Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +9.2 59
Expected Predictive Rating +12.3 48
Pace 78.6 12
Improvement -5.0 349

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B #59 B C B B A-
Defense B- #83 B- C+ B- B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 50% 2 60% 127 +7.8 9
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 326 33% 324 -3.6 341
Three Pointers 37% 269 37% 55 -0.4 192
1st FG Attempt 1.10 73 +3.8 72
Second Chance 31.3% 160 1.02 174 0.32 151
Turnovers 14.9% 59
Freethrows 0.35 59 74% 115 0.26 53
Total Offense +5.8 59

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 240 54% 83 +2.4 99
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 296 39% 217 +1.3 93
Three Pointers 47% 39 32% 90 -1.4 251
1st FG Attempt 0.97 104 +2.3 105
Second Chance 27.8% 76 1.07 254 0.30 137
Turnovers 18.3% 99
Freethrows 0.27 75 71% 95 0.19 71
Total Defense +3.4 83

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.8 11 +0.4 235
Shot Type Accuracy +1.8 107 -2.5 77
Possession Length 15.3 25 17.1 154
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 48 0.17 172
Improvement -3.5 #331 -1.5 #275

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 19% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14% 19% 7%
Average Seed 10.6 10.5 10.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 8% 13% 2%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four9% 11% 5%
First Round9% 12% 4%
Second Round3% 4% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: TCU (Home) - 54.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 9
Quad 27 - 410 - 13
Quad 33 - 012 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 337 Oral Roberts W 95 - 71 98% +9  91% 1 - 0 B +10 D+ -4 D- B+ D- A- +9 A C C+
 Sun, Nov 9 31 Texas A&M W 87 - 63 40% +14  95% 2 - 0 A+ +36 A +12 B B- A+ A+ +22 A+ A A+
 Wed, Nov 12 336 Prairie View W 94 - 67 98% +16  93% 3 - 0 B+ +13 C +1 D- A- C+ A- +8 C- A- C-
 Sun, Nov 16 198 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 85 - 69 91% +9  93% 4 - 0 B +10 C +1 B- B- D+ B+ +8 A- B- C
 Wed, Nov 19 62 South Florida W 103 - 95 63% +2  70% 5 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +15 A+ C+ F+ C- -2 F A B
 Sat, Nov 22 266 Nicholls St. W 95 - 81 94% +12  98% 6 - 0 B- +5 C+ +2 B- F B+ C+ +1 C+ F+ B+
 Thu, Nov 27 64 Northwestern W 86 - 81 53% +2  61% 7 - 0 B+ +13 A- +10 D- A+ A- B- +3 B D- B-
 Tue, Dec 2 121 Sam Houston St. W 93 - 83 81% +0  43% 8 - 0 B +10 B +7 B- A+ D+ C+ +2 D- A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 68 Grand Canyon W 84 - 78 54% +2  70% 9 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +16 A+ D+ B- C- -2 B F+ F+
 Sat, Dec 13 54 Oklahoma L 76 - 85 46% -4  14% 9 - 1 C +1 C +0 C- F A+ C+ +1 C+ A- D+
 Thu, Dec 18 357 UMKC W 91 - 79 99% +6  94% 10 - 1 D+ -6 C +1 A+ F F+ D- -8 F+ C+ F+
