Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#245
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#233
Pace65.7#245
Improvement-0.9#229

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#193
First Shot-1.7#231
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#114
Layup/Dunks-4.0#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#350
Freethrows+2.0#71
Improvement-0.4#207

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#294
First Shot-4.1#306
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#181
Layups/Dunks+1.0#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#169
Freethrows-6.1#364
Improvement-0.5#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 33 - 83 - 15
Quad 49 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 106   @ California L 73-86 15%     0 - 1 -6.4 -0.7 -5.2
  Nov 11, 2024 142   North Dakota St. W 86-81 39%     1 - 1 +3.3 +16.1 -12.3
  Nov 16, 2024 258   Fresno St. W 74-58 63%     2 - 1 +8.0 -4.3 +11.7
  Nov 22, 2024 185   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 54-74 29%     2 - 2 -18.7 -8.3 -14.5
  Nov 23, 2024 252   Florida International L 73-76 OT 52%     2 - 3 -7.9 -0.4 -7.5
  Nov 24, 2024 210   Northeastern W 68-60 43%     3 - 3 +5.3 +2.8 +3.4
  Nov 30, 2024 304   @ Southern Utah L 64-74 54%     3 - 4 -15.5 -6.8 -9.1
  Dec 05, 2024 73   @ UC Irvine L 66-82 9%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -5.4 +2.9 -8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 46   @ UC San Diego L 60-81 5%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -6.9 -4.5 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2024 273   @ Portland W 81-64 46%     4 - 6 +13.5 +13.7 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2024 201   Portland St. L 58-59 52%     4 - 7 -6.1 -12.9 +6.8
  Dec 23, 2024 142   @ North Dakota St. L 60-94 21%     4 - 8 -30.2 -14.2 -16.9
  Jan 02, 2025 238   UC Davis W 75-64 60%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +3.9 +7.9 -3.3
  Jan 04, 2025 292   Long Beach St. W 80-65 71%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +4.6 +12.1 -5.5
  Jan 09, 2025 153   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-78 23%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -8.8 -2.8 -6.7
  Jan 11, 2025 115   Cal St. Northridge W 94-90 31%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +4.7 +14.8 -10.4
  Jan 18, 2025 221   @ Hawaii L 70-81 35%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -11.5 -2.3 -9.2
  Jan 23, 2025 351   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 71-68 72%     8 - 10 4 - 4 -7.5 -6.5 -1.1
  Jan 25, 2025 143   UC Riverside L 79-83 39%     8 - 11 4 - 5 -5.7 +11.5 -17.6
  Jan 30, 2025 186   Cal Poly L 81-90 49%     8 - 12 4 - 6 -13.2 -0.1 -12.6
  Feb 01, 2025 115   @ Cal St. Northridge L 62-88 16%     8 - 13 4 - 7 -19.8 -11.5 -6.9
  Feb 06, 2025 153   UC Santa Barbara L 75-81 41%     8 - 14 4 - 8 -8.3 +9.8 -18.9
  Feb 08, 2025 143   @ UC Riverside L 64-69 22%     8 - 15 4 - 9 -1.2 -1.4 -0.4
  Feb 13, 2025 46   UC San Diego L 54-73 11%     8 - 16 4 - 10 -10.4 -2.1 -12.4
  Feb 15, 2025 351   Cal St. Fullerton W 91-54 86%     9 - 16 5 - 10 +21.0 +12.7 +8.2
  Feb 20, 2025 238   @ UC Davis W 71-66 39%     10 - 16 6 - 10 +3.4 +6.0 -2.2
  Feb 22, 2025 73   UC Irvine L 64-73 18%     10 - 17 6 - 11 -3.9 -2.2 -1.8
  Feb 27, 2025 292   @ Long Beach St. W 88-87 OT 51%     11 - 17 7 - 11 -3.9 +7.0 -10.9
  Mar 01, 2025 186   @ Cal Poly L 72-98 29%     11 - 18 7 - 12 -24.7 -9.3 -12.7
  Mar 06, 2025 221   Hawaii W 76-64 56%     12 - 18 8 - 12 +6.0 +8.3 -1.2
  Mar 12, 2025 153   UC Santa Barbara L 66-71 32%     12 - 19 -4.6 -3.7 -1.2
Projected Record 12 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%