St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +1.7 134
Expected Predictive Rating +2.1 129
Pace 66.2 246
Improvement -3.1 306

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #93 B- C+ C C- C-
Defense C- #222 D+ C C+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 119 59% 157 +1.6 121
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 85 47% 18 +3.9 31
Three Pointers 34% 318 36% 79 -2.3 263
1st FG Attempt 1.08 88 +3.2 90
Second Chance 35.4% 52 0.97 263 0.34 107
Turnovers 17.3% 200
Freethrows 0.27 289 76% 63 0.21 241
Total Offense +3.1 93

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 152 59% 224 -1.3 219
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 180 38% 177 +0.0 196
Three Pointers 40% 221 37% 297 -1.0 231
1st FG Attempt 1.06 254 -2.2 255
Second Chance 29.4% 131 1.05 227 0.31 176
Turnovers 17.8% 124
Freethrows 0.29 149 77% 355 0.23 209
Total Defense -1.4 222

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.4 242 +0.1 183
Shot Type Accuracy +3.6 68 +2.1 266
Possession Length 17.1 153 17.8 264
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 41 0.18 215
Improvement +0.7 #140 -3.8 #339

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.6 13.3
.500 or above 81% 92% 69%
.500 or above in Conference 4% 6% 1%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 3% 1% 6%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Home) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 36 - 68 - 12
Quad 49 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 120 Bradley W 69 - 63 46% +4  82% 1 - 0 B +9 C- -1 D C- C A +10 C- A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 8 346 Canisius W 89 - 70 93% +10  87% 2 - 0 C+ +4 A+ +17 C- A+ B+ F -11 F B- D
 Wed, Nov 12 181 Siena W 75 - 66 72% +3  63% 3 - 0 C+ +5 B- +4 C A+ D+ C+ +2 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 15 205 Youngstown St. W 84 - 80 76% +1  54% 4 - 0 C- -2 B +6 A+ C+ D D- -8 C F C-
 Thu, Nov 20 204 Robert Morris W 75 - 61 76% +7  97% 5 - 0 B +8 D+ -3 C C- F A +11 A+ B A-
 Tue, Nov 25 26 North Carolina L 70 - 85 11% -8  1% 5 - 1 C +0 C- -1 C+ B- B C+ +2 C- D+ A
 Thu, Nov 27 252 East Carolina W 67 - 58 74% +3  90% 6 - 1 C+ +4 F -10 F D+ D A+ +14 A+ A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 114 @Florida Atlantic W 70 - 65 33% +4  87% 7 - 1 B +11 C+ +3 A+ F+ D+ A- +8 A D+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 202 @Buffalo W 77 - 69 55% +7  98% 8 - 1 B +8 C+ +3 C+ A- F B+ +6 D F+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 209 Colgate W 85 - 77 76% -3  32% 9 - 1 C+ +2 B +7 B- B- D+ D+ -5 B F F
 Sat, Dec 13 199 Ohio L 83 - 88 OT 66% -2  16% 9 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 D+ C D+ D+ -5 F+ F D
 Sat, Dec 20 303 Le Moyne W 92 - 81 88% +2  68% 10 - 2 C -0 A +14 A- B+ B+ F -13 C F F+
 Wed, Dec 31 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 82 - 89 13% -0  43% 10 - 3 0 - 1 B- +7 A+ +15 A- B+ B D- -8 D+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 7 128 Richmond L 80 - 89 61% -7  2% 10 - 4 0 - 2 D -10 C+ +3 D A+ A+ F -13 D+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 157 Fordham L 77 - 81 68% -2  26% 10 - 5 0 - 3 D+ -7 B +6 B+ A+ C- F -14 F A+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 136 @Saint Joseph's L 64 - 68 39% -4  21% 10 - 6 0 - 4 C +1 C- -2 F+ C- C B- +2 C- A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 226 @La Salle L 74 - 78 58% -2  19% 10 - 7 0 - 5 C- -4 B+ +7 A+ F C F -12 F F A+
 Tue, Jan 20 277 Loyola Chicago W 84 - 70 86% -3  28% 11 - 7 1 - 5 C+ +4 B- +5 D+ D+ A+ C +0 F A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 22 Saint Louis L 62 - 97 13% -25  0% 11 - 8 1 - 6 F -21 D- -7 C- D- C F -14 F C D+
 Wed, Jan 28 108 @Duquesne W 87 - 79 30% -2  29% 12 - 8 2 - 6 A- +15 A+ +15 A+ D+ A+ C+ +0 D- A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 89 George Mason L 73 - 77 46% +8  96% 12 - 9 2 - 7 C -1 C- -1 A+ D F+ C +0 D- C A+