 Sun, Dec 21 210 Cal St. Fullerton W 94 - 89 91% +10  100% 11 - 1 C -1 B +6 A D+ D D -7 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 227 Bethune-Cookman W 103 - 77 92% +13  89% 12 - 1 A +19 A +14 C- A A B- +3 F+ B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 16 @Texas Tech L 80 - 102 13% -12  2% 12 - 2 0 - 1 C -1 B+ +8 B C- A+ D -6 C D F
 Tue, Jan 6 52 Central Florida W 87 - 76 56% +6  89% 13 - 2 1 - 1 A +19 C +1 A F D A+ +16 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 8 @Iowa St. L 71 - 83 9% -3  32% 13 - 3 1 - 2 B+ +12 B +6 B+ F B B+ +6 A+ B D+
 Tue, Jan 13 42 Baylor L 79 - 94 49% -13  0% 13 - 4 1 - 3 D+ -5 B+ +8 B A- B F -14 F D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 101 Kansas St. W 84 - 83 75% +2  66% 14 - 4 2 - 3 C+ +3 B+ +8 D+ A A+ D+ -4 C- F A+
 Tue, Jan 20 50 @TCU L 65 - 68 32% +1  59% 14 - 5 2 - 4 B +11 C +0 C- B C A +10 C+ B+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 8 Iowa St. L 71 - 84 21% -18  0% 14 - 6 2 - 5 C+ +5 B- +5 B C- B+ C -0 B F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 110 @Utah W 81 - 69 59% +1  58% 15 - 6 3 - 5 A +19 A- +10 B+ C+ A- A- +9 A A+ D-
 Wed, Feb 4 21 BYU W 99 - 92 30% +5  86% 16 - 6 4 - 5 A +22 A+ +17 A+ A- A+ B- +4 D A A+
 Sat, Feb 7 2 @Arizona L 47 - 84 5% -19  1% 16 - 7 4 - 6 D -9 F -17 F F+ B+ A +10 A C- C+
 Tue, Feb 10 69 @Arizona St. L 76 - 85 42% -4  5% 16 - 8 4 - 7 C+ +2 C +0 B+ F D B- +3 A+ F C-
 Sat, Feb 14 50 TCU W 79 - 78 54%
 Wed, Feb 18 12 Kansas L 75 - 82 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 77 @Colorado L 83 - 84 45%
 Tue, Feb 24 56 West Virginia W 73 - 71 57%
 Sat, Feb 28 45 @Cincinnati L 74 - 79 30%
 Tue, Mar 3 52 @Central Florida L 84 - 88 34%
 Sat, Mar 7 5 Houston L 70 - 80 17%
Totals 19 - 12 7 - 11 +9 B +6 B C B B- +3 B- C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C+ D B C+ 50% 13% 37% A- B C+ C C B B B- B B- B- C- B- B- 37% 17% 47% C- B- B- C- C+ B- B- B- B-
1.17 60% 33% 37% +2 +2 1.10 31% 1.0 .32 15% .35 74% .26 1.04 54% 39% 32% -3 0 0.97 28% 1.1 .30 18% .27 71% .24
Nov
4		 Oral Roberts D+ F A C- F+ 55% 10% 35% B+ D- B- B B+ D- A B+ A+ A- D A+ A+ A+ 38% 8% 54% D- A B D- C C+ C- B C
1.11 45% 50% 33% -6 +3 0.95 37% 1.3 .46 18% .43 77% .33 0.83 61% 0% 18% -15 +2 0.75 23% 1.1 .25 19% .32 68% .22
Nov
9		 Texas A&M A B+ C+ D B- 50% 9% 41% A+ B B- C+ B- A+ A- C+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 37% 4% 60% C- A+ C+ A+ A A+ B- F+ C
1.20 64% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.09 32% 0.9 .30 12% .35 73% .25 0.87 47% 0% 26% -13 +2 0.81 32% 0.6 .20 22% .30 82% .25
Nov
12		 Prairie View C D D- C+ F+ 45% 16% 39% C+ D- B B+ A- C+ B- C- C+ A- A- C D+ C+ 41% 19% 40% F C- A+ C A- C- A+ A+ A+
1.19 52% 33% 36% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.2 .51 18% .41 70% .29 0.85 46% 36% 35% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 15% .21 57% .12
Nov
16		 TX A&M Corpus Christi C A+ B- F C+ 47% 10% 43% A- B- B- B- B- D+ B A+ A B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 13% 33% F A- A F+ B- C D- F F
1.09 79% 40% 18% 0 +2 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 22% .44 81% .36 0.88 47% 14% 22% -15 +2 0.76 21% 1.1 .23 18% .41 77% .31
