 89.1% 1.7% 87.4% 8.4 11.0 88.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 5.7 1.5 9.5 24.8 51.1 12.4 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.0% 98.4% 6.7 0.1 0.6 4.9 36.7 41.2 12.2 2.4 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.4% 97.5% 7.5 0.1 0.7 15.9 34.1 31.2 12.5 2.9 0.1
Lose Out 8.6% 66.8% 9.7 0.2 1.0 6.0 18.4 28.7 12.4