 Tue, Feb 3 97 @Dayton L 70 - 72 26% -3  16% 12 - 10 2 - 8 B- +6 B+ +8 B+ B- B C -1 B- C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 157 @Fordham W 70 - 67 46% -0  43% 13 - 10 3 - 8 B- +6 B+ +8 A+ B F C -1 D- A B-
 Sat, Feb 14 108 Duquesne W 79 - 78 52%
 Wed, Feb 18 136 Saint Joseph's W 74 - 71 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 128 @Richmond L 75 - 78 37%
 Wed, Feb 25 116 Rhode Island W 73 - 71 56%
 Sat, Feb 28 89 @George Mason L 68 - 75 25%
 Wed, Mar 4 84 @George Washington L 76 - 84 23%
 Sat, Mar 7 111 Davidson W 72 - 71 53%
Totals 16 - 14 6 - 12 +2 B- +3 B- C+ C C- -1 D+ C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C A- B- B 41% 25% 34% C- B- B D+ C+ C D+ B C- C- C- C D D+ 40% 21% 40% C D+ C+ C- C C+ C+ F C
1.13 59% 47% 36% +4 0 1.08 35% 1.0 .34 17% .27 76% .21 1.11 59% 38% 37% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.1 .31 18% .29 77% .21
Nov
3		 Bradley C- F A- C+ D 30% 30% 40% C- D A- F C- C C B C+ A F F A D+ 33% 25% 41% B- C- A+ A+ A+ C- A A- A+
1.04 40% 47% 35% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.7 .28 20% .32 76% .24 0.95 71% 46% 29% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.0 .00 14% .23 69% .16
Nov
8		 Canisius A+ C B+ C+ C- 33% 24% 43% D C- A+ B- A+ B+ C+ B+ B F F F F F 29% 31% 40% A- F B- B- B- D D D+ D
1.39 61% 46% 35% +4 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25 1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23
Nov
12		 Siena B- F A+ B C 51% 32% 17% C C A+ A+ A+ D+ C D- C- C+ A+ F A A+ 34% 39% 27% A- A+ F F F A F C- F
1.17 46% 60% 38% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.3 .57 19% .29 67% .19 1.03 27% 53% 25% -9 -3 0.80 45% 1.2 .55 22% .48 75% .36
Nov
15		 Youngstown St. B A- A+ A+ A+ 49% 26% 26% C+ A+ B+ D+ C+ D C D- C- D- D A+ B C+ 40% 8% 52% D- C C- F F C- D- B D+
1.20 70% 50% 50% +15 0 1.32 38% 0.9 .35 21% .36 70% .25 1.14 65% 25% 31% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.8 .56 19% .32 67% .21
Nov
20		 Robert Morris D+ B F D C- 56% 10% 33% A C A F C- F F+ A- D A A+ D A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% F A+ B- B- B A- C F F+
1.09 63% 20% 31% 0 +3 1.06 42% 0.7 .28 20% .31 82% .26 0.89 33% 43% 25% -16 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 22% .24 92% .22
Nov
25		 North Carolina C- F C A C 43% 28% 28% B C+ C+ B B- B F+ F F+ C+ C+ B+ F C- 43% 20% 37% C C- C+ F+ D+ A F F F
0.98 42% 35% 41% -4 -1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 13% .13 63% .08 1.19 60% 33% 47% +7 0 1.17 33% 1.3 .43 18% .46 78% .36
Nov
27		 East Carolina F C D+ F D- 23% 38% 40% F F D- B- D+ D C- A+ C+ A+ A+ B- C- A+ 40% 27% 33% C+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.95 58% 35% 29% -4 -3 0.87 25% 1.2 .31 20% .25 86% .21 0.82 22% 33% 33% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.6 .19 24% .47 84% .39
Nov
30		 Florida Atlantic C+ C- A+ A+ A 56% 14% 30% B+ A+ F C F+ D+ A+ F B A- A+ F A A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A D+ C- D+ B- B A- B+
1.08 54% 67% 46% +7 +2 1.21 15% 1.0 .15 18% .41 64% .26 1.00 41% 57% 27% -8 +1 0.87 36% 1.1 .41 20% .27 64% .17
Dec
6		 Buffalo C+ B+ C- B B- 36% 18% 47% D+ C+ A+ D- A- F C+ A+ B+ B+ F B+ C D+ 43% 13% 43% D D A- F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.15 69% 38% 38% +7 0 1.16 52% 0.8 .42 25% .28 86% .24 1.03 70% 33% 35% +5 +1 1.15 21% 1.8 .38 25% .22 64% .14
Dec
10		 Colgate B A+ B F B 38% 33% 29% F+ B- A+ F+ B- D+ A A- A+ D+ D+ C A+ B 37% 30% 33% C+ B F F+ F F D A+ B
1.22 75% 41% 27% +4 -2 1.08 43% 0.8 .35 17% .42 79% .33 1.10 62% 41% 26% -1 -1 0.96 37% 1.1 .41 9% .30 53% .16
Dec
13		 Ohio C- C B- F+ C- 43% 33% 24% D- D+ B+ F+ C D+ C- A+ B D+ C- F C+ F 33% 33% 35% A- F+ B+ F F D A+ F A-
1.08 56% 42% 29% -1 -1 0.97 40% 0.9 .34 18% .30 89% .27 1.14 61% 67% 32% +9 -2 1.16 24% 2.2 .52 14% .20 85% .17
Dec
20		 Le Moyne A F+ F A+ A- 40% 12% 49% B- A- B B B+ B+ A+ B- A+ F C- B C+ C 39% 12% 49% D+ C F+ F F F+ F F F
1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45 1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33