Nov
19		 South Florida A+ A A+ A+ A+ 53% 16% 31% A A+ B D+ C+ F+ A F B C- F+ A+ F F 33% 4% 63% C+ F B A+ A B F+ A- D+
1.26 69% 56% 53% +17 +2 1.40 34% 0.9 .31 23% .41 62% .25 1.16 67% 0% 41% +8 +2 1.22 35% 0.9 .33 18% .45 67% .30
Nov
22		 Nicholls St. C+ A F A+ B- 52% 16% 32% B B- F F F B+ B+ A+ A+ C+ F B+ A+ C 22% 24% 54% A C+ D+ F F+ B+ B- C C+
1.17 76% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.21 19% 0.8 .15 18% .41 93% .38 0.99 92% 29% 25% -2 -2 0.95 29% 1.3 .36 20% .26 65% .17
Nov
27		 Northwestern A- B- F F F+ 45% 22% 33% B- D- A A+ A+ A- A+ A A+ B- D- F A+ B 39% 24% 37% C+ B B- F D- B- F B- F
1.18 61% 18% 18% -11 0 0.80 41% 1.3 .54 14% .52 79% .41 1.11 68% 58% 17% 0 0 1.00 27% 1.7 .45 14% .48 73% .35
Dec
2		 Sam Houston St. B B D F C 54% 11% 35% A B- A A+ A+ D+ A+ D+ A C+ C- F F+ F 25% 17% 58% B D- B A+ A+ C+ A F B+
1.18 66% 33% 26% 0 +2 1.06 40% 1.4 .54 19% .44 68% .30 1.05 60% 50% 40% +8 0 1.17 31% 0.3 .10 18% .17 82% .14
Dec
6		 Grand Canyon A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 51% 24% 24% B+ A+ D+ D+ D+ B- A+ C- A+ C- C+ C- A B+ 40% 14% 46% D+ B D+ F F+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.20 68% 58% 33% +10 0 1.22 23% 1.0 .23 17% .48 71% .34 1.11 57% 38% 27% -5 +1 0.93 35% 1.2 .43 13% .21 62% .13
Dec
13		 Oklahoma C F B B- D+ 43% 20% 37% B+ C- F+ F F A+ D A C- C+ A- D+ F+ C 33% 16% 51% C+ C+ B+ B A- D+ C D- D+
1.05 42% 42% 36% -5 0 0.93 22% 0.7 .16 7% .24 81% .19 1.18 50% 44% 39% +3 0 1.07 30% 1.2 .35 12% .32 80% .25
Dec
18		 UMKC C A+ D A+ A+ 62% 17% 21% A- A+ C+ F F F+ B B B D- B- A+ F D- 38% 13% 49% F F+ C+ C+ C+ F+ F+ F F
1.18 76% 33% 45% +14 +2 1.34 38% 0.6 .24 21% .31 74% .23 1.02 52% 14% 41% 0 +1 1.04 27% 0.8 .22 16% .34 82% .28
Dec
21		 Cal St. Fullerton B D+ B A+ A 40% 12% 47% B- A C+ F D+ D B- D- C D C- B- F F 42% 11% 47% F+ F F+ F F B- F A+ D+
1.18 57% 43% 48% +10 +1 1.25 31% 0.8 .26 21% .34 67% .22 1.12 59% 33% 44% +7 +1 1.19 31% 1.3 .40 18% .52 50% .26
Dec
29		 Bethune-Cookman A F A+ A- D 67% 9% 24% A+ C- B A+ A A A+ A A+ B- D F D F 26% 26% 47% A F+ B+ B+ B+ A+ D D- D-
1.29 43% 60% 38% -6 +4 0.96 37% 1.4 .51 10% .59 81% .47 0.97 64% 50% 36% +6 -2 1.11 22% 0.9 .19 24% .36 73% .26
Jan
3		 Texas Tech B+ B- F C+ B- 42% 18% 40% A+ B D A- C- A+ C A B- D C+ C F D+ 19% 30% 51% A+ C B- F D F A- F+ B
1.05 60% 27% 33% -1 +1 1.00 19% 1.1 .21 10% .28 74% .20 1.34 58% 42% 47% +11 -3 1.19 33% 1.3 .43 9% .20 79% .16
Jan
6		 Central Florida C D- D- A+ A 50% 13% 38% A A D- F F D A+ B+ A+ A+ A F A+ A+ 42% 10% 48% F A+ A+ F C+ C- D A+ C
1.08 50% 33% 56% +8 +2 1.21 18% 0.4 .07 20% .54 77% .42 0.94 48% 50% 17% -15 +2 0.75 28% 1.5 .43 14% .33 65% .21
Jan
10		 Iowa St. B C+ D- B+ B+ 32% 21% 47% B- B+ F A+ F B A+ A+ A+ B+ B- A- C A+ 44% 28% 28% B+ A+ A+ F B D+ F F F
0.98 60% 30% 36% +1 -1 1.02 10% 1.3 .13 21% .45 81% .36 1.14 59% 29% 36% -1 -1 0.98 28% 1.3 .38 14% .48 80% .38
Jan
13		 Baylor B+ D D- B D+ 59% 6% 35% A+ B A- B- A- B D- F F F C- F F F 43% 17% 40% F F B- F+ D+ B+ A D- B+
