Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.0 116
Expected Predictive Rating +3.1 113
Pace 65.5 265
Improvement -1.2 240

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #160 C+ C D B B-
Defense B- #94 C C A D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 129 61% 107 +2.2 103
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 283 41% 76 -1.3 251
Three Pointers 44% 126 32% 261 +0.1 171
1st FG Attempt 1.04 138 +1.0 139
Second Chance 33.4% 95 0.94 302 0.31 171
Turnovers 19.6% 325
Freethrows 0.35 46 72% 179 0.26 61
Total Offense +0.1 160

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 142 55% 93 +0.4 160
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 246 33% 34 +1.7 61
Three Pointers 42% 156 37% 303 -2.1 286
1st FG Attempt 1.02 176 +0.0 178
Second Chance 31.2% 212 1.01 147 0.31 194
Turnovers 21.4% 13
Freethrows 0.35 300 71% 88 0.24 278
Total Defense +2.9 94

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.7 88 +0.4 242
Shot Type Accuracy +0.3 161 -0.4 163
Possession Length 17.6 212 18.0 295
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 30 0.14 89
Improvement -0.8 #232 -0.4 #213

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.9 12.2
.500 or above 96% 99% 89%
.500 or above in Conference 57% 67% 29%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 71.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 64 - 8
Quad 36 - 310 - 11
Quad 49 - 319 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 333 Stetson W 93 - 62 93% +17  97% 1 - 0 A- +17 B- +5 C+ A+ F+ A +10 B- B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 70 Tulsa L 65 - 82 32% -9  5% 1 - 1 D -9 D -5 C- B F D+ -5 C+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 330 Stonehill W 80 - 57 93% +12  88% 2 - 1 B +9 C+ +2 C+ C- F+ B+ +6 B+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 14 325 Albany W 80 - 61 93% +6  64% 3 - 1 B- +6 C+ +2 F+ A- C+ B +5 A+ F A
 Tue, Nov 18 81 @Yale W 86 - 77 26% +0  42% 4 - 1 A +19 A+ +15 A B D+ B- +4 A F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 172 Towson L 55 - 62 64% -2  34% 4 - 2 D+ -8 F -11 F A+ F C+ +2 C- B+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 224 Vermont W 80 - 65 73% +7  83% 5 - 2 B+ +12 A- +9 B A- F B- +4 B F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 148 Temple W 90 - 75 59% +7  81% 6 - 2 A- +16 A +14 A+ D+ A+ B- +2 C+ B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 278 Brown W 66 - 56 88% +4  80% 7 - 2 C +0 D -5 D- B D B+ +6 A+ C C+
 Sat, Dec 6 60 @Providence L 71 - 90 20% -5  18% 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 A+ F F D+ -4 F C- A+
 Tue, Dec 9 88 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 50% -2  6% 7 - 4 C +1 F+ -9 B D- F A- +10 B- A+ B
 Tue, Dec 16 346 Canisius W 62 - 45 95% +3  45% 8 - 4 C+ +2 F -12 F F F A+ +16 B+ A A+
 Mon, Dec 22 269 Northeastern W 85 - 77 87% +6  89% 9 - 4 C -1 A- +10 B+ A C+ F+ -10 F B B
 Wed, Dec 31 277 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 88% -7  11% 9 - 5 0 - 1 D- -14 F -20 F C- F B +6 F D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 89 @George Mason L 50 - 61 29% -4  7% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C- -2 F -15 C- F F A +11 C+ A D+
 Wed, Jan 7 226 La Salle L 72 - 79 81% -2  38% 9 - 7 0 - 3 D- -13 C +1 B- B- F F -15 F F B
 Sat, Jan 10 111 @Davidson W 70 - 45 36% +14  99% 10 - 7 1 - 3 A+ +32 B+ +9 A+ F B- A+ +27 A+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 32% -8  0% 10 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 B- +5 A+ F D D -6 C- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 128 @Richmond W 69 - 68 42% -2  13% 11 - 8 2 - 4 B- +6 D+ -4 D C- F A +10 C- B A-
 Sat, Jan 24 89 George Mason W 74 - 65 51% +5  93% 12 - 8 3 - 4 B+ +12 A +13 B- C+ A+ C +0 B D- C-
 Tue, Jan 27 97 @Dayton W 81 - 76 OT 31% -3  30% 13 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +13 B +7 C+ D B+ B+ +6 F A- A+
 Sun, Feb 1 108 @Duquesne L 61 - 76 35% -8  3% 13 - 9 4 - 5 D+ -8 D- -7 C- D+ D C- -2 D D+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 128 Richmond W 82 - 77 65% -0  49% 14 - 9 5 - 5 C+ +4 B +7 C- A+ C+ C- -3 D+ A- B
 Tue, Feb 10 84 @George Washington L 70 - 75 26% -7  0% 14 - 10 5 - 6 C+ +5 C- -1 C- C- D+ B +6 D A- A-
 Sat, Feb 14 157 Fordham W 68 - 62 72%
 Tue, Feb 17 22 Saint Louis L 70 - 81 16%
 Sat, Feb 21 226 @La Salle W 69 - 66 64%
 Wed, Feb 25 134 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 73 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 136 Saint Joseph's W 70 - 66 67%
 Wed, Mar 4 108 Duquesne W 75 - 73 57%
 Sat, Mar 7 157 @Fordham W 66 - 65 51%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +3 C +0 C+ C D B- +3 C C A