Dec
31		 Virginia Commonwealth A+ B+ D A+ A 49% 34% 17% D A- B+ C+ B+ B D+ A+ B D- F B+ A+ C- 48% 13% 40% D+ D+ A+ F C- F F F F
1.21 62% 33% 56% +6 -1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 15% .26 93% .24 1.31 78% 33% 26% +5 +2 1.15 20% 2.0 .40 10% .46 93% .43
Jan
7		 Richmond C+ F A+ F D- 41% 17% 41% A- D C+ A+ A+ A+ F F F F F B- C D+ 35% 29% 35% C- D+ F+ F F C- F C F
1.15 46% 60% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.6 .53 10% .21 62% .13 1.28 76% 36% 35% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 14% .50 77% .39
Jan
10		 Fordham B B+ D+ A A- 27% 24% 49% C B+ B- A+ A+ C- F+ A+ C- F D A+ F F 51% 16% 33% F F A A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.16 64% 33% 40% +5 -1 1.10 31% 1.4 .45 17% .18 90% .16 1.22 64% 25% 50% +9 +1 1.22 29% 0.5 .14 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
14		 Saint Joseph's C- F D+ C F+ 39% 33% 28% D+ F+ A- F C- C C- B+ C B- B- C+ C- C 45% 12% 43% D C- B+ A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
0.97 38% 33% 33% -10 -2 0.80 40% 0.8 .30 15% .21 75% .16 1.03 55% 33% 33% -2 +2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
17		 La Salle B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ A- F F C F+ F F F F A- F F 33% 33% 33% A F D- F F A+ F F F
1.17 64% 64% 44% +13 0 1.29 38% 0.5 .19 17% .17 56% .10 1.23 85% 31% 54% +16 -2 1.31 39% 1.3 .50 27% .43 100% .43
Jan
20		 Loyola Chicago B- C F B+ D+ 32% 27% 41% D D+ F+ A D+ A+ C+ A+ A C D- A+ F F 35% 13% 52% C+ F B+ A+ A+ A- C+ D- C
1.22 56% 27% 39% -1 -1 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 6% .31 95% .29 1.02 65% 17% 44% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.2 .06 23% .28 73% .21
Jan
23		 Saint Louis D- C C+ F C 32% 34% 34% D- C- C+ F D- C A F+ B F C A+ F F 46% 2% 52% D+ F B D- C D+ A+ A+ A+
0.88 53% 39% 22% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.5 .14 16% .40 67% .27 1.38 62% 0% 59% +20 +3 1.48 29% 1.2 .35 14% .15 44% .07
Jan
28		 Duquesne A+ D A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% C- A+ F A+ D+ A+ A- A A+ C+ A+ F F D- 40% 12% 48% C+ D- C+ A+ A+ D- C- A+ A-
1.24 52% 64% 50% +12 -1 1.24 16% 1.5 .24 11% .42 81% .34 1.13 45% 67% 46% +7 +1 1.18 30% 0.5 .14 14% .37 55% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 George Mason C- C A+ A+ A+ 47% 29% 24% C+ A+ F+ B- D F+ A+ F A C F F A+ D 50% 12% 38% F D- C C C A+ A+ B+ A+
1.04 57% 62% 45% +11 0 1.22 19% 1.0 .19 20% .44 56% .25 1.09 73% 67% 25% +6 +2 1.17 32% 1.0 .32 23% .28 67% .18
Feb
3		 Dayton B+ A+ A+ F A- 32% 30% 38% D B+ B+ D+ B- B B- A+ A- C F+ A+ B- B- 40% 16% 44% B- B- C+ C+ C+ D+ F F F
1.10 87% 50% 22% +6 -2 1.11 37% 0.9 .33 20% .33 82% .28 1.13 71% 0% 32% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 16% .61 85% .52
Feb
7		 Fordham B+ A A+ A+ A+ 30% 48% 23% F A+ A+ F+ B F F C+ F C D+ A- F F+ 35% 20% 46% C D- C+ A+ A B- D- C D-
1.13 69% 57% 50% +18 -4 1.30 39% 0.9 .35 27% .16 71% .11 1.08 63% 33% 38% +4 0 1.09 34% 0.6 .22 19% .28 71% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.8 5th
6th 0.3 1.4 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 0.7 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.8 4.4 0.2 5.5 8th
9th 0.2 5.6 4.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.2 5.6 11.4 1.0 18.2 10th
11th 0.1 4.2 13.3 4.5 0.0 22.2 11th
12th 0.3 4.7 14.4 8.6 0.4 28.4 12th
13th 1.4 4.8 3.3 0.3 9.7 13th
14th 0.4 0.2 0.5 14th
Total 2.1 9.8 22.1 27.9 22.8 11.8 3.1 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.4% 2.5% 2.5% 11.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 12.0 0.0 3.1
8-10 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-11 22.8% 0.4% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 22.7
6-12 27.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 27.9
5-13 22.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 22.1
4-14 9.8% 9.8
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 12.8 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%