1.16 53% 33% 37% -2 +3 1.06 38% 1.0 .38 15% .21 58% .12 1.38 65% 56% 52% +17 +1 1.38 36% 1.3 .48 18% .25 79% .20
Jan
17		 Kansas St. B+ F D C D- 53% 11% 37% A+ D+ B A+ A A+ A A+ A+ D+ C F D+ D+ 32% 16% 52% B- C- D F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 43% 33% 33% -9 +2 0.89 38% 1.4 .55 10% .38 83% .31 1.17 61% 56% 38% +7 0 1.16 38% 1.2 .47 23% .09 40% .04
Jan
20		 TCU C D- F A+ D- 66% 11% 23% A+ C- B C+ B C F+ F F A D A- A B- 51% 14% 35% F+ C+ D+ A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+
0.95 46% 17% 42% -8 +3 0.92 32% 1.1 .34 21% .18 50% .09 1.00 65% 29% 28% -1 +2 1.04 36% 0.8 .31 21% .22 50% .11
Jan
24		 Iowa St. B- D+ C+ B- B 33% 17% 50% B+ B B F C- B+ A+ A A+ C A- F D+ B+ 41% 7% 51% F+ B C- F F A+ F F F
1.01 53% 38% 35% -1 0 1.00 31% 0.8 .25 20% .41 78% .32 1.19 53% 67% 38% +3 +2 1.12 41% 1.6 .67 26% .52 78% .40
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Utah A- D+ A A+ B 55% 11% 35% A B+ B D C+ A- D C D A- B D+ A A+ 46% 19% 35% C A B+ A+ A+ D- F A- D
1.19 53% 50% 42% +3 +2 1.13 35% 0.9 .32 12% .22 69% .15 1.02 54% 40% 28% -5 +1 0.94 25% 0.6 .15 12% .40 67% .27
Feb
4		 BYU A+ A+ D+ C- A+ 55% 11% 35% A+ A+ B A- A- A+ A+ D- A+ B- A- F F C- 43% 8% 48% F D B+ A A A+ B+ C- B
1.27 73% 33% 32% +7 +2 1.20 31% 1.3 .41 10% .48 65% .31 1.18 54% 60% 45% +8 +2 1.22 33% 1.0 .33 20% .27 76% .21
Feb
7		 Arizona F B- F F F 16% 35% 49% D F D F F+ B+ A+ F C+ A D+ D A+ A 44% 35% 21% B+ A A F C- C+ D+ A+ B-
0.63 56% 16% 22% -17 -3 0.62 19% 0.5 .09 16% .37 48% .17 1.12 68% 45% 17% +1 -1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 16% .40 64% .25
Feb
10		 Arizona St. C B F A+ A- 33% 29% 38% D B+ D+ F F D A+ C A+ B- A+ A- A+ A+ 37% 25% 37% B A+ F D+ F C- F D F
1.02 63% 29% 44% +5 -1 1.08 28% 0.4 .11 23% .47 74% .35 1.14 42% 31% 26% -12 -1 0.76 44% 1.3 .56 15% .55 80% .44



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 0.8 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.1 3.8 3.1 0.2 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 2.8 9.0 0.8 12.6 9th
10th 1.2 12.8 4.2 0.0 18.3 10th
11th 0.3 9.3 9.9 0.2 19.8 11th
12th 0.0 2.6 11.7 1.5 15.8 12th
13th 0.4 7.6 4.5 0.1 12.6 13th
14th 3.4 5.3 0.5 0.0 9.2 14th
15th 0.3 0.0 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 16th
Total 4.2 15.8 27.3 27.2 17.5 6.3 1.6 0.2 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 1.6% 90.1% 90.1% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 90.1%
9-9 6.3% 65.7% 65.7% 10.4 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.0 0.0 2.2 65.7%
8-10 17.5% 29.3% 0.1% 29.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.2 0.1 12.3 29.3%
7-11 27.2% 8.2% 8.2% 11.0 0.1 2.0 0.2 24.9 8.2%
6-12 27.3% 1.6% 1.6% 11.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 26.8 1.6%
5-13 15.8% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 15.8 0.1%
4-14 4.2% 4.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.6% 0.0% 13.6% 10.6 86.4 13.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.0%