Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#332
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#338
Pace66.6#227
Improvement-0.1#193

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#348
First Shot-6.2#334
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#275
Layup/Dunks-7.0#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#312
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement-0.1#189

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#263
First Shot-5.2#329
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#29
Layups/Dunks+1.9#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#357
Freethrows-3.3#349
Improvement+0.1#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.6% 12.4% 2.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 2.6% 12.1%
First Four0.6% 1.3% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Away) - 22.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 48 - 128 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 13   @ Illinois L 67-112 1%     0 - 1 -25.3 -6.9 -11.2
  Nov 10, 2024 53   @ Indiana L 55-90 3%     0 - 2 -22.4 -13.5 -7.9
  Nov 15, 2024 56   @ Northwestern L 58-67 OT 3%     0 - 3 +3.3 -3.7 +6.3
  Nov 19, 2024 112   @ DePaul L 69-78 7%     0 - 4 -3.3 -0.9 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2024 226   @ Valparaiso L 53-81 18%     0 - 5 -29.0 -14.6 -18.2
  Nov 29, 2024 338   Northern Illinois W 72-59 63%     1 - 5 -1.1 -6.6 +5.4
  Dec 03, 2024 75   @ Butler L 58-73 4%     1 - 6 -5.0 -9.6 +4.1
  Dec 14, 2024 231   @ Eastern Kentucky L 66-81 19%     1 - 7 -16.5 -12.9 -2.9
  Dec 19, 2024 265   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-79 24%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -10.3 +4.0 -14.8
  Jan 02, 2025 349   Lindenwood W 78-74 OT 66%     2 - 8 1 - 1 -10.9 -13.4 +1.8
  Jan 04, 2025 354   Western Illinois L 67-75 69%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -23.8 -11.2 -12.9
  Jan 07, 2025 266   SIU Edwardsville L 57-60 41%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -11.4 -11.1 -0.7
  Jan 09, 2025 298   Tennessee Tech L 64-69 48%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -15.1 -8.1 -7.5
  Jan 16, 2025 307   @ Tennessee Martin L 63-68 32%     2 - 12 1 - 5 -11.0 -13.1 +2.1
  Jan 18, 2025 289   @ Tennessee St. L 65-84 27%     2 - 13 1 - 6 -23.5 -10.7 -12.4
  Jan 23, 2025 282   Morehead St. L 66-73 44%     2 - 14 1 - 7 -16.2 +5.9 -23.7
  Jan 25, 2025 324   Southern Indiana L 60-64 57%     2 - 15 1 - 8 -16.5 -12.7 -4.1
  Jan 27, 2025 227   Arkansas Little Rock W 56-54 25%     3 - 15 2 - 8 -1.5 -7.4 +6.1
  Jan 30, 2025 354   @ Western Illinois W 71-59 50%     4 - 15 3 - 8 +1.2 -0.8 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2025 349   @ Lindenwood W 76-70 47%     5 - 15 4 - 8 -4.0 +0.3 -4.3
  Feb 04, 2025 266   @ SIU Edwardsville L 62-69 23%    
  Feb 08, 2025 298   @ Tennessee Tech L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 13, 2025 289   Tennessee St. L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 307   Tennessee Martin W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 20, 2025 324   @ Southern Indiana L 67-70 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 282   @ Morehead St. L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 27, 2025 227   Arkansas Little Rock L 62-67 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 265   Southeast Missouri St. L 68-70 43%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 1.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 2.1 0.1 4.0 6th
7th 0.4 3.9 5.1 0.9 10.3 7th
8th 1.3 7.7 11.0 2.8 0.1 23.0 8th
9th 1.2 10.0 13.6 4.0 0.2 29.0 9th
10th 2.4 10.5 12.1 3.8 0.2 29.0 10th
11th 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.0 11th
Total 3.7 13.2 23.6 25.6 19.4 9.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 50.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-10 3.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 3.7
9-11 9.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.7
8-12 19.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 19.1
7-13 25.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 25.5
6-14 23.6% 23.6
5-15 13.2% 13.2
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.7 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.7%