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ B- D+ C 40% 16% 44% B- C+ B- D C D B C B B- B- B+ D C 40% 18% 42% C- C C- C+ C A D B- D+
1.09 61% 41% 32% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.9 .31 20% .35 72% .26 1.04 55% 33% 37% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 21% .35 71% .25
Nov
3		 Stetson B- A+ A F C+ 40% 16% 44% C+ C+ A+ A- A+ F+ A+ A- A+ A A D- B- B+ 38% 15% 48% F+ B- D+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ C-
1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32 0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22
Nov
7		 Tulsa D B- F D C- 43% 19% 38% C+ C- B+ C B F A+ A- A+ D+ C A+ F C 47% 16% 38% B- C+ F F F A+ F A+ D+
1.00 61% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.1 .36 25% .39 79% .30 1.26 57% 14% 47% +3 +1 1.11 45% 1.6 .72 21% .47 63% .29
Nov
11		 Stonehill C+ B+ A+ F C 55% 14% 31% A- C+ B- F+ C- F+ A A+ A+ B+ A A+ B+ A- 28% 14% 58% C B+ D D+ D A+ F C- F
1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30 0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30
Nov
14		 Albany C+ D D F F 51% 12% 37% B+ F+ A- C+ A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A+ F F F A D C D+
1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44 0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
18		 Yale A+ F A+ A+ A 46% 14% 40% B+ A A D B D+ A B A B- B C- A- A+ 52% 15% 33% F+ A F D- F A- F F F
1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27 1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36
Nov
24		 Towson F C A+ F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F B- A+ A+ F A- F B- C+ F B D- D- 23% 52% 25% A+ C- C+ A- B+ B F C+ F
0.90 57% 71% 5% -16 0 0.71 29% 1.7 .50 24% .35 63% .22 1.01 70% 35% 36% +2 -5 0.95 34% 0.6 .22 20% .39 68% .26
Nov
25		 Vermont A- A- F C- C+ 52% 5% 43% A+ B A+ F A- F A+ D- A+ B- C- F A- B+ 29% 9% 62% D+ B D F F A+ F B F
1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49 1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32
Nov
26		 Temple A A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% D+ A+ F A+ D+ A+ B+ F C B- D+ A- C C 39% 22% 39% C C+ A+ F B- B F C+ F
1.29 81% 40% 43% +14 0 1.30 17% 1.6 .27 9% .36 61% .22 1.07 61% 30% 33% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.3 .24 16% .56 76% .43
Dec
2		 Brown D C+ F+ F F+ 44% 20% 36% C+ D- B- B B D A D+ A- B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 52% 27% 21% B- A+ F A+ C C+ F D- F
1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30 0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25
Dec
6		 Providence D+ D F A+ A+ 32% 14% 54% B A+ C F F F C- F F D+ F F+ F F 32% 13% 55% B- F C+ D C- A+ C B C+
1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13 1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26
Dec
9		 McNeese St. F+ A- A+ D- B 42% 11% 47% B+ B F A+ D- F A+ A+ A+ A- A- D+ D+ B 51% 14% 35% D- B- B+ A+ A+ B D+ A+ B-
0.94 67% 50% 29% +2 +1 1.08 17% 1.8 .30 31% .57 85% .48 0.96 48% 43% 35% -4 +2 0.98 31% 0.5 .15 16% .33 63% .21
Dec
16		 Canisius F F+ F D F 37% 8% 56% B+ F A- F F F D A+ C A+ A+ B- C B+ 43% 29% 29% C B+ C+ A+ A A+ D D D
0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22 0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23
Dec
22		 Northeastern A- C A+ C+ A 36% 24% 40% D B+ A+ C A C+ D D- D- F+ B- A+ F F 49% 2% 49% F F D- A+ B B F F F
1.31 61% 83% 35% +13 -1 1.26 47% 1.0 .47 17% .30 69% .20 1.19 55% 0% 50% +9 +3 1.27 32% 0.7 .21 20% .48 76% .37
Dec
31		 Loyola Chicago F F C F F 38% 21% 40% C+ F B F C- F B- F C B B- F F F 44% 8% 49% D F F B+ D- A+ B+ F C-
0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22 0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22
Jan
3		 George Mason F B+ F D+ C- 26% 19% 55% C C- D- F F F F+ F F A B A+ F C 38% 24% 38% B- C+ A+ F A D+ F A+ C
0.80 67% 22% 31% -3 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06 0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28
Jan
7		 La Salle C B+ F A B 24% 11% 64% C B- A+ F B- F A+ C- A F D- B F F 56% 9% 35% F F D+ F F B F B+ F
1.12 64% 0% 41% +4 0 1.11 44% 0.8 .36 25% .37 67% .25 1.23 63% 33% 50% +11 +3 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 20% .65 67% .43
Jan
10		 Davidson B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 42% 20% 38% B+ A+ F C F B- F B+ F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A+ A+ A+ A+ A F B F+
1.16 79% 67% 35% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 17% .20 70% .14 0.75 57% 0% 13% -16 +2 0.75 13% 0.8 .10 22% .40 63% .25
Jan
14		 Virginia Commonwealth B- B+ A+ C+ A+ 39% 14% 47% B- A+ D+ F F D A+ F A D C A+ D- C 42% 4% 54% D- C- A+ F D+ F F+ A+ C-
1.11 63% 71% 35% +7 +1 1.18 27% 0.5 .13 19% .44 63% .28 1.25 60% 0% 38% +3 +2 1.13 26% 1.6 .42 7% .45 64% .29
Jan
21		 Richmond D+ C C F F+ 48% 17% 35% A D A- F C- F A+ A- A+ A C C- D- C- 31% 21% 48% D- C- A- C B A- C- A+ A-
1.00 59% 38% 19% -7 +1 0.89 39% 0.9 .33 22% .48 77% .37 0.99 60% 40% 39% +5 -1 1.10 20% 1.0 .20 19% .34 58% .20
Jan
24		 George Mason A B+ F D- C 48% 14% 39% A B- D A+ C+ A+ A+ B A+ C A F B+ B+ 44% 22% 34% C- B C- F D- C- F F F
1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40 1.09 50% 56% 29% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Dayton B F B- A+ C+ 43% 26% 30% C+ C+ C F D B+ A+ A A+ B+ F+ B- F F 44% 18% 38% B- F C A+ A- A+ F C F
1.08 40% 42% 50% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .21 20% .60 78% .47 1.01 71% 29% 47% +11 +1 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 31% .64 76% .48
Feb
1		 Duquesne D- B- F B- C- 29% 22% 49% C- C- C- D D+ D C F F C- B A+ F D 41% 2% 56% D- D D- C+ D+ A- F F F
0.94 62% 20% 36% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 20% .35 50% .17 1.17 53% 0% 43% +5 +3 1.17 36% 1.0 .36 22% .43 91% .39
Feb
7		 Richmond B D+ F D+ D 43% 19% 38% A- C- B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F F D 21% 30% 49% B+ D+ B A+ A- B B+ F B-
1.21 56% 25% 31% -5 +1 0.93 35% 1.5 .52 16% .74 81% .60 1.13 45% 50% 42% +7 -3 1.11 23% 0.7 .16 18% .27 87% .23
Feb
10		 George Washington C- A+ C F+ C+ 27% 29% 44% F+ C- B- F C- D+ B- F D+ B F A+ C+ D- 43% 9% 48% C+ D F+ A+ A- A- F+ B D
1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18 1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.3 0.6 3.4 3rd
4th 0.4 6.2 4.1 0.4 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 4.0 9.2 0.8 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.7 10.6 3.5 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 4.9 9.9 0.4 15.3 7th
8th 1.1 10.7 3.5 0.0 15.3 8th
9th 0.1 5.0 7.6 0.3 13.0 9th
10th 1.1 5.5 0.8 7.4 10th
11th 0.1 2.3 1.6 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.4 1.0 0.2 1.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.2 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.7 4.6 13.3 24.7 28.6 19.8 7.3 1.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.1% 3.8% 3.8% 11.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 7.3% 4.3% 4.3% 11.6 0.1 0.2 7.0
10-8 19.8% 2.1% 2.1% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 19.4
9-9 28.6% 0.8% 0.8% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 28.4
8-10 24.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 24.6
7-11 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 4.6% 4.6
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 12.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 0